Section 2.1.32 Planning and Cash Flow Flashcards

1
Q

planning and cash flow

A

planning a firm’s financial requirements is helped by a clear, detailed business plan. cash flow is the flow of money into and out of a business in a given time period

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2
Q

a good plan should be

A

persuasive to an outside investor and useful to the entrepreneur

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3
Q

a good plan should explain

A

what makes the business special and help the entrepreneur to focus on what she or he is trying to achieve.

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4
Q

a good plan will help

A

the outsider understand the risks and rewards involved in the proposal. the outsider could be a bank or ‘dragon’ type of investor interested in an ownership stake of the business

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5
Q

a banks main concern is

A

that the start-up will be a safe investment

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6
Q

a ‘dragon’ is mainly interested in

A

the upside potential - that is, the chance of making a huge profit

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7
Q

either type of financier will want

A

to see a carefully prepared plan with a well-considered proposal for the sums of money needed

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8
Q

the heart of a business plan should be based around

A

competitive advantage

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9
Q

competitive advantage

A

identifying the features of your own product or service that will make it succeed against competitors. this may be based on a unique idea, a better product or service or the protection provided by a patent or copyright. on the other hand, a business may decide to strip a product or service down, to make it possible to be the cheapest in the market

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10
Q

business plans usually contain:

A

1) executive summary
2) a product/service
3) the market
4) marketing plan
5) operational plan
6) financial plan
7) conclusion

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11
Q

executive summary

A
  • should be short, but compelling enough to persuade the busy banker to want to read on
  • should say who you are, what the customer’s ‘pain’ is and how you will ‘relieve’ it
  • why your team is ideal for the task
  • how much capital you need for the start-up
  • how much you are putting in yourself
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12
Q

the product/service

A
  • explain it from the customer’s point of view
  • if others already offer the service, you must explain what is different about your idea
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13
Q

the market

A
  • focus on market trends rather than market size, such as whether the market is growing and, if so, how rapidly
  • provide a brief analysis of key competitors
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14
Q

marketing plan

A
  • who are you targeting and how do you plan to communicate with them
  • how expensive will this be
  • there should be an explanation and justification for the prices you plan to set plus a forecast of likely sales per month for the first two years
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15
Q

operational plan

A
  • how will the product or service be produced and delivered
  • could include production in china, which you will need to have already made contacts with willing suppliers
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16
Q

financial plan

A
  • the heart of this will be cash flow forecast
  • this will give an idea of the bank balances over the start-up period, and therefore the financing needs
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17
Q

conclusion

A

includes some idea of the longer-term plans for the business, including any ‘exit strategy’ - for example, a plan to sell the business within five years

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18
Q

interpreting a cash flow forecast

A
  • a cash flow forecast is carried out by estimating all the money coming into and out of the business, month by month
  • these flows of money are then set onto a grid showing the cash movements in each month - and how those movements affect the overall cash holdings (closing balance)
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19
Q

cash inflow

A

sums expected to arrive each month, either from financial sources or from customers

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20
Q

cash outflow

A

planned payments per month, such as wages, paying suppliers and paying the landlord

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21
Q

cash flow forecast is completed by calculating:

A

1) monthly balance
2) opening and closing balance

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22
Q

monthly balance

A
  • cash inflow for the month minus cash outflow
  • shows each month if there is a positive or negative movement of cash
  • when outflow is greater than inflow, the monthly balance will be negative
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23
Q

opening and closing balance

A
  • like a bank statement
  • shows what cash the business has at the beginning of the month (opening balance) and what the cash position is at the end of the month (closing balance)
24
Q

closing balance

A
  • closing balance is the opening balance plus the monthly balance
  • the closing balance shows the overall state of the bank account at the end of the month
25
Q

what does cash flow forecast show

A
  • as there is no such thing as negative money, the cash flow forecast shows that action is needed to avoid problems in the early months
  • easiest remedy would be to negotiate a bank overdraft
26
Q

an unexpected payment is needed, such as a big fine for health and safety failings

A
  • this increases the cash outflow
  • which worsens the monthly balance
  • which then worsens the closing balance for that month - and all the following opening and closing balances
27
Q

three main ways to analyse a cash flow forecast:

A

1) calculate the difference between the closing balance at the end of the period and the opening balance at the start
2) use the monthly closing balance to assess the trends in the data
3) analyze the timings and the cash inflows and outflows

28
Q

calculate the difference between the closing balance at the end of the period and the opening balance at the start

