the business cycle Flashcards

1
Q

business cycle

A

series of upward and downward movements in the level of economic activity of a country over a period of months or years.

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2
Q

Two periods of business cycle

A

Contraction (downswing)

Expansion (upswing)

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3
Q

Expansion (upswing)

A

the period when economic activity increases. Made up of recovery and prosperity

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4
Q

Contraction (downswing)

A

a period where the economy is falling. Made of recession and depression

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5
Q

two turning points

A

Through: Marks the end of a recession or depression. Lower tuning point of the cycle
Peak: Economic activity increases to a certain point and then stops . After the peak economic activity decreases.

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6
Q

peak

A

The point at which economic activity stops increasing and begins to decrease. upper turning point

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7
Q

how are business cycles measured

A

from peak to peak and from through to through

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8
Q

Four phases of the cycle

A

recession
prosperity
recovery and depression

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9
Q

Recession

A
The negative economic growth rate for two consecutive quarters
Business reduce output
unemployment increases
reduce in income
ends with a through
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10
Q

Depression

A

Depression occurs when a recession happens for a long time
a severe form of recession
The large scale of unemployment and severe shortage of goods and services

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11
Q

Recovery

A

The economy starts to grow again

Usually starts slow and speeds up over time

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12
Q

Prosperity

A

increase in economic activity in a country
increase in output and employment rate and wages
Standard of living improves
ends when cycle reaches a peak

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13
Q

Measuring business cycles (5)

A
Dating system
GDP
employment growth rate
inflation rate
production of certain goods and services
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14
Q

Dating system

A

stats are recorded on a daily weekly and monthly basis and the compiled quarterly

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15
Q

GDP

A

NB as a measure of the state of the economy

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16
Q

Employment growth rate

A

shows how many people are employed in a country and if there are any changes in the number of employed

17
Q

Inflation rate

A

Shows’ changes in prices

18
Q

Production of certain goods and services

A

give an indication of where we are on business cycle

19
Q

Business cycle indicators

A

Leading lagging and coincident indicators

20
Q

reasons for business cycles (10)

A
exogenous reasons
natural disasters
political reasons
foreign trade
weather
monetary reasons
endogenous reasons
investment
innovation
savings
21
Q

Effects of business cycles (5)

A

Changes in aggregate supply and aggregate demand
Changes in economic growth
Changes in the employment rate
Changes in the level of the rate of exchange
effects on people who are economically vulnerable

22
Q

Leading indicators

A

Change direction before economy. predict whats gonna happen

23
Q

Lagging indicators

A

Change after economy changes. Confirm what has happened

24
Q

Coincident indicators

A

change at the same time as the economy changes. Give us the state of the economy

25
Q

Exogenous Reasons

A

originates from outside the country

26
Q

Foreign trade

A

Countries likely to feel effect of its foreign trading partners

27
Q

what does an increase in the supply of money lead to?

A

An increase in supply of money leads to an increase in consumption

28
Q

endogenous reasons

A

Originate from inside the nations economy

29
Q

what does an increase in investment cause

A

Increase in investment= increase in economic activity

30
Q

changes in supply and demand

A

economy expands=increase in aggregate demand which in turn causes aggregate supply to increase
(vice versa)

31
Q

Changes in economic growth

A

Rate positive during the expansion phase

Rate negative in contraction phase

32
Q

Changes in the employment rate (2)

A

The employment increase in the expansion phase

Employment decrease in contraction

33
Q

changes in price levels (2)

A

inflation occurs during expansion and the first part of prosperity
When a recession starts prices are still high but then prices fall. Stagflation

34
Q

Changes in level of the rate of exchange (3)

A

Expansion and boom phases in other countries leads to an increase in the demand for South African products
Demand for rand increases, rand appreciates (vice versa)
Global recession demand for SA good decreases

35
Q

Effects on people who are economically vulnerable (4)

A

Unskilled people first to be retrenched
Lack of relief programs to assist them
poor level of literacy to access and interpret info
Elderly peoples income is reduced as inflation increases as it reduces the buying power of their pension funds

36
Q

seasonal changes

A

show changes that may occur at certain times of the year

37
Q

random variation

A

An indication of sudden drought or unexpected events that influence the trend of a business cycle