SS 14. Equity Analysis and Valuation Flashcards
Sustainable Growth Rate formula:
ROE * Retention Ratio
Retention Ratio = 1 - dividend payout ratio
Dividend Discount Model (DDM):
Value of stock = Dividend per Share / (Discount rate - Dividend growth rate)
Earnings Multiplier Model:
P/E = dividend payout ratio / (cost of equity - growth rate)
Free Cash Flow (FCF) Model:
EBIT*(1-t) + depreciation + amortization - change in net working capital - capital expenditure
DuPont Formula:
ROE = Profit Margin x Asset Turnover Ratio x Equity Multiplier.
Profit Margin = Net Income / Sales
Asset Turnover Ratio = Sales/Assets
Equity Multiplier = Assets/Equity
3 Major Industry Classification Systems
- GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard)
- RGS (Russell Global Sectors)
- ICB (Industry Classification Benchmark)
4 stages of industry life-cycle:
- Embryonic
- Growth
- Shake out
- Mature/Declining
Michael Porter’s 5 Forces:
Determinants of the intensity of competition in an industry
- Threat of substitute products
- Bargaining power of customers
- Bargaining power of suppliers
- Threat of new entrants
- Intensity of rivalry
Embryonic stage involves (4):
- Slow growth
- High prices
- Significant Investment
- High Risk
Growth stage involves (4):
- Rapidly increasing demand
- Improving profitability
- Falling prices
- Low competition
Shake out stage involves (3):
- Slower growth
- Intense competition
- Declining profitability
Mature stage involves (3):
- Little or no growth
- Industry consolidation
- High barriers to entry
Decline stage involves (3):
- Negative growth
- Excess capacity
- High competition
Cost of Equity =
(Dividends per Share [for next year] / Current Market Value of Stock) \+ Divided Growth Rate
The value of preferred stock is calculated as:
dividend / required rate of return