Risk Share Flashcards
What is the definition of risk sharing?
Pooling of fortuitous losses by transfer of such risk to insurers who agree to indemnify for such losses; AVG LOSS IS SUBSITUTED FOR ACTUAL LOSS
What is the definition of insurance?
Usually consists of pooling of losses (spreading of the losses), payment of fortuitous (unseen/unexpected) losses , risk transfer (pure risk moved from insurer to insured), and indemnification (the insured is restored to her apprx financial state prior to loss)
What is the Law of Large Numbers?
If the number of the risks in the portfolio tends to infinity, the probability that the average outcome differs from expected value is positive tends to zero.
What is the Central Limit Theorem?
The average outcome approaches a normal distribution with mean—as n gets very large (goes with the Law of Large Numbers)
Implications of the CLT for insurers?
1) The distribution of sample means does not depend on the population distribution
2) The standard error of the sample mean distribution declines as the sample size increase
What is the correlation coefficient is a measure of difference between two random events?
Beta > 1 = positive correlation
Beta = 1 no correlation
Beta
What is involved in pooling correlated losses?
- Cannot reduce volatility if perfectly correlated
- positive correlation leads to a reduction of standard deviation yet lower than without correlation
- positive correlation is very common in insurance, stock or other businesses, but perfect correlation is very rare
What are the 6 characteristics of an insurable risk?
1) Large number of exposure units (to be able to estimate the size of loss, think LLN)
2) Accidental and unintentional loss
3) Determinable and measurable loss
4) No catastrophic loss / limited loss size
5) Calculable probability of loss
6) Economically feasible premium
What is adverse selection?
The tendency of persons with higher than average chance of loss to seek insurance at standard rates; if not controlled by underwriting, it can result in higher-than-average risk/loss.
What is morale hazard?
Insurance induced behavioral changes