RMIN Exam 1 Flashcards
risk
a calculated possibility of a negative income
calculated possibility
a probabilistic outcome (chance/likelihood of loss) that is known or estimated, ranges from 0-1
highest calculated possibility risk
0.5, most uncertainty, could go either way
negative loss
loss, must be quantifiable
frequency
the number of losses (fire, theft, collision) that occur within a specific time period, probability of loss
severity
the dollar amount of loss for a specific peril (fire, theft, collision)
frequency equation
frequency = number of losses / number of exposures
severity equation
severity = total losses ($) / number of losses
expected loss equation
expected loss = frequency x severity
peril
cause of loss (ex: fire, tornado, collision, burglary)
hazard
condition that creates or increases the frequency and/or severity of a loss, does not cause a loss
physical hazard
a physical condition that increases the frequency and/or severity of a loss
moral hazard
the presence of insurance changes the behavior of the insured (ex: exaggerating the value of insured property, using a hammer to create “hail” damage to a roof)
morale (attitudinal) hazard
carelessness or indifference to a loss which increases the frequency and/or severity of a loss (ex: leaving keys in an unlocked car, neglecting a tree limb growing over roof)
legal hazard
characteristics of legal system or regulatory environment that increase the frequency and/or severity of a loss (ex: juries in some areas are more sympathetic than other areas)
risk classifications
pure vs speculative risk, diversifiable risk, nondiversifiable risk, systemic risk
pure risk
2 states: loss or no loss (ex: fire, cancer, dog bites a visitor)
speculative risk
3 states: loss, no loss/no gain, gain (ex: investment, gambling, drinking)
can you buy insurance for pure risks?
yes
can you buy insurance for speculative risks?
no
diversifiable risk
affects only individuals or small groups, can be reduced/eliminated through diversification, risks aren’t correlated (fire, theft, collision)
nondiversifiable risk
affects the entire economy or large numbers of groups, cannot be reduced/eliminated through diversification, government assistance may be needed to insure, risks are correlated (inflation, unemployment)
systemic risk
risk of collapse of an entire system or market due to the failure of a single entity or group of entities that can result in the breakdown of the entire financial system, instability in the financial system due to the interdependency between the players in the market
Bridge in London
example of systemic risk - wind and people stepping the same way caused the bridge to sway