Stats Flashcards
Sensitivity?
TP/(TP+FN): Proportion with disease correctly identified
Specificity?
TN/(TN+FP): Proportion without disease correctly identified
Positive predictive value?
TP/(TP+FP)
The proportion with positive test results who have the disease
Negative predictive value?
TN/ TN+FN
The proportion with negative test results who don’t have the disease
How does prevalence change sensitivity and specificity?
Higher prevalence doesn’t change sensitivity or specificity but increases PPV and decreases NPV.
What are alpha and beta errors?
Reject the null hypothesis and it’s true —> alpha error
Not reject the null hypothesis and it’s false —> beta error
Power?
1-Beta error
FP rate?
FP/ FP+TP
FN rate?
FN/ FN+TN
How does sensitivity relate to FNR?
Sensitivity= 1-FNR
How does specificity relate to FPR?
SPP= 1- FPR
What is the odds ratio?
It tells you how the presence or absence of property X has an effect on the presence or absence of property Y.
B/D (odds a control exposed)
CxB (# times event didn’t)
Relative Risk?
Probability of exposed to the probability of not exposed
C/(C+D) (probability of not exposed getting dz)
Attributable Risk?
Excess risk of the outcome (e.g. disease) in the exposed group compared with the non-exposed group
AR = [a/(a+b)] – [c/(c+d)]
Likelihood ratio?
The probability of detecting cancer to the probability of not detecting cancer.
Positive LR = sensitivity / (100 – specificity)
Incident rate?
Number of cases in specific time / population of risk
RR or OR = 1.0 means?
No association of risk with disease
What does a regression analysis do?
Predicts or estimates a value of one variable corresponding to the given value of another variable.
Number Needed to Treat (NNT)
Number Needed to Treat (NNT): numbers needed for a screening test to detect one case to treat OR the number of vaccinations to prevent one case of disease. Ideal = 1
NNT=1/ Absolute risk reduction
E.g. drug reduces bad outcome from 50% to 40%
ARR= 0.5-0.4=0.1
NNT= 1/0.1 = 10