Th4.1: Factors Affecting Floating Exchange Rates Flashcards
What are floating exchange rates determined by?
the interaction of demand and supply, and so are affected by changes in demand and supply
What is the demand for pounds determined by?
the amount of British goods that foreigners want to buy - the number of foreigners wanting to invest in the UK, visit, or place their money in British banks - and the amount of speculation on the pound
What is the supply of pounds determined by?
the amount of foreign goods people in the UK want to buy - the number of British firms that want to invest abroad, wanting to go on holiday or place their money in foreign banks - the amount of speculation on the pound
Therefore, in general, the currency is affected by the…
level of exports and imports, the level of investment, those going on holiday and speculation
How is speculation the single most important determinant of the short-term price?
if speculators fear a fall in the pound, the pound will fall as they will sell their pounds and buy another currency
What is the currency determined by in the long term?
economic fundamentals - exports, imports and long-term capital flows
What does the purchasing power parity argue about exchange rates in the long run?
in the long run exchange rates will change in line with changes in prices between countries - inflation makes exports less competitive and imports more competitive, causing a fall in trade balance and therefore the pound