Section A Flashcards
Slow Product Development Cycles
- Average launch time is 7-9 months
- Bottlenecks
a) Administration - need to update systems
b) Distribution training
c) Marketing materials
d) Illustration System - Some countries use incentives to motivate the product development team
- Steering committees - help direct the product development process
- Increase IT headcount to improve speed to market
Life Insurance…Innovation and Optimization (LFV-140-16)
Global Insurance Market Trends
- Low interest rates
- Lower profitability due to lower investment income
- Alternative asset classes to boost yields
- Robust premium growth (3.3%)
- Stable underwriting margins
- Changing regulatory landscape (Solvency II, PBR, IFRS)
- Low number of catastrophic events recently - good experience for catastrophic coverage
- M&A activity has increased (Mergers and Acquisitions)
International Association…Insurance Market Report (LP-138-16)
Motivations for M&A Activity
- Enter a new market (cross border, new products)
- Increase size (economies of scale / diversification of risk)
- Response to new regulation
- Capital management
- Horizontal integration
- Vertical integration
- Less opportunity for organic growth
International Association…Insurance Market Report (LP-138-16)
Regulation of Insurance M&A in China
- China regulators are considered with the following:
a. Insurance company solvency position
b. Overall impact on the insurance industry
c. Impact on the customer - Regulators need to approve an acquisition before it can proceed.
International Association…Insurance Market Report (LP-138-16)
Regulation of Insurance M&A in Bermuda
- Pre-announcement - Bermuda Monetary Authority (BMA) should be notified and engaged
- Upon announcement
a. May engage another jurisdiction’s supervisor (if appropriate)
b. Engages with management of the impacted companies - Post shareholder approval - BMA will get progress updates periodically.
- Post-closing of the deal -BMA will monitor integration of companies
International Association…Insurance Market Report (LP-138-16)
M&A in Bermuda Types of Information Regulator Will Review
- Company strategy
- Risk management
- Transaction details
- Business plans
- Plans for integration
International Association…Insurance Market Report (LP-138-16)
Characteristics of Term Insurance
- Term insurance provides protection for a specified period of time
- Coverage Periods and Face Amount Patterns
- Premium Patterns and Premium Guarantees
- Premium differences by policy size
- Premium differences by underwriting class
- Riders
- Options
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 1
Term Insurance Coverage Period, Face Amount Pattern, and Premiums
- Coverage Period – stated number of years or until a given age
- Face amount patterns
a. Increasing – commonly indexed to inflation
b. Level – most common
c. Decreasing – used for mortgage protection - Premiums can increase, decrease or remain level
- Premium scale
a. Attained age scale
b. Select scale
c. Select and ultimate scale - Term premiums are often guaranteed for an initial period and then subject to change
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 1
Solutions for Decreasing Term
Level premium becomes very high in relation to DB
This may cause high lapses in later years
Possible solutions
- Limited payment decreasing term
- Decreasing premium scales
- Make DB level after period of time
- Premium = DB * one-year term rate
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 1
Par Term
High guaranteed premium offset by dividends
Results in a decreasing premium pattern
Advantages of par term
- High gross premiums minimize the need for deficiency reserves
- Premiums provide a cushion against adverse future experience
- Insured’s net outlay may actually decrease in later policy years
- Decreasing or modestly increasing net outlays encourage persistency
- Slope of GP scale can sometimes lower costs by minimizing CV
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 1
Term Insurance
Premium Differences by Policy
Size or Underwriting Class
- Options to vary premium by policy size:
a. Banding
b. Policy fee
c. Could use both banding and policy fee
d. Continuous rate structure – similar to banding but no cliff - Premium discounts for insureds that meet preferred criteria
- Premium discounts for females
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 1
Term Insurance
Riders and Options
- Term insurance is often attached to a permanent policy as a rider
- No policy fee for a term rider
- Term riders on child or spouse provide for small benefits
- Common options in term products
a. Conversion – can convert term policy to a permanent policy
b. Guaranteed insurability option – can increase face amount without evidence of insurability