A
  • gives a sense of what is happening over time
  • if the overall cash balances are building up, then cash inflows are greater than cash outflows and the situation is comfortable
  • if the balance is declining, urgent action may be necessary
29
Q

analyse the timings of cash inflows and outflows

A
  • although some firms sell goods for cash, most provide customers with interest-free credit
  • the longer the customers take to pay, the longer the seller is without their cash
  • any method of speeding up costumer payments can boost a firm’s cash flow
30
Q

sum of money outstanding from customers is known as

A

receivables

31
Q

firms not only have customers, they also have

A

suppliers

32
Q

when buying goods on credit

A

the longer the credit period you can negotiate from suppliers, the longer your cash will be sitting in your bank account

33
Q

as the money sits in your bank account, this money owed is known as

A

payables

34
Q

if a company has customers who pay in 30 days and suppliers who are paid in 30 days, business call this

A

a ‘cash-to-cash’ figure of zero (which is fantastic)

35
Q

if customers take 60 days to pay but suppliers have to be paid in cash, that is

A

a cash-to-cash figure of 60 - which would put a strain on any business’ cash flow position

36
Q

if a business forecasts a period of negative cash flow, it can work to improve its positions in three ways:

A

1) getting goods to the market in the shortest possible time
2) getting paid as quickly as possible
3) keeping stick of raw materials to a minimum

37
Q

getting goods to the market in the shortest possible time

A
  • the sooner goods reach the customer, the sooner payment is received
  • production and distribution should be as efficient as possible
38
Q

getting paid as quickly as possible

A
  • the ideal arrangement is to get paid cash on delivery
  • most business, though, works on credit
  • even worse, it is an interest-free credit, so the customer has little incentive to pay up quickly
  • early payment should be encouraged by offering incentives, such as discounts for early payment
39
Q

keeping sticks of raw materials to a minimum

A

good stock management such as just-in-time system means that the business is not paying for stocks before it needs them for production

40
Q

cash flow can also be improved by

A

keeping cash in the business through minimizing short-term spending on new equipment

41
Q

things that the business can do to inprove cash flow and keep cash in the business include (and what they do):

A

1) leasing rather than buying equipment: this increases expenses but conserves capital
2) renting rather than buying buildings: this also allows capital to remain in the business
3) postponing expenditure - for example, on new company cars

42
Q

cash flow forecasts have their limitations, however:

A
  • they are only as good as the raw data put in
  • they risk giving the impression of certainty where none exists
  • because of these things it is vital to allow for contingencies - that is, things that can wrong
43
Q

they are only as good as the raw data put in

A

entrepreneurs have to be optimistic by nature, so they may overestimate sales and underestimate operational difficulties (and therefore cash outflows)

44
Q

they risk giving the impression of certainty where none exists

A

especially at start-up, who knows how long business customers will take to pay

45
Q

because of these things it is vital to allow for contingencies - that is, things that can go wrong

A

so a clever cash flow forecast includes a planned overstatement of costs, to allow for unexpected problems

46
Q

best case:

A

an optimistic estimate of the best possible outcome - for example, if sales prove much higher than expected

47
Q

business plan:

A

a document setting out a business idea and showing how it is to be financed, marketed and put into practice

48
Q

cash flow forecast:

A

estimating future monthly cash inflows and outflows, to find out the net cash flow

49
Q

just-in-time:

A

ordering stick so that it arrives just before it is needed, just in time, i.e. having no stockpiles to cover for late deliveries

50
Q

overdraft:

A

short-term borrowing from a bank. the business only borrow as much as it needs to cover its daily cash shortfall

51
Q

worst case:

A

a pessimistic estimate assuming the worst possible outcome - for example, sales are very disappointing

52
Q

why is it important to ask who constructed the cash flow forecast

A

because unconscious bias may have slipped in, e.g. an entrepreneurs optimism may make the cash flow projections unrealistic

53
Q

why may it be a concern if a company’s sales are dominated by one large customer

A

because any disagreements about the invoice may lead to payment delays - which may be crippling if the bulk of cash inflow is due from that one customer

54
Q

why is cash flow often referred to as ‘the lifeblood’ of the business

A

partly because it’s that important to a business survival and partly because, like blood, you only think about it when something’s gone wrong

55
Q

why is it important to distinguish between slow payment and slow sales as causes of cash flow problems

A

slow payment is a purely cash-related issue that could be sorted out between accounts departments; slow sales may be a far more long-term problem - and will involve the marketing department

56
Q

why should a business analyse the causes of a cash problem before opting to increase its overdraft limits

A

because overdrafts are expensive and all they do is cover over the cash flow problems; they don’t solve them

57
Q

how should a business make its estimates for future cash inflows and outflows

A

by being pessimistic with the cash inflows (keep them low) and also with the cash outflows (be pessimistic; suspect they will be quite high)