Risk Management Flashcards
What are the 3 concepts that can be done to prepare for and manage risk
- Risk management = identification & acceptance or offsetting of risks threatening firm. comes before risk
- Contingency planning = a plan for unseen events, inc. back up procedures, emergency response & post event recovery. Comes before risk
- Crisis management = process of responding to and minimising damage from an adverse event. Comes after risk
Define risk
Threat that may prevent or hinder the ability to achieve business objectives; possibility of loss
What are 5 different ways to deal with risk
- ignore it
- reduce probability of risk
- reduce/limit consequences
- share/deflect risk (e.g insurance)
- make contingency plans
What exactly is risk management
Identifying what and how things can/might go wrong. Understanding potential effects if things do go wrong
Give examples of risk management in different business areas
- finance = credit insurance to protect against bad debts
- people = key man insurance - protects against loss of key staff
- operations = hold spare capacity
Define contingencies
Uncontrollable events that are not anticipated for in the business plan
What does a contingency plan involve
- preparing for predictable and quantifiable crisis
- preparing for unexpected and unwelcome events
- aim is to minimise impact
How do you draw up a contingency plan?
- Recognise need for it
- Identify possible contingencies
- Specify likely consequences
- Asses degree of risk to each eventuality
- Determine risk strategy
- Prep plan and identify responsibilities
- Rest plan
What is scenario analysis
- involves constructing multiple but equally plausible views of the future
- consists of a story from which managers can plan
What is sensitivity analysis
- involves testing the effect of a plan on alternative values of key variables
- e.g effect of a 25% loss of capacity
Give the two classes of risk
- Pure risk (insurable) = involve only the chance of loss, never opportunity for gain
- Speculative risk (uninsurable) = involve both chance of gain or loss
Give elements of an insurable risk
- loss must not be catastrophic
- loss must be unexpected or accidental
- must be large number of similar events in the past to make losses reasonable
Give the two ways risks can be evaluated on an economic scale
Comparing…
- dynamic = result of economy changing
- static = losses caused by factors other than a change in economy
Give factors determining an insurable risk
When insurance company has enough statistics to work out possibility of risk
Give factors determining an uninsurable risk
- when an insurance company can’t calculate probability of risk and so can’t work out a premium that firms must pay
- risk is too widespread e.g war in country
- when loss is incurred by your own actions