Technical Analysis Flashcards
What is a fast rule when searching for Trend Indicators and not Reversal Indicators
If the indicator search for tops/bottoms/over bought/over sold then it is NOT a trend indicator
Which Technical Indicator Tools can be excluded from the start. (Unless much newer/updated and improved)
- ADX - Average Directional Index (Volume)
- Trendlines
- Stochastics - Over bought/sold
- Price Levels - Psychological level
- CCI Commodity Channel Index
- Support and Resistance Lines - too subjective / Banks love to play around these hot spot areas…
- Japanese Candlesticks
- Chart Patterns(Stock trading ok / trader’s sentiment)
- Bollinger Bands
- Fibonacci
- RSI - Relative Strength Index (over bought/sold. Stock ok)
- Moving Average Crossover (there is some usefulness)
Which is the one indicator that must be used and why?
ATR - Average True Range
ATR - Use in Risk Management / Trade Management (Stop Loss / First Take Profit / Risk)
RSI - Relative Strength Indicator
Why not suited for Forex?
How is it used?
Overbought / Oversold indicator - better suited for Stocks due to intrinsic value. Used to find Price reversals.
Overbought territory - above 70 Oversold territory - below 30.
So for reversals - if the price goes above 70, wait until it crosses back down and then enter a short / vice versa. Goes below 30, turns and enter long when breaking back up through 30
Trend Confirmation Indicators
What are you looking for?
- Doesn’t get you into a trade too early / too choppy / false signals - not a trend.
- Too Slow - only gets you in way too late / you’ve either lost out on too many pips / get you in at the top / misses trends too often.
- Avoids Whipsaw / False Trends - it will only avoid some, it will never avoid all - your CI must at least avoid some of them
Trend Confirmation Indicators
Of which type should they be?
- Zero line cross - long/short once 0 line crossed
- Two line cross - long/short once line cross up/down
- Chart Indicators - indicators on price chart
MACD - Moving Average Convergence Divergence Indicator
What is it?
Two lines cross indicator, can also add a Zero line cross on the MACD
Indicator for Trends and Reversals
What can the MACD be used for?
Trend and Reversals - but, best at using Continuation Trades
- Wait until both lines are either under or above the zero line.
- And neither one of them has crossed upward over the zero line or crossed over the other upward if below the line; or neither one of them has crossed downward over the zero line or crossed over the other downward if above the line.
- Lines must cross (if below the line) downward, (if above the line) upward. So with the trend.
Long:
Make sure both lines are above the zero line, and have never gone below it since it last crossed itself.
Then, if they cross upward, go long.
Remember, if either of those lines had crossed below the histogram at any time, it’s no longer a valid trade. You would have to wait for them to stay above the histogram and start again.
Short:
Price Levels / Psychological Levels - Any Good? Why?
No, very subjective, e.g., big figure 1700 1750 etc. It is similar to price on product like R50 or then R49,99
The levels create HOT Spots - Action for the banks to look into taking dumb money / hit stop losses.
When it hits these levels - how do you know it is going long or short?
At these levels, you can see where the banks play - look at long shadows to take out stop losses before taking it in the opposite direction. e.g. see long wig upwards to take out stop losses and then they took it short. These are for Reversal Traders - the banks first take their money.
Heiken Ashi - How does it work?
Any Good for Trade Entries?
White=Long Red=Short
No good for Trade Entry
You can use it for Exit Indicator but only after you’ve taken profit and moved Stop Loss
Fibonacci - Why is it not any good?
It is a mathematical sequence, numbers, found in nature.
Just too many lines - what should you do at each line?
Reversals - why would price reverse due to a number - only dumb money made hot spots there.
Indicator Basics
- When to check ATR values?
- When do Spreads shoot up?
- Full/Closed Candle - use daily close if from the day before. Do not use ATR which includes Half a candle from the current trading period.
- Spreads shoot up hour after daily close of candle - check 20minutes before daily close for best spreads.
Forex Volume: What does Volume do for Trading?
Volume provides the strength to cause a Trend. You must have volume to trade, without volume you will have too many losses.
What is the use of a Volume Indicator?
Volume is an Elimination Indicator - it Eliminates losses, doesn’t indicate to GO/Trade, the aim is to STOP / Do NOT Trade. Eliminates Losses that the Confirmation Indicator Gives.
What does a Good Volume Indicator Do?
- Tells you when there is enough Volume to trade.
- Tells you when there is not enough Volume to trade - Do Not Trade.
- Lags as little as possible. - You want your indicator to tell you as soon as possible that the volume is there when it comes.