Techinical risks/Techinical risk management Flashcards
What are technical risks
The risk of balancing risks - the risk that total actual damage from claims will differ from the expectancy value in a period
What causes technical risk
- Randomness
- Change
- Error
Randomness
Higher or lower expected values
Changes
Risks have changed since the were first calculated
Error
The reference value is not correct or there was a miscalculation
Expected reserves =
RB (Financial reserves at the beginning of the year) + P - Lexp
What are the 5 policies for risk management
- Reserves policy
- Premuim policy
- Loss policy
- Rinsurance policy
- Portfolio policy
What does premium policy involve
Saftey loading
What happens if the safety loading is too high
Product is uncompetitive and you cant pool as many risks
What is the gross risk premium/net premium/risk premium
Net risk premium + safety loading premium
What is in the gross premium
risk premium, loading for admin, profit, tax
What are the 4 methods of calculating gross risk premium
- Extended expectancy-value principal
- Variance principal
- Standard deviation principal
- Variation principal
Extended expectancy-value premium
GRP= u + (loading) u
What is the issue with the expectancy-value premium method
Expectancy value is not a great method of measuring spread
Variance principal method
GRP= Exp value + loading (variance = std squared)