Risks Of Bonds Flashcards
List generic risks of bonds
Default risk Issue specific risk Market risk Inflation risk Interest rate risk Maturity risk Event risk Fiscal and currency risk Commissions and spreads
Outline default risks and ways to mitigate
Issuer fails to repay capital @ maturity or coupon payments as they fall due
Non payment fault
Credit risk
Mitigate
- risk adverse investors purchase gilts or investment grade
- be aware of credit rating agencies for specific bond issues
- gilts risk of default is nil
- if co goes into liquidation bondholder gets nil as no assets or liabilities
Outline issue specific risk and how to Mitigate
I.e call facility
Issues relating to Co/ country
Mitigate
- Investors must read bond prospectus carefully
- contingency plans to reduce losses
- caution not to buy callable bonds in sec market at lower price (close to call date)
Outline market risk and ways to mitigate
MP of bond changes
Investors purchase directly in pri or sec markets @ specific price and yield
In event have to sell due to unforeseen circumstances they must accept prevailing market price (could make profit or loss)
Mitigate
-diversify holdings with range of bonds in portfolio
Outline inflation risk and how to mitigate
Conventional bonds only
longer term bonds greater risk inflation will erode value of coupon and redemption amount
Purchasing power of int drops
Mitigate
-buy index linked bonds
Outline int rate risk and how to mitigate
External int rates rise and investor has lower foxed bond, bond price will fall as investors switch alternative products
Variable bonds and Int rates falls investors switch bonds
Higher int rates = greater risk perceived
-if rates rise above bond rate, bond rates become less competitive and MP falls / vise versa If rates fall below bond becomes attractive and prices rise again
Outline maturity risk
Longer bonds have greater risks due to uncertainty in future
Higher coupons for longer dated bonds
Outline event risk
Particular event affects business (capital restructuring impacts bond value)
Corp issuer becomes target of leveraged buy out therefore Increasing risk of lending any money to Co (external management acquire control of Co using external finance)
Outline fiscal and currency risks
Change in tax
Fluctuations in currency
Risk of exchange controls for markets
Risk of punitive tax (extremely high) either domestic or overseas (increase withholding tax)
If currencies depreciate could impact negatively / receive cap amount but may be insufficient to match foreign currency liability when converted to domestic currency
Outline commissions and spread
Care exercised regarding commissions and other costs
Wide spreads could impact profitability