Straight Chains Flashcards
Interest rates effect through credit
More demand for credit
More consumption
Lower MPS Higher MPC
D outwards shift
P and Q (inelastic or elastic)
Inflation
Movement towards FE
Interest rates effect through BoP
Less FDI
HM outflows, capital flight
Decrease D for £
Depreciation
Better trade balance
Dearer M
Movement towards current account surplus
Interest rates effect through budgetary position
Base rate increase
CR increase
assumption same mag and dir
balance budget sheets of B
Interest rates effect through wage
increased confidence/animal spirits
anticipate inflation
wage up, prices up, cost push
wage price spiral due
Interest rates effect through supply
stimulate investment into prod. capital
increased confi
shift in ad and ;ras
therefore growth and emp, p the same
macro objectives
Evaluation of IR:
Forward guidance transparency (timing)
magnitude of change (stability)
economy stage
confidence
time lag
passing on - £23bn big 4 banks
Ricardian equivalence
cut tax rate in SR
national debt increases as ind. anticipate tax rise going forward
negates effects of EFP
interventionist SSP
R+D and training (human capital)
Infrastructure
Subsidies
Healthcare
boost LRAS
laffer curve drawbacks
theoretical model
impossible to know where you are
laffer curve chain
increase TR till a point
m=o then decrease:
disincentives to work
tax evas/avoid
emigration
higher skilled, make up TR a lot
drawbacks of SRPC
does not show LR
monetarists adapted to show LR in LRPC
SRPC Chain
conflict between infl. and unemployment
trad AD shift
movement along SRPC
inverse
demand pull infl
stagflation
shift in SRPC outwards
LRPC point
NARIU AND NRU
COVID monetary policy
interest rates 0.75% to 0.1% no effect so QE (495 bn)
growth, decresed U, prevented deflation
covid mon lead to
high inflation 11.1%
banks uncertain not willing to lend
constricted growth for a while
present day monetary policy
IR 0.1 to 5.25
quantative tightening to decrease inf
cons of monetary
bank failure (silicone valley, credit suisse) insolvency
decreased growth and increase U
decreased investment
combat economic inactivity
interventionist ssp
lower benefits and consumer taxes
decrease NRU
Infra and edu
combat hysteresis
regional growth
interventionist
corp tax and subs
productivity
labour market reform (min wage relax immigration)
cut corp
interventionist
deflation chain
deflation suggests inwards shift in AD
falling confidence
Falling prices, falling GDP
higher savings ratio, MPS up
rev businesses fall
cyclical unemployment
unemployment and growth conflict with obj
deflation chain eval
Benign deflation good (supply shift)
deflation could be caused by increase in aggregate supply, perhaps due to infrastructure improvements