Terms Of trade Flashcards
What is the Terms Of Trade
The terms of trade is an index which measures the relative movements in the prices of exports and imports.
TOT = [Export Price Index ÷ Import Price index] × 100
Why is it important
It is an important measure of our economic prosperity, and plays a significant role in the business cycle.
Is a movement in the TOT favourable or unfavourable
A movement within the TOT is considered either favourable or unfavourable.
Year Terms of Trade Movement 1 100 N/A 2 95.5 Unfavourable 3 98.2 Favourable
Australia’s TOT
Australia’s TOT
Our commodity prices are the main drivers of the TOT. China’s economy plays a major role in the TOT. An increase in commodity prices = Increase in TOT.
What are the effects of the TOT
The TOT has important effects on
- The business cycle
- Output & Employment
- Trade and Current account balance
- The exchange rate
- The national income
- Investment.
Australia pattern of TOT
Our Pattern of the TOT
- In 2011 we reached our peak during the mining boom
- Then an unfavourable movement from 2011 to 2016, signalling end of the boom
- From 2016 to 2019, there was a favourable movement by 35, due to a rise in commodity prices.
- 2020 then experience a global recession around the world, this led to an unfavourable movement in the TOT.
- 2021, the Australian economy bounced back post COVID-19 and led to a favourable movement in the TOT.