Sept 25 Flashcards
What is attributable risk?
-how much of a disease can be attributed to exposure in an exposure group -how much of the risk (incidence) can we hope to prevent if we are able to eliminate exposure to the risk factor
What formula would you use to answer: What proportion of the risk in exposed persons is due to exposure?
-AR= (incidence in exposed- incidence in unexposed)/incidence in exposed
Explain the yellow versus blue area
- blue area is baseline risk shared by both exposed and unexposed groups (could be due to genetics, environment, etc.)
- “excess incidence”; yellow area is the additional risk that is conferred by the exposure (additional risk that you have from doing what you do)
What is population attributable risk?
- eg: what can we hope to accomplish in the population if we got smokers to quit smoking
- PAR= (incidence in total population- incidence in unexposed group)
Need to know: incidence in exposed (smokers) and unexposed groups (non smokers), proportion of total population who does exposure (smokers in Canada)
How to calculate incidence in total population
Incidence in total pop= (incidence in exposed)(%exposed in that population) + (incidence in unexposed)(%unexposed in that population)
-picture shows how to calculate percent population attributable risk
What are differences between RR and AR/PAR?
- RR is used to measure the strength of an association and help assess causation (but does not say exposure x causes disease y)
- AR/PAR used to assess the potential effects of prevention programs in public health
What is incidence density?
-number of cases/person time of follow up
Interpret by saying: Incidence is ___ cases of disease per ___ person-years of follow-up
-slightly more accurate when we don’t have complete follow up
What are cross sectional studies?
- assess exposures and outcomes
- identifying exposure status and outcome status at the same point in time
- can’t determine temporality (no cause and effect)
- can’t calculate relative risk (some subjects will already have the disease so they don’t have risk to develop it and some subjects we aren’t following up in time to see who gets the disease)
- useful as a first look to generate hypotheses
What can you calculate from cross sectional study?
-prevalence of disease in exposed/prevalence of disease in unexposed
Strengths of cross sectional studies
- quick, cheap
- useful if we have hypotheses in the beginning stages, hypothesis generation, exploratory analyses
Weaknesses of cross sectional studies
- reverse causality bias: E and D assessed at the same time so can’t be sure which one preceded the other
- prevalent cases may not be representative of all cases (more likely to be cases of long duration, survivorship bias: people who have lived with disease tend to be alive longer)
- don’t capture cases of disease where they die quickly
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