Test Two Flashcards
A theory assuming that people’s expectations are the best possible forecast based on all public information, NOT ALWAYS 100% ACCURATE.
Rational expectations
if a bond is held to maturity
The rate of return is the yield to maturity
if a bond is sold before maturity
It’s rate of return is the current yield plus the percentage capital gain or loss
what happens to a bond’s price if the yield to maturity rises sharply?
The price falls
Are short-term or long-term bonds more volatile
Long-term
what risk is avoided if a bond’s time to maturity matches its holding period?
Interest-Rate Risk
The rate savers can receive with certainty
risk-free rate
what reduces the present value of future income?
Risk
payment on an asset that compensates the owner for taking risk
risk premium
risk premium _______ with the riskiness of the asset
increases
Asset prices change when?
When expected income or interest rates change
Stock prices change when?
expected income changes
changes in company earnings have what kind of effect on bond prices
little to no effect
Ex ante
Before (expected inflation)
Ex post
After (actual inflation)
what interest rate is adjusted for changes in price level and is a more accurate reflection of the cost of borrowing
Real interest rate
if inflation is higher than expected how are the ex post and ex ante real interest rates affected?
the ex post real interest rate is lower than the ex ante rate
pricing inflation cased negative ex post returns on mortgages issued by savings and loan associations resulted in what
the savings and loan crisis
what makes borrowing and lending risky
uncertainty about inflation
what type of bonds promise a fixed real interest rate: the nominal rate is adjusted for inflation over the life of the bond
inflation-indexed bonds
how are inflation-indexed bonds effected by inflation increases
The nominal interest rate on the bond is increased by and equal percentage
what are the fundamental forces determining interest rates
- Time preference
- marginal product of capital
- income
- inflation expectations
- monetary policy
- federal budget deficits (surpluses)