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 1
Pricing Considerations for Term Insurance
- Mortality
- Lapse Rates
- Underwriting
- Commission
- Expense and inflation
- Pricing options
- Profit objectives
- Legal and regulatory issues
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 1
Pricing Considerations for Term Insurance
Mortality
- Significant factor for term pricing
- High face amounts will lead to good mortality in early years
- The slope of mortality by duration is influenced by:
a. Unhealthy lives extending coverage
b. Healthy insureds finding lower rates
c. Extremely competitive market - Renewal mortality is difficult for increasing term because most exposure is weighted toward later policy durations
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 1
Pricing Considerations for Term Insurance
Commission
- Competition has driven commission rates and 1st year premiums down
- First year commission rates lower than 30% are rare
- Renewal commissions of 5% are typical
- Agents have incentives to replace business frequently
a. Higher commission rates in the first year
b. They can obtain a lower premium for their clients
c. If agent doesn’t replace policy, another agent may steal the policy
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 1
Approach to Charging for Options in Term Products
- Costs are borne by people who exercise the option
- Cost borne by all people who have the option available
- Costs borne by everyone, whether they want the options or not
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 1
Extra Mortality Costs for Conversion
A_{(x,m,r)} \textup{ - PV at age x of extra mortality cost due to conversion at year r}\newline\newline
A_{x,m,r} = ${t}p{x,m}$\times$e_{x,m,r}\times$K_{x,m,r}\times$v^{t} \newline\newline
K_{(x,m,r)} \textup{ - PV at age y of extra mortality cost where y = x + r} \newline\newline
K_{x,m,r}=\sum_{t=1}^{\infty}${t-1}p{y,m,r}\times[q_{(y,m,r)+t-1}-q_{[y]+t-1}]\times$NAR_{y+t}\times$v^{t}
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 1
Term Conversion Lapse Experience
- Decreasing lapses by increasing age at conversion
- First year lapses were higher than renewal lapses
- Lapse rates for “last chance” conversions tended to be lower
- Lapse rates for plans with automatic conversion features were higher
- Female lapse rates higher than male lapse rates
- At younger ages, lapse rates for paramedical business > non-medical business > medical business
- Lapse rates for base policies versus riders varied by product
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 1
Term Conversion Mortality Experience
- Mortality ratios more favorable for policies that converted prior to the end of the conversion period.
- Mortality experience for automatic conversion policies and renewable term plans was very favorable
- Decreasing term plans showed significantly higher mortality ratios
- Female ratios were lower than male ratios
- Select period mortality ratios were lowest for paramedical policies < medical < non-medical policies
- Mortality ratios were higher for term conversions (vs. rider conversions)
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 1
Determining the Cost of Options
LaTeX needed
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 1
Characteristics of UL Products
- Cash Value
- Cost of insurance charge (COI)
- Expense charges
- Surrender charge
- Credited interest rate
- Partial withdrawals
- Persistency bonus
- Current and guaranteed charges
- Funds are deposited into the general account
- Guaranteed minimum interest rate
- Death Benefit Options
- Policy Loans
- Riders
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 2
UL Credited Rate
- Interest rate credited may be declared monthly
- One-year guarantees are common
- Portfolio or new money rates
- Credited Rate = Earned Rate - Spread
- Policy fees have been replaced by only crediting current interest to AV in excess of $x
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 2
Advantages/Disadvantages of Fixed Premium UL (FPUL)
Advantages of FPUL (vs. flexible premium)
- Similar to traditional products
- Policyholder has minimum guaranteed benefits
- Higher premium is used in calculating the commission
- Fixed premiums may enhance persistency
Disadvantages of FPUL
- No premium flexibility
- Additional premiums can complicate administration
- Vanishing premium dependent on interest rates
- Vanishing premium provision is subject to lawsuits
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 2
Advantages of Group UL
- Many states allow expense loads to be changed on a group by group basis
- Multiple employer trusts allow for efficiencies in contract filing
- GUL includes features like experience rating and mortality charges based upon historical experience
