Sensitivity Anaylsis Flashcards
What are the typical measures of return?
- Cash-on-Cash Return
- Cap Rate
- Unleveraged IRR
- Leveraged IRR
- After-Tax-Leveraged IRR
- Investor’s Before-Tax IRR
How do you partition the IRR?
- Breakdown between operating cash flows and reversion cash flows PV of the entire project.
- PV of the Cash Flow from Ops (%) PV of the Cash Flow from Sale (%)
What are the 2 approaches of a sensitivity analysis?
Changing 1 assumption at a time. Combing assumptions to create multiple scenarios
What are the drivers of Cash Flows from Operations (sensitivity analysis)?
- Initial Rents
- Vacancy Rates
- Inflation
What are drivers of cash flows from investing activities (sensitivity analysis)?
- Stabilized cash flows at sale
- Going-out cap rate
What are the drivers of cash flows from financing activities (sensitivity analysis)?
- Leverage Ratio (loan)
- Interest Rate
- Amortization
- Equity
- Investor Returns
What effect will the variables have on sensitivity analysis?
What are the step to sensitivtiy anaylsis?
- Identify the Variables
- Confrim effect of Varibales
- Setup Baseline, Optimistic, & Pessimistic
- Setup Live Test in Sensitivity Anaylsis sheet and run live data
- Calculate Risk Premium-to-Risk Ratio
What is the Risk Premium-to-Risk Ratio?
The return given for each additional 1% of risk taken on a project.
What is the equation for Risk Premium-to-Risk Ratio?
(Return - Risk Free Rate)
________________(divide)
Range of Possible Return