Term 2 Flashcards
What does an efficent market do?
Provide correct signals to financial managers
Encourage the purchase of shares
Ensure efficient allocation of resources
What are the three forms of EMH?
Weak - Reflect Past info
Semi-Strong - Reflect Past and publicly available
Strong - Reflect Past, Public and Private
What are the implications of EMH?
As information is freely and immediately available
Prices will adjust instantly
No opportunity for excess returns
Firms cannot fool investors,
Will always receive a fair price for their shares
What is implied if analysts are making money?
If technical analysts make money - weak inefficient
If Fundamental analysts make money - semi-strong inefficient
If insider traders make money - strong inefficent
What are the implications of EMH for financial decision making?
Use passive investment strategy
Do not consider timing for equity release
What are some calendar anomalies?
Calendar Effects
What are the two theories on capital structure?
Traditional: There is an optimal structure
Modigliani and Miller (MM) capital structure is irrelevant
How do you calculate the value of a firm?
V=E+D
Value
Value of Equity
Value of Debt
Sum Earnings/(1+K)^t
How do you calculate Weighted Average Cost of Capital
k=Ke(E/V)+kd(D/V)
What is the traditional view with no taxation
Firms can substitute to from equity to debt, increasing risk but lowering average cost of capital
What is the MM view with no taxation?
Argues the traditional view will fail, as substitution will cause the ROR on equity to rise
What are the assumptions of MM?
Market value is independent of capital structure
The expected ROR on stock increases in proportion to the debt equity ratio
What is the cost of debt capital if taxes are included?
Kd(1-Tc)
What is a tax shield?
TcD
The saving the firm makes by paying tax deductible interest
What level of earnings will shareholders receive in a taxed firm?
(EBIT-KdD)(1-Tc)
What is the value of levered firm?
Vl=Vu+Dtc
Levered
Unlevered
Tax times debt
How can the value of a levered firm be expressed interms of personal tax?
Vl=Vu+(1-(1-Tc)(1-Ts)/(1-Tb))B
Ts is tax on equity income
TB is tax on bond income
Discuss bankruptcy and its costs
A high debt-equity ratio increases the risk of bankruptcy
Direct Costs - Cash outflows
Indirect- Arise before firm fails, consumers stopping buying
What are the implications of the trade off theory?
Firms with:
volatile cash flows
Intangible assets
Long life products
Will have less debt
What are the limitations of trade off theory?
It rules out conservative debt ratios for taxed firms - Opposite empirically
Positive association with profitability and debt
Discuss asymmetric information and signalling?
Managers can use a rise in debt ratios to signal all is well
What is the simple view of a firm?
Assets:
Existing Investments generating cash flows
Future Investments
Liabilities:
Debt
Equity
Discuss the par value of debt?
Par value is issue value
If IR fall, market value > par value
What is the value of a firm?
Where assets = liabilities
What are the three approaches of company valuation?
Accounting Information:
Stock Market Values
Discounted Cash Flows
Discuss accounting information
Financial, P/E and P/B Ratios
This is called relative valuation
What are the advantages and disadvantages of accounting information
Information is easily available and adjustable
Fundamentally backwards looking
Can be manipulated
Discuss Stock market values
Market Cap:
Price*Number of shares
Requires EMH assumption
What are the advantages and disadvantages of Stock Market Valuation
Data is easy to obtain
Allows relative comparisons
Are markets efficient
Quality of information
Discuss discounted cash flows
Most Popular Method
Requires a lot of assumptions and information