- Guaranteed issue limits
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 2
Source of Profit Analysis For UL
CRIES
- Cost of insurance charges less death benefit paid
- Reserve released in excess of AV released
- Interest earned less interest credited
- Expense charges less expenses and commissions
- Surrender charges
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 2
VUL has similarities to UL and Fixed Premium Variable Life
Similarities to fixed premium variable life include:
- Separate accounts
- Several investment options
- Sales loads may be limited by regulation
- Other charges may be limited
Similarities to UL
- Flexible premium payments
- Death Benefit Types 1 & 2 are available
- Changes in DB allowed
- Monthly charges
- Charge for riders deducted from fund
- Combination of front and back-end loads
- Commissions based on more than one factor
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 3
Types of Fixed Premium Variable Life
- Dutch Design
a. Not currently in use by a U.S. company
b. Simplest design, but required premiums vary over time
c. DB / premium constant in # of shares - New York Life Design
a. LaTex needed DB = Face(0)*(actual CV / tabular CV)
b. CV tabular is the CV if separate account earns exactly the AIR (Assumed Interest Rate) - Equitable Design
a. Used by almost every company in the US
b. LaTex needed DB = Face(0) + (Excess of investment performance over AIR)/A(x+t)
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 3
Characteristics of Survivorship Insurance
- Pays death benefit on the second death
- Can take the form of UL, traditional par WL, and excess interest WL
- Single Status vs. Dual Status
- Joint age calculation
- Substandard and uninsurables
- Flexibility is important – death benefits and premiums
- Competitive, sophisticated, affluent market
- Common riders
a. Policy split
b. Estate preservation rider
c. First-to-die term rider
d. Automatic increase in death benefit - Sold in the estate planning and business insurance market
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 4
Substandards and Uninsurables for Survivorship
- Many survivorship sales are to older couples with substandard ratings
- This is OK since there are two lives – need one life to be healthy
- Increase in cost is much smaller than with a single life coverage
- Even if one life is uninsurable, may be offered with rate-up to age 90
- Important to distinguish between uninsurable lives and terminally ill
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 4
Riders on Survivorship Products Usually Have an Explicit Charge Because
- Valuation issues arise if free term insurance is provided
- Market is sophisticated and knows that nothing is free
- Cost is relatively small and insureds are willing to pay for it
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 4
Pricing Considerations for Survivorship
- Mortality
- Lapses –very high persistency
- Expenses – have to underwrite two lives
- Reinsurance – large face amounts and heavy reinsurance
- Cash value, reserves, and taxation
a. High cash value OK since lapses are low
b. High cash value will increase tax reserve and will increase profits. - Pricing Methodology – differences compared to single life products
a. Joint age calculation
b. Mortality contagion factor
c. Adjust retention limit
d. Reinsurance costs
e. Automatic increase in death benefit
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 4
Mortality Assumption for Survivorship
- High face amounts will lead to strict underwriting
- Degree of underwriting concessions should be considered
- Joint accident risk and Broken heart syndrome
- All survivorship insurance is medically underwritten
- Socio-economic class of lives insured
- Impact of very low lapses on long-term mortality
- Married individuals should be lower than aggregate
- Higher exposure to female population
- More exposure to older ages
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 4
Ways to Cover Substandard Mortality
FLAT Return
- Flat extra premiums
- Lien method
- Advance in age
- Table ratings
- Return of premiums
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 5
Considerations When Determining Extra Premiums for Substandard Risks
- Number of and Definitions for Substandard Rating Classes
- Gross extra premium calculations
- Mortality – start with base mortality with no margins
- Subdivision by male/female and smoker/nonsmoker
- Subdivision by plan
- Expenses
- Not taken and lapse rates
- Extra cost of extended term and reduced paid up
- Premium paying period
- Supplementary benefits
- Reduction or removal of ratings
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 5
Gross Extra Premium Calculations
LaTex needed.
