SS 14. Equity Analysis and Valuation Flashcards
Sustainable Growth Rate formula:
ROE * Retention Ratio
Retention Ratio = 1 - dividend payout ratio
Dividend Discount Model (DDM):
Value of stock = Dividend per Share / (Discount rate - Dividend growth rate)
Earnings Multiplier Model:
P/E = dividend payout ratio / (cost of equity - growth rate)
Free Cash Flow (FCF) Model:
EBIT*(1-t) + depreciation + amortization - change in net working capital - capital expenditure
DuPont Formula:
ROE = Profit Margin x Asset Turnover Ratio x Equity Multiplier.
Profit Margin = Net Income / Sales
Asset Turnover Ratio = Sales/Assets
Equity Multiplier = Assets/Equity
3 Major Industry Classification Systems
- GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard)
- RGS (Russell Global Sectors)
- ICB (Industry Classification Benchmark)
4 stages of industry life-cycle:
- Embryonic
- Growth
- Shake out
- Mature/Declining
Michael Porter’s 5 Forces:
Determinants of the intensity of competition in an industry
- Threat of substitute products
- Bargaining power of customers
- Bargaining power of suppliers
- Threat of new entrants
- Intensity of rivalry
Embryonic stage involves (4):
- Slow growth
- High prices
- Significant Investment
- High Risk
Growth stage involves (4):
- Rapidly increasing demand
- Improving profitability
- Falling prices
- Low competition
Shake out stage involves (3):
- Slower growth
- Intense competition
- Declining profitability
Mature stage involves (3):
- Little or no growth
- Industry consolidation
- High barriers to entry
Decline stage involves (3):
- Negative growth
- Excess capacity
- High competition
Cost of Equity =
(Dividends per Share [for next year] / Current Market Value of Stock) \+ Divided Growth Rate
The value of preferred stock is calculated as:
dividend / required rate of return
EV (Enterprise Value) =
market value of common stock + market value of preferred equity + market value of debt + minority interest - cash and investments.
Callable preference shares are (more/less) costly than non-callable preference shares
Less
Callable shares enable issuer to buy back shares
Callable preference shares are (more/less) costly than putable preference shares
Less
Which of the following measures is easiest to estimate?
A) The cost of debt
B) The cost of equity
C) Minimum required return on equity
A) The cost of debt
The cost of debt is easy to calculate as it reflects the predetermined interest (coupon) rate that the company will pay bondholders. The cost of equity is difficult to estimate due to uncertain cash flows.
When would an analyst use asset-based valuation models to value a company?
When a company is not considered a going concern.
Enterprise value is sometimes known as:
The cost of a takeover
A disadvantage of the EV method for valuing equity is that the following information may be difficult to obtain:
Market value of debt
Which type of equity valuation model is preferable when one is comparing similar companies?
A multiplier model
Book Value of Equity =
Total assets - total liabilites
The key elements of strategic industry analysis include (5):
Demographic influences
Government influences
Social influences
Technology influences
Life cycle of the industry