Technical and stock pitch Flashcards

1
Q

what are different types of risks

A
liquidity risk (real estate difficult to sell at any given moment),
market risk,
currency risk,
interest rate risk,
business risk,
credit risk
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2
Q

what are some common ratios that analysts use to compare companies *

A
price to earnings (P/E),
price-to-cash flow
return on equity (ROE),
return on assets (ROA),
debt-equity ratio,
current ratio,
dividend yield,
earnings per share (EPS)
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3
Q

how do you calculate price earnings ratio (P/E)

A

current stock price / EPS

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4
Q

how do you calculate EPS

A

net income - preferred dividends / outstanding shares

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5
Q

how do you calculate price-to-cash flow

A

current stock price / operating cash flow

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6
Q

how do you calculate return on equity (ROE)

A

net income / average of last two years’ total shareholders’ equity

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7
Q

how do you calculate return on assets (ROA)

A

net income / total assets

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8
Q

how do you calculate the current ratio

A

current assets / current liabilities

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9
Q

dividend yield equation

A

annual dividend / current stock price

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10
Q

how do you do a DCF

A

take results and strip out outliers,
project free cash flow forward for 10 yrs (after 10 assume constant, terminal value),
take cash flows and discount using weighted average cost of capital (how expensive it is to fund the company),
sum discounted values and arrive at value for company

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11
Q

what are the advantages of DCF

A

independent from market fluctuations (intrinsic value),
small tweakings of growth rate and WACC can achieve a wide range of valuations,
relies on free cash flow which is considered to be a reliable measure that eliminates subjective accounting policies

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12
Q

how do you do comparable company analysis

A

find comparable company,
say comparable company has £10 eps and share price of £100 they have a 10x price to earnings,
say your company has eps of £20, you could apply this multiple and arrive at a valuation of £200 (20x10),
would use many companies and use many metrics,
Price/sales, price/book, EV/EBITDA)

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13
Q

what are pros and cons about comparable company

A

simple and reflects the market,
hard to find set of comparable companies cause companies are all so different,
if market overvalued it will lead to overvaluation (and vice-versa)

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14
Q

what are cons of dcf

A

very sensitive to assumptions (estimates can vary widely),
dcf more time intensive compared to other techniques,
involves forecasting future performance which is difficult

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15
Q

inflation UK, US and Canada

A

UK 1.8%
US 1.5%
Canada 1.4%

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16
Q

Interest rate UK, US, Canada

A

UK 0.75%
US 2.5%
Canada 1.75%

17
Q

FTSE 100 and SandP500

A

FTSE 7,340

SandP500 2,830

18
Q

what is the leverage ratio and what does a high ratio imply

A

total debt / total equity,

company has been aggressive in financing growth with debt

19
Q

UK, US, Canada 10 yr

A

US 2.62%
Canada 1.75%
UK 1.21%

20
Q

what is the pro case for william hill

A

most betting shops in uk,
US expansion with tie up with eldorado resorts and 11 casinos in Mississippi to provide technology and risk management services,
acquisition of mr green

21
Q

what is william hill’s deal with eldorado

A

for digital and land based sports betting and online gaming,
access to their customer base of 23m,
eldorado soon complete acquisition of tropicana entertainment which increase estate to 26 properties across 13 states

22
Q

what happened in us to do with sports betting

A

may 2018,
supreme court overturned regulation that banned states from sports betting,
market estimates suggest US generate $9bn 2023,
william hill us revenue up 50% in fh18

23
Q

what is the story with william hill and mr green

A

proposed acquisition of swedish online gaming group for £240m,
expand internationally and they have strong growth momentum in several european countries

24
Q

what are the negatives to william hill

A
UK regulation (cut max stake on fixed odds betting terminals to £2, increase in offshore gaming tax from 15-21 percent) (priced in),
reduction in brick and mortar gambling,
revised down fy operating profit because of dent to earnings from online operations, £225m-£245m (against earlier analyst expectations of up to £260m)
25
Q

william hill financial stats

A

price 159p,

2018 net revenue £1.62bn (+2%)

26
Q

what is going on with credit

A

continued degradation in lending standards and lack of risk premium offered to buyers of corporate bonds,
50% outstanding investment grade credit rated BBB (one above junk),
if ratings based on leverage alone around 45% of investment grade would be below investment grade (junk)

27
Q

why is liquidity falling and why is it an issue

A

central banks quantitative tightening ,
investors rely on liquidity to perform ‘just in time’ de-risking,
when vanishes, will expose asset managers to issue that they can’t trade out of assets as prices fall