Statistics - Confidence Intervals Flashcards

1
Q

Why is a confidence interval about a point estimate reported?

A

A point estimate may be the mean

The confidence interval demonstrates how accurate this value may be

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2
Q

What is a sample mean used as an estimate of?

A

The true population mean

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3
Q

What is the standard error for the mean used to measure?

A

The confidence interval of a mean

The spread of the sample mean, NOT the spread of the actual measurements

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4
Q

What is the calculation for standard error?

A

se = sd/(square root n)

the standard deviation of the population is divided by the square root of the sample size

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5
Q

How does the standard error tend to change as sample size increases?

A

The standard error is reduced as sample size increases

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6
Q

what is a confidence interval used to specify?

A

it specifies a range of values (an interval) within which the true population mean is likely to lie

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7
Q

What is a necessary step needed to specify confidence intervals?

A

It is necessary to look up critical values from a normal distribution

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8
Q

what are the 2 cases that must be considered when calculating a confidence interval?

A
  1. when sd is known, or is estimated from a sample with 200 or more observations
  2. when sd has been estimated from a sample with less than 200 observations
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9
Q

How is a confidence interval for the mean calculated when sd for a population is known, or estimated from a sample of 200 or more observations?

A

It can be calculated using critical values from the standard normal distribution

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10
Q

In a population with known standard deviation, what is the best estimate for true population mean?

What confidence interval would be used?

A

the sample mean

A 95% confidence interval, which is constructed using the standard error of the mean

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11
Q

How can the 95% confidence interval be interpreted?

A

If a study was repeated many times, 95% of the times this interval will include the true population mean

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12
Q

What is the most important role of a confidence interval?

A

It gives a feasible range of values within which the true population might lie

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13
Q

If the population standard deviation is not known, how may it be calculated?

A

It can be estimated from a small sample of less than 200 observations

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14
Q

How do the critical values used to construct the confidence interval vary in small samples?

A

The critical values are a little bit larger

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15
Q

what is used opposed to the standard normal distribution in smaller samples?

A

Student’s t-test distribution for 95% confidence intervals

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16
Q

How are degrees of freedom calculated?

A

One less than the sample size

n-1

17
Q

For large values (sample size over 200) of the number of degrees of freedom, what is the critical value?

Why?

A

t = 1.96

This is the same as the normal critical value

For large sample sizes, sd is estimated well and the situation is similar to when sd is known

18
Q

Using the standard normal distribution, between which values do 95% of the distribution lie?

How does this give rise to critical values?

A

95% of the distribution lies between z=-1.96 and z=1.96

The critical values to calculate a confidence interval are z = -1.96 and z = 1.96

19
Q

Why is the Student’s t-test most often used to calculate the 95% confidence interval?

A

Usually, standard error is calculated from the sample

Standard error is not usually previously known

20
Q

What are the steps used to calculate the 95% confidence interval?

A
  1. determine sample size and degrees of freedom
  2. calculate mean and standard deviation
  3. calculate standard error
  4. look up critical value t in the table
  5. work out 95% confidence interval by:

[(mean - t) x (se)] , [(mean + t) x (se)]