Statistics Flashcards

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1
Q

what is the null hypothesis?

A

this is the statement that there is no relationship between two measured phenomena

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2
Q

how do we determine the NNT?

A

1/ARR

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3
Q

on a 2 x 2 table, what represents the Type I error and what is Type II error?

A

Type I error is when the test suggests there is a difference, but in fact there is NO difference.

Another way to frame this would be that the test incorrectly rejects the null hypothesis

this is what p value reflects

type II is when a test incorrectly suggests there is no difference, but in fact, there is.
This is a false negative. The test does NOT reject the null and is INCORRECT

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4
Q

what is statistical power?

A

1 - beta-error

this could also be worded as:

1 - chance of incorrectly failing to reject null

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5
Q

what sort of study measures incidence?

what sort of study measures prevalence?

A

incidence is a cohort study

prevalence is just a prevalence study

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6
Q

what is “attributable risk”?

how is it calculated

A

this is the incidence of disease attributable to exposure

AR = I(exposed) - I(nonexposed)

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7
Q

what is teh calculation for population attributable risk?

what is the calculation for population attributable fraction?

A

pop attrib risk is the incidence of a disease in a population associated with the occurrence of a risk factor

AR(p) = AR x P(risk factor)

Pop attrib fraction = what fraction of disease in a population is attributable to exposure to a risk factor

AF (p) = AR(p)/I(total)

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8
Q

what is the difference between an efficacy trial and an effectiveness trial?

A

the efficacy is a treatment under ideal conditions

effectiveness = treatment under ordinary conditions

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9
Q

what is the role of intention to treat?

A

this is a way to minimise bias

basically you have to analyse people based on whether you’d planned on treating them. NOT based on whether they took the drug/intervention

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10
Q

what is a case control study?

what sort of information does a case control study yield?

A

this is a retrospective study looking at an issue possibly leading to a a particular condition

it provides an odds ratio. This is done because it is not possible to measure incidence.

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11
Q

how do we calculate an odds ratio?

A

odds ratio = odds that a case is exposure / odds that a control is exposed

the formula is: AD/BC

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12
Q

in words, what does a positive likelihood ratio measure?

A

it is the proportion of patients with disease with a positive test, divided by the proportion of patients WITHOUT disease with a positive test.

that is,

[a/(a+c)] / [b/(b+d)]

also:
sens/ (1-spec)

(a neg LR is (1-sens)/spec)

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13
Q

if you are looking at a study and there’s no “time variable” what is the way to determine whether someone will have the disease?

A

WOW! That was a convoluted way of asking about Odds ratios.

The way that we run meta-analyses is by odds ratios. This is so we can compare studies over different time periods

that’s usually what those “forrest plots” show in Cochrane reviews

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14
Q

what is the meaning of the different levels of evidence?

what is level I

II?

IV?

A

I - at least one systematic review multiple good RCT’s

II - at least one good sized RCT

III - well designed trials without
randomisation - pre/post, cohort, time series, matched case control

IV - - non-experimental studies from more than one research group

V - Respected opinion

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15
Q

what is the best kind of trial to figure out the dose response of a treatment

what about reversibility of a condition

what about causation?

A

Temporality - Clinical Trial

Strength - cohort study

Dose-Response - case-control

Reversibility - cross sectional

Consistency - aggregate risk

Biological Plausibility - case series

Specificity - case report

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16
Q

A test has a sensitivity of 95% and a specificity of 80%.

previous data suggests this group has a pre-test prob 1%.

what is the post test probability of the condition if someone has a positive test?

NOTE: this is not positive predictive value

A

this is when we use likelihood ratios! it will be LR+ x prevalence

a positive likelihood ratio can be calculated as sens/(1-spec)

LR+ = 0.95/(1-0.8) = .95/.2 = 4.75

4.75 *0.01 = 0.0475 = 4.75%