Technical Analysis Flashcards
Comeback King Pattern
Stock that swings from overbought to oversold repeatedly (at least 3 times)
Comeback Queen Pattern
Stock that goes from under fair value (under the 50 RSI) to overbought repeatedly (at least 3 times)
Price momentum loss
Smaller and smaller candles as they approach a level of support.
Possible trend change
Candles changing colors at support or resistance
Bollinger Bands
2 Bands above and below a moving average 2 standard devitations away.
How many % of the price data is between the bollinger bands?
95% of the price data.
If the price is on the upper end of the bollinger bands…
…the market is maybe overextended and we expect a selloff (and a move to the lower end) (overbought) (sell)
If the price is on the lower end of the bollinger bands…
…people may be looking for the market to roll back up and test the other end. (Oversold) (buy)
If volatility drops, the bollinger bands will…
…get tighter
If volatility increases, the bollinger bands will…
…widen
The default time period of bollinger bands is…
…20 days
Good entry point to buy or sell with bollinger bands is…
…when the bands start to widen and volatility increases.
Bearish divergence
Price reaches new high
Indicator makes a lower high.
Price likely to go down.
Bullish divergence
Price reaches a new low.
Indicator makes a higher low.
Price likely to go up.
Fibonnaci Retracements
Lines on the price chart on the 23.6%, the 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% mark to give you levels when to buy or sell.
VWAP
Volume Weighted Average Price. It gives the average price a security has traded at throughout the day.
Price above the VWAP
Bullish sentiment
Price below the VWAP
Bearish sentiment
VWAP calculation
Sum of prices x Volume / Total volume
Buy call option
Gives us the right to buy 100 stocks at a certain price (the strike price) (betting on long position, price rising)
Break even point (call option)
The Strike price + the premium cost. Everything above the strike price is profit.
IV Crush
Implied Volatility is high, and options are expensive (often before earnings reports)
When to buy call options
Before earnings
Uptrend
Market makes successive higher highs and higher lows.
Downtrend
Market makes successive lower highs and lower lows.
Trendline for an Uptrend
Connect major throughs (the lows) (At least 2 throughs and a 3rd one for confirmation)
Trendline for a Downtrend
Connect major peaks (the highs) (At least 2 peaks and a 3rd one for confirmation)
Trendlines can act as…
…support or resistance. If the price breaks through the trendline the trend might be over.
MACD
Moving Average Convergence Divergence
When the stock begins to rise, the faster MA is…
…above the slower one. That is because the more recent prices are getting stronger than prices in the past. Possible uptrend.
When the stock price begins to become weaker, the faster MA is…
…below the slower one. That means that the more recent prices are getting weaker than the prices in the past. Possible downtrend.
The 2 lines in the MACD indicator are…
…the MACD line itself, and the signal line.
The MACD line is…
…the difference between the fast and the slow moving average (both are EMAs)
When the faster MA is below the slower one, the MACD is…
…negative.
When the faster MA is above the slower one, the MACD is…
…positive.
The signal line is…
…a moving average of the MACD line (usually a nine period EMA of the MACD line).
When the MACD goes above its average price (the signal line)…
…it could mean that prices are getting stronger with a possible uptrend. (Early entry on a buy signal)
When the MACD line goes from below zero to above zero…
…there is a possible uptrend. (Buy signal)
When the MACD line goes from above zero to below zero…
…there is a possible downtrend. (Sell signal, or going short).
Negative Divergence
MACD moves inversely to a rising stock, and could signal a potential reversal.
Positive Divergence
MACD moves inversely to a falling stock, and could signal a potential reversal.
Pip
Smallest amount of movement in a currency pair (relevant to us). 4th place away from the decimal
Example: EUR/USD drops from 1.0787 to 1.0786, it dropped 1 Pip.
Pip for Yen currency pairs
It´s the 2nd decimal place. For example: 110.90, the 0 after the 9 is a Pip.
Equilibrium Point
The central line of the Pivot Points. This is where the next day´s trading is expected to occur.
Pivot Points
Equilibrium Point (center), 3 resistance levels (R1, R2, R3 above the EP), and 3 support levels (S1, S2, S3, below the EP).
A break UP through any pivot level could signal…
…a possible buying opportunity.