Stats1- Probability and Random Variables Flashcards
What is probability
measure of how likely it is for an event to happen
Random Experiment is an experiment characterized by…
an uncertain outcome.
- Sample space Ω.
- P(Ω)
- What is an event in relation to the sample space Ω?
- P(Event) what is it? Value between…complement of p(event) what is it?
- the set of all possible outcomes of the experiment.
- 1
- an event is a subset of the sample space
- probability that an event occurs, it is a value between 0 and 1.
- The complement of p(event) is the probability that the event does not occur.
- What does it mean that 2 events are mutually exclusive (disjoint events)?
If 2 events are mutually exclusive what is:
- probability of the union;
- conditional probability;
- joint probability.
- 2 events are disjoint (mutually exclusive) if the occurrence of one implies the non occurrence of the other.
- probability of the union is P(A)+P(B).
- conditional probability P(A |B)= 0.
- joint probability P(AnB) = 0.
What does it mean that 2 events are joint events?
What is the probability of the union?
It means that they are not mutually exclusive and so the occurrence of one event does not exclude the occurence of the other event.
The probability of the union is P(AuB) = P(A)+P(B)-P(AnB)
When can 2 events be considered independent events?
- What is the joint probability of 2 independent events?
Independent events if the occurrence of one event does not affect the occurrence of the other.
P(AnB) = P(A)*P(B).
What does it mean “conditional probability”?
How is it calculated?
It is the probability of event A given the occurence of event B.
P(A |B) = P(AnB) / P(B)
What is the expected value?
Given an experiment with
- possible outcomes a1, a2…an;
- which occur with probabilities p1, p2…pn.
The expected value is the summation of ai * pi for each i that goes from 1 to n.
What is a permutation?
What is a r-permutation?
How do you calculate P(n, r)?
A permutation of a set of objects is an ordering of the objects in a row.
An r-permutation of a set of n-elements is an ordered selection of r elements taken from a set with n elements.
P(n,r)= n! / (n-r)!
What is a r-combination?
How do you calculate Cn,r?
Is the number of subsets of size r that can be chosen from a set of n elements.
Cn,r = n! / r!(n-r)! = (n r)