Saving: He. et al. the role of uncertainty Flashcards
Natural experiment used by the paper?
Severe layoffs in SOE sector 1995-2002
What was the breaking of the iron rice bowl?
When workers were laid off, they lost the associated benefits (eg. housing, pensions, healthcare) tf the term refers to the loss of this and guaranteed job security
Key finding of the paper?
Precautionary saving accounted for roughly 30% of total savings in period 1995-2002
Why were so many workers let go?
Roughly 50% in ‘95-‘96 of SOEs were reporting losses tf many went bankrupt or were privatized -> lots of layoffs and increased uncertainty for those who weren’t laid off
Data used in paper?
CHIP, compares ‘95-‘02, both urban and rural households
Pre vs post reform? How can this help in analysis?
Pre: SOE and gov. workers got iron rice bowl, after only gov. workers did
Means can compare changes in savings rates for SOE and government workers
Summary of stats pre and post reform?
Pre: Gov. workers have slightly higher permanent income (PI) and financial wealth (FW)
Post: Gap widens between two groups, rise in house ownership for both groups
See
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