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 5
FPDA Surrender Charge Designs
- SC associated with each premium payment (% of premium)
- SC as a % of the sum of the premiums paid in past x months
- SC as a % of min(AV, last x years’ premiums)
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 6
Penalty-free partial withdrawal provisions
- Enables the contract holder to surrender a portion of AV without SC
- Limits on the number of PW per year and the amount of PW
- Amount withdrawn may be limited to 50% of paid premiums
- Usually subject to a minimum withdrawal amount ($25-$100)
- Usually a minimum AV requirement after withdrawal
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 6
Bonus Features for Deferred Annuities
- Annuitization bonuses – Often 2%-10% of AV
- Persistency bonuses
- Bonuses on large AVs
- New funds bonuses - additional 100 bps in first year after a deposit
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 6
Pricing Considerations for Deferred Annuities
- Asset/Liability risk
- Interest spread and crediting strategy
- Withdrawal assumptions
- Mortality
- Commissions and expenses
- External factors
- Surplus strain (first year commission and reserve increase)
- Scenario/Sensitivity testing
- Profit Objectives
- Pricing horizons – 10 to 20 years is common
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 6
Interest Spread For Deferred Annuities
- Credited Rate = Earned Rate - Spread
- New money or portfolio method
- Common to have target spread between 125-200 bps
- Useful to break spread into
a. Expenses
b. Losses on surrenders not offset by surrender charges
c, Product features
d. Risk charge
e. Profits
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 6
Deferred Annuity Mortality, Commission, and Expenses
Mortality
- Not a significant factor in the pricing of DAs
- GMDB may cause mortality to be more important
- Select and ultimate mortality is not appropriate since there’s no underwriting
- Little industry guidance
Commissions and Expenses
- First year commission between 3% - 8% is common
- Trailer commissions are common
- Acquisition expenses are relatively low
- Maintenance expenses are relatively low
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 6
Bailout Pricing
- Additional surplus strain due to statutory reserve requirements
- Value of option = cost of excess lapses + lost SCs + cost of artificially supporting a high credited rate
- Use dynamic interest scenario testing
- The cost will be the additional spread required to force median profit result to equal the profit under a deterministic profit test
- Approximate cost = avg lost SC * excess lapse rate * prob of trigger
- Total option cost = Cost of the option + cost of the additional required surplus
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 6
Characteristics of Variable Deferred Annuities
- Funds can be deposited into separate accounts or general account
- Product Guarantees
a. Full AV will be paid at death (no SC)
b. Some guarantee that DB must be stipulated minimum
c. Guaranteed maximum expense charges - Product Charges
a. Front-end load
b. Rear-end load (SC)
c. Percentage of asset charge
d. Other Fees – may be assessed a periodic fixed fee
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 7
Pricing Considerations for Variable Deferred Annuities
- Expense charges should be solved given desired profits
- Lapses – two measures: withdrawals and premium persistency
- Average size – measured in terms of premium
- Expenses
a. Similar to fixed deferred annuities
b. Higher administration expenses due to daily asset calc
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 7
Pricing Considerations for Income Annuities
- Mortality
- Premium Taxes, Commissions, and Administrative Expenses
a. Assess all charges explicitly up front
b. Commission rates range 2%-4% of GP
c. Administrative charges expressed as per life or percent of benefits - Statutory Surplus Strain
a. Actuarial reserve established at issue will typically exceed the premium charged
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 8
Mortality For Income Annuities
- Industry studies are available
- Use sex distinct mortality rates
- Mortality improvements should be priced into product to add conservatism
- Substandard mortality should be used for certain income annuities (structured settlements)
Life and Annuity Product Features (LP-105-07) Chap 8