Term 1 SA test Flashcards
exchange rate
the value of a currency in comparison to another currency
floating exchange rate
when the value of a currency is determined by demand and supply
trade weighted index (TWI)
The average value of the AUD compared to Australia’s major trading partners currencies, weighted according to their significance
Factors affecting the demand for and supply of AUD
- financial flows
- trade flows
- economic conditions
Factors affecting the demand for and supply of AUD - Financial flows
Level of Australian interest rates relative to overseas interest rates
- High domestic rates attract foreign investment,
creating higher demand for AUD
- Low domestic rates incentivise saving funds in
overseas banks, creating a high supply of AUD
Investment opportunities
- High opportunities domestically support high demand
for AUD
- High foreign opportunities create a high supply of
AUD
Speculation
- If there is an expectation of future appreciation, there
may be high demand for AUD
- If there is an expectation of a future depreciation
investors may sell AUD, increasing supply
Factors affecting the demand for and supply of AUD - trade flows
Exports
- High demand for domestic exports leads to high
demand for AUD
Imports
- High demand for imports results in high supply of AUD
Commodity prices and terms of trade
- Improvements in commodity prices and terms of trade
increase the value of exports, causing high demand
for AUD
- A decrease in commodity prices and terms of trade
decreases the value of exports, causing high supply of
AUD
Factors affecting the demand for and supply of AUD - economic conditions
Expansionary period
- Upturn in domestic and/or international business cycle
may increase demand for Australia’s exports, creating
high demand for AUD
Contractionary period
- A downturn in the domestic and/or international
business cycle may decrease demand for Australia’s
exports, creating a high supply of AUD
Tastes and preferences
- Affect demand of Aus exports and imports, and
therefore the demand and supply of the AUD
Changes in exchange rate - appreciation
An increase in the exchange rate of one currency in terms of another
Occurs when demand increases and/or supply decreases
changes in exchange rate - depreciation
A decrease in the exchange rate of one currency in terms of another
Occurs when demand decreases and/or supply increases
fixed exchange rate
When the government or RBA officially sets the exchange rate for an economy
clean float
pure demand-supply model with no central bank intervention (only exists in theory)
dirty float
a flexible exchange rate but managed to a certain extent
managed exchange rate
Any official intervention by a government in setting the exchange rate
Advantages of a flexible over fixed rate
More accurately reflects international competitiveness which encourages free trade
Dutch disease: a boom in one export causes an appreciation in exchange rates making other industries less competitive
Disadvantages of flexible over fixed rate
volatile or sudden changes cause future transactions to become uncertain, which heavily influences speculative investment
Depreciations may cause inflation, as imports are more expensive and this price increase can be reflected in the domestic interest rate
Direct intervention by RBA on exchange rates
The RBA buys/sells foreign exchange when the AUD goes either too high or too low
If AUD is too high the RBA sells AUD reserves to increase supply, and decreases its value
If the AUD is too low, the RBA buys AUD reserves to increase demand and increase its value
Indirect Intervention by RBA on exchange rates
Monetary policy: Interest rates set by the RBA have a secondary function of changing the interest rate between Australia and overseas
Effects of fluctuations in exchange rates on the economy - Positive Impacts of Appreciation
Cheaper imports may cause lower import inflation as prices are lower
Cheaper imports encourage allocative efficiency of resources resulting in a long term shift to more competitive industries
Cheaper imports mean consumers and firms can buy a greater quantity of products due to increased purchasing power, therefore improving living standards and lowering input costs
Valuation effect on debt decreases interest servicing costs on foreign debt and the overall AUD value of foreign debt
Effects of fluctuations in exchange rates on the economy - Negative Impacts of Appreciation
Exports are more expensive, and we expect a fall in the quantity demanded, leading to a long term loss of investors, causing slower economic growth
Cheaper imports may cause domestic firms to lose competitiveness which may increase unemployment
Valuation effect on assets
Effects of fluctuations in exchange rates on the economy - Positive Impacts of Depreciation
exports are cheaper, so we expect an increase in quantity demanded causing a long term increase in investment and economic growth
More expensive imports may cause domestic firms to increase competitiveness which may increase employment
Valuation effect on assets
Effects of fluctuations in exchange rates on the economy - negative Impacts of Depreciation
Imports are more expensive, which may cause imported inflation
More expensive imports decreases living standards and increases input costs due to decreased purchasing power
Valuation effect on debt
aggregate demand
the total demand over a period of time
aggregate demand formula
AD=C+I+G+(X-M)
consumption
spending by households, contributes to ~60% AD
Factors that influence consumption levels
interest rate levels, a person’s income level, MPC and the distribution of income
investment
spending by firms to increase productive capacity.
factors that influence investment levels
the cost of inputs, interest rates, profit levels, business expectations, tax rates and government policy
Government spending
spending by local, state and federal governments.
factors that influence government spending
policy objectives of the government (such as lower inflation and unemployment) and the general state of the economy
Net exports
expenditure by foreigners on domestically produced goods/services (exports) minus expenditure on foreign goods/services (imports).
factors that influence net exports
the global business cycle, exchange rate and commodity prices
aggregate supply
the total productive capacity of an economy when all factors of production are fully utilised over a period of time
equilibrium
I + G + X = S + T + M
the simple multiplier
The simple multiplier refers to the extent to which an initial change in autonomous expenditure is multiplied to give or result in a larger change in the equilibrium level of national income
MPC formula
MPC = 𝚫C/𝚫Y
multiplier formula
K = 1/(1-MPC)
K x change of income = new income
sources of eco growth in Aus
consumption by households, investment by business, government spending, net exports, technological change, labour productivity, capital productivity, education, R&D, access to more resources, immigration, 3 p’s - productivity, participation, population, natural resources, labour, capital
positive effects of economic growth
Higher GDP per capita improves living standards and economic development
Increased employment opportunities
Increased confidence due to high growth rates
Improvement in budgetary position
Increased innovation
more export revenue
higher levels of saving
negative effects of economic growth
Investment in new capital may cause short-term structural unemployment
May lead to higher inflation as higher AD pushes up prices
Worsened BOGS and increased CAD
Increased income inequality as high income earners disproportionately benefit from increased economic growth
Increased negative externalities due to conflict between growth and sustainability as the use of natural resources fuels short term growth, but threatens long term growth
ecologically sustainable development
the growth rate with economic benefits without environmental destruction
development that meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations
increase in AS
Capacity constraint is the point at which the economy approaches full employment and cannot grow any further
In the long run, AS must increase to match AD, because if it doesn’t then further AD will simply cause inflation
unemployment
people willing and able to work, actively seeking work, but unable to find employment
labour force
working age population who are employed or unemployed
working age population
labour force + people in the working age bracket that aren’t actively seeking work