Terms of Trade 4.1 Flashcards
Terms of trade def.
measures how a country’s export prices are changing compared to its import prices
Factors Influencing a Country’s Terms of Trade
4
Change in the exchange rate
Change in the exchange rate
Changes in demand or supply for imports or exports
Changes in relative productivity
Change in the exchange rate
Appreciation results in increased export prices and decreased imports
Change in the relative rate of inflation
If domestic inflation inflates faster than trading partners, export prices will rise faster than import prices
Changes in relative productivity
If a country has a faster rate of productivity growth than its trading partners, it will have falling costs of production, thus exports will fall in price in relation to imports –> worsening of terms of trade
Calculation of the Terms of Trade
Base Year is selected.
TTI = Terms of Trade Index
TTI = (Index of Export Prices / Index of Import Prices) x 100
Impact of Changes in a Country’s Terms of Trade
Living standards - Improvement in TTI = country can buy a greater quantity o imports for any given quantity of exports e.g. Middle East
Impact on the balance of payments - can improve or worsen BoP, depending on why ToT improved. If export prices rise due to increased demand, current account may improve. But if it is due to increasing costs of production current account may worsen due to lower competitivity
Impact on inflation - Improvement in ToT results in lower inflation (as import prices decrease)