Solow Growth Model Flashcards

1
Q

Capital Accumulation Equation

A

𝐾𝑑+1 = 𝐾𝑑 + 𝐼𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑑𝐾𝑑
Next year’s capital = this year’s capital + investment - the depreciation rate

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2
Q

Change in Capital Stock Equation

A

βˆ†πΎπ‘‘+1≑ 𝐾𝑑+1 βˆ’ 𝐾𝑑 (β€”>)* βˆ†πΎπ‘‘+1= 𝐼𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑑𝐾𝑑

*When Capital Accumulation Equation substituted into 𝐾𝑑

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3
Q

𝐾𝑑+1 = 𝐾𝑑 + 𝐼𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑑𝐾𝑑

A

The Capital Accumulation Equation

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4
Q

What is βˆ†πΎπ‘‘+1= 𝐼𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑑𝐾𝑑

A

The Change in Capital Stock Equation

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5
Q

Gross Investment and Consumption Equations (In terms of Output)

A

𝐼𝑑 = π‘ π‘Œπ‘‘
𝐢𝑑 = (1 βˆ’ 𝑠)π‘Œπ‘‘

Agents consume some fraction of output and invest the rest

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6
Q

𝐼𝑑 = π‘ π‘Œπ‘‘

A

Gross Investment Equation (In terms of Output)

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7
Q

𝐢𝑑 = (1 βˆ’ 𝑠)π‘Œπ‘‘

A

Gross Consumption Equation

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8
Q

Labour Equation

A

𝐿𝑑 = 𝐿

The amount of labour in the economy is given exogenously at a constant level

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9
Q

Cobb-Douglas Production Function (L exogenous)

A

π‘Œπ‘‘ [= 𝐹(𝐾𝑑,𝐿)] = A𝐾𝑑^1/3𝐿^2/3

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10
Q

π‘Œπ‘‘ = A𝐾𝑑^1/3𝐿^2/3

A

Cobb-Douglas Production Function (L exogenous)

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11
Q

Equation for MPL (Marginal Product of Labour)

A

𝑑𝐹(𝐾, 𝐿) / 𝑑𝐿 ≑ 𝑀𝑃𝐿 = 𝑀

𝑀 = wage

First derivative of Cobb-Douglas Production Function with respect to L is MPL

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12
Q

𝑑𝐹(𝐾, 𝐿) / 𝑑𝐿 ≑ 𝑀𝑃𝐿 = 𝑀

A

Equation for MPL

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13
Q

Equation for MPK (Marginal Product of Capital)

A

(𝑑𝐹(𝐾, 𝐿) / 𝑑𝐾) - 𝑑 ≑ 𝑀𝑃𝐾 = r

r = real interest rate = The amount a person can earn by saving one unit of output for a year

First derivative of Cobb-Douglas Production Function with respect to K is MPK

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14
Q

(𝑑𝐹(𝐾, 𝐿) / 𝑑𝐾) - 𝑑 ≑ 𝑀𝑃𝐾 = r

A

Equation for MPK

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15
Q

Net Investment Equation

A

βˆ†πΎπ‘‘+1= π‘ π‘Œπ‘‘ βˆ’ 𝑑𝐾𝑑
Net investment = Gross investment - Depreciation

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16
Q

βˆ†πΎπ‘‘+1= π‘ π‘Œπ‘‘ βˆ’ 𝑑𝐾𝑑

A

Net Investment Equation

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17
Q

Gross Investment Equation (In terms of the Production Function)

A

π‘ π‘Œπ‘‘ = 𝑠A𝐾𝑑^1/3𝐿^2/3

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18
Q

π‘ π‘Œπ‘‘ = 𝑠A𝐾𝑑^1/3𝐿𝑑^2/3

A

Gross Investment Equation (In terms of the Production Function)

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19
Q

If π‘ π‘Œπ‘‘ > 𝑑𝐾𝑑, what happens?

A

Capital stock will increase

Because βˆ†πΎπ‘‘+1= 𝐼𝑑 βˆ’ 𝑑𝐾𝑑 where 𝐼𝑑 = π‘ π‘Œπ‘‘

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20
Q

What must be true for capital stock to increase?

A

π‘ π‘Œπ‘‘ > 𝑑𝐾𝑑

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21
Q

How can consumption be seen in the Solow diagram?

A

It is the difference between the output curve and investment and depreciation curves (π‘ π‘Œπ‘‘ and 𝑑𝐾𝑑) at the point where they intercept

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22
Q

At what point do the investment and depreciation curves (π‘ π‘Œπ‘‘ and 𝑑𝐾𝑑) intercept?

A

The steady state - where, in the long run, π‘ π‘Œ* = 𝑑𝐾* and βˆ†πΎπ‘‘+1= 0

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23
Q

Steady-State Output Equation (Cobb-Douglas)

A

π‘Œ* = A𝐾*^1/3𝐿^2/3

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24
Q

π‘Œ* = A𝐾*^1/3𝐿^2/3

A

Steady-State Output Equation (Cobb-Douglas)

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25
Q

Steady-State Level of Capital Equation

A

𝐾* = ((𝑠A/𝑑)^3/2)𝐿

Sub π‘ π‘Œ* = 𝑑𝐾* into the Steady-State Output Equation and rearrange for 𝐾*

An increasing function of:
- the investment rate,
- the size of the workforce
- the productivity of the economy
A decreasing function of:
- the depreciation rate

26
Q

𝐾* = ((𝑠A/𝑑)^3/2)𝐿

A

Steady-State Level of Capital Equation

27
Q

What is Transition Dynamics?

A

The process of the economy moving from its initial level of capital to the steady state

28
Q

Steady-State Output Equation (K substituted)

A

π‘Œ* = (𝑠/𝑑)^1/2A^3/2𝐿

[All exogenous so all bar]

29
Q

π‘Œ* = (𝑠/𝑑)^1/2A^3/2𝐿

A

Steady-State Output Equation (K substituted)

30
Q

Equation for Output-per-Person in Steady-State

A

𝑦* ≑ π‘Œ*/𝐿 = (𝑠/𝑑)^1/2A^3/2

31
Q

𝑦* = (𝑠/𝑑)^1/2A^3/2

A

Equation for Output-per-Person in Steady-State

32
Q

Why does the economy reach a steady-state?

A

Investment has diminishing returns - The rate at which production and investment rise is smaller as the capital stock increases… but….
A constant (not diminishing) fraction of the capital stock depreciates each period… so…
Eventually, net investment reaches 0 and output, capital, output per person and consumption per person are all constant

33
Q

What does the Solow model show about long-term growth?

A

It cannot be fuelled by capital accumulation

34
Q

If the depreciation rate is exogenously shocked to a higher rate, what happens to the depreciation (𝑑𝐾𝑑) and savings (π‘ π‘Œπ‘‘) curves?

A
  • The depreciation curve rotates upwards
  • The investment curve remains unchanged
35
Q

What happens to the level of capital and output if the depreciation rate is exogenously shocked to a higher rate?

A

Steady-state shifts left as depreciation exceeds investment in the short-run, decreasing level of capital (K*)

A leftward shift along the Yt curve decreases Y* This can be shown on a single variable diagram plotted against time.

36
Q

If the savings rate is exogenously shocked to a higher rate, what happens to the depreciation (𝑑𝐾𝑑) and savings (π‘ π‘Œπ‘‘) curves?

A
  • The investment curve shifts/rotates upwards
  • The depreciation curve remains unchanged
37
Q

What happens to the level of capital and output if the investment rate is exogenously shocked to a higher rate?

A

Steady-state shifts right as investment exceeds depreciation in the short-run, increasing level of capital (K*)

A rightward shift along the Yt curve increases Y*. This can be shown on a single variable diagram plotted against time

38
Q

What is s?

A

The savings rate

39
Q

Different values of s lead to different steady states. How do we know which of these is β€˜best’?

A

The β€œbest” steady state has the highest possible value of consumption

40
Q

Steady-State Consumption Equation

A

𝐢* = (1 βˆ’ 𝑠)A𝐾^1/3𝐿^2/3 = (1 βˆ’ 𝑠)𝑓(𝐾)

In the steady state: 𝐼* = 𝑑𝐾* because Δ𝐾* = 0
So 𝐢* = π‘Œ* βˆ’ 𝐼* = 𝑓(𝐾) βˆ’ 𝐼
𝐢 = 𝑓(𝐾*) βˆ’ 𝑑𝐾

41
Q

𝐢* = 𝑓(𝐾) βˆ’ 𝑑𝐾

A

Steady-State Consumption Equation

42
Q

How do we notate the steady-state level of capital that maximises consumption?

A

𝐾*π‘”π‘œπ‘™π‘‘

43
Q

How do you find 𝐾*π‘”π‘œπ‘™π‘‘?

A

The level of 𝐾* at which the gap between the 𝑓(𝐾) and 𝑑𝐾 curves is greatest

Mathematically, where the gradient of 𝑓(𝐾) is equal to the gradient of 𝑑𝐾 (or 𝑓’(𝐾*) = 𝑑)

44
Q

If 𝐾* > 𝐾*π‘”π‘œπ‘™π‘‘, how should policy makers effect s?

A

Increasing 𝐢* requires a fall in s.
At all points in the transition period, consumption will be higher, but output and investment will fall

45
Q

If 𝐾* < 𝐾*π‘”π‘œπ‘™π‘‘, how should policy makers effect s?

A

Increasing 𝐢* requires a rise in s.
Initially, consumption will fall, but in the long run, consumption, output, and investment will all rise

46
Q

Population and Labour Force Growth Rate Equation

A

βˆ†πΏ/𝐿 = 𝑛

Where n is exogenous

47
Q

𝑛 = βˆ†πΏ/𝐿

A

Population and Labour Force Growth Rate Equation

48
Q

Change in Capital-per-Worker Equation

A

Ξ”π‘˜π‘‘+1 = 𝑠𝑓(π‘˜π‘‘) βˆ’ (𝑑+𝑛)π‘˜π‘‘

Change in capital-per-worker = actual investment - break-even investment

49
Q

Ξ”π‘˜π‘‘+1 = 𝑠𝑓(π‘˜π‘‘) βˆ’ (𝑑+𝑛)π‘˜π‘‘

A

Change in Capital-per-Worker Equation

50
Q

What is break-even investment?

A

The amount of investment necessary to
keep capital per worker π‘˜π‘‘ constant
π‘›π‘˜π‘‘ - to equip new workers with capital
π‘‘π‘˜π‘‘ - to replace worn out capital

51
Q

What happens to the steady-state level of capital-per-worker with changes in 𝑛?

A

An increase in 𝑛 causes an increase in break-even investment, leading to a lower steady-state level of capital per worker
An decrease in 𝑛 causes an decrease in break-even investment, leading to a higher steady-state level of capital per worker

52
Q

What are the steady-state growth rates of total capital and output, and per-worker capital and output?

A

π‘˜* - 0
𝑦* - 0
𝐾* - 𝑛
π‘Œ* - 𝑛

53
Q

How do you construct the growth rate equation for any given equation?

A

Growth rates operations are one level β€˜simpler’ than the operations on
original variables:

  1. If 𝑧𝑑 = π‘₯𝑑/𝑦𝑑, then 𝑔𝑧 = 𝑔π‘₯ βˆ’ 𝑔𝑦
  2. If 𝑧𝑑 = π‘₯𝑑 Γ— 𝑦𝑑, then 𝑔𝑧 = 𝑔π‘₯ + 𝑔𝑦
  3. If 𝑧𝑑 = π‘₯𝑑^𝛼, then 𝑔𝑧 = 𝛼 Γ— 𝑔π‘₯
54
Q

What is the growth function for the Cobb-Douglas Production Function?
(Growth Rate of GDP Equation)

A

π‘Œπ‘‘ = A𝐾𝑑^1/3𝐿^2/3
becomes
π‘”π‘Œπ‘‘ = 𝑔𝐴𝑑 + 1/3𝑔𝐾𝑑 + 2/3𝑔𝐿𝑑

Where 𝑔𝐴𝑑 is the growth rate of TFP

55
Q

π‘”π‘Œπ‘‘ = 𝑔𝐴𝑑 + 1/3𝑔𝐾𝑑 + 2/3𝑔𝐿𝑑

A

Growth Rate of GDP Equation

56
Q

What is TFP?

A

Total Factor Productivity

57
Q

Positives and negatives of growth accounting

A

Negative:
- Only reveals the immediate contributors to growth and ignores the deeper issue of what causes those changes

Positive: very useful in studying important economic issues e.g.
- Sources of rapid growth of the newly industrializing countries
- Importance of misallocation of inputs across firms
- Questioning a productivity slowdown or a measurement problem

58
Q

What is convergence theory?

A

If a country is far below its steady state, it will grow quickly. β€˜Poor’ countries should therefore grow quicker than β€˜rich’ countries, shrinking the income gap and converging towards a point of equality

59
Q

Why does convergence theory fail?

A
  • Most countries have already reached their steady states
  • Most countries are poor not because of bad shocks but because they have
    parameters that yield a lower steady state
60
Q

Strengths of the Solow model

A

Strengths:
- It provides a framework to determine how rich a country is in the long run
- long run = steady state, pinned down by technology, investment rate etc.
- The principle of transition dynamics can be helpful in understand differences in growth rates across countries

61
Q

Weaknesses of the Solow model

A

Weaknesses:
- Focusses on investment and capital
- The much more important factor of TFP is left unexplained
- It does not explain differences in investment rates and productivity growth
- The model does not provide a theory of sustained long-run growth

62
Q

What factors might explain very different TFP across countries?

A

Quality of Institutions:
- Political stability
- Transparency
- Accountability