Risk Management Flashcards
Fratton Plc trades extensively in Europe.
The firm is due to receive 2,960,00 (Euro) in three months’ time. The following information is available:
1) The spot exchange rate is currently €1.1845 - 1.1856/£
2) The three-month forward rate of exchange is currently at 0.79-0.59 cent premium
3) The prices of three-month sterling traded option contracts (premiums in cents per £ are payable up front, with a standard contract size of £10,000) are as follows:
Exercise Price: €1.18
Calls: 2.40
Puts: 1.20
4) Annual Interest rates at the present time are as follows:
Uk:
- Deposit 1.15%
- Borrowing: 2.40%
Eurozone:
- Deposit 0.75%
- Borrowing: 1.60%
a) Calculate the net sterling receipt that Fratton can expect in three months’ time if it hedges its foreign exchange exposure using:
- the forward market
Forward Market
Bank sells £ at €1.1856/£
Forward rate = €1.797 (1.1856 - 0.0059)
So €2,960,000/1.797 = £2,509,112.49
Fratton Plc trades extensively in Europe.
The firm is due to receive 2,960,00 (Euro) in three months’ time. The following information is available:
1) The spot exchange rate is currently €1.1845 - 1.1856/£
2) The three-month forward rate of exchange is currently at 0.79-0.59 cent premium
3) The prices of three-month sterling traded option contracts (premiums in cents per £ are payable up front, with a standard contract size of £10,000) are as follows:
Exercise Price: €1.18
Calls: 2.40
Puts: 1.20
4) Annual Interest rates at the present time are as follows:
Uk:
- Deposit 1.15%
- Borrowing: 2.40%
Eurozone:
- Deposit 0.75%
- Borrowing: 1.60%
a) Calculate the net sterling receipt that Fratton can expect in three months’ time if it hedges its foreign exchange exposure using:
- The money market
To hedge a euro receivable, Fratton needs to create a euro liability which, with interest, will exactly equal the receivable in three months’ time:
€2,960,000/1.004 = £2,948,207.17
Convert to £ at spot (1.1856) to give £2,486,679.46
Which with three months’ interest at 0.2875% gives £2,493,828.66 (1.15% x 3/12)
Fratton Plc trades extensively in Europe.
The firm is due to receive 2,960,000 (Euro) in three months’ time. The following information is available:
1) The spot exchange rate is currently €1.1845 - 1.1856/£
2) The three-month forward rate of exchange is currently at 0.79-0.59 cent premium
3) The prices of three-month sterling traded option contracts (premiums in cents per £ are payable up front, with a standard contract size of £10,000) are as follows:
Exercise Price: €1.18
Calls: 2.40
Puts: 1.20
4) Annual Interest rates at the present time are as follows:
Uk:
- Deposit 1.15%
- Borrowing: 2.40%
Eurozone:
- Deposit 0.75%
- Borrowing: 1.60%
a) Calculate the net sterling receipt that Fratton can expect in three months’ time if it hedges its foreign exchange exposure using:
- the options market, assuming the spot exchange rate in three months is:
- €1.1185 - 1.1200/£
- €1.1985 - 1.2000/£
Fratton should enter into a call option to buy £ at €1,18/£
Number of contracts = €2,960,000/1.18 = £2,508,475
£2,508,475/10,000 = 250.85 = 250 contracts
The premium would be €60,000 (0.024 x 10,000 x 250) - Calls UK percentage
Which at spot would cost £50,654.28 (60,000/1.1845)
Scenario 1:
Spot on expiry €1.12/£ - Exercise price €1.18/£ - intrinsic value: 0 - do we exercise? No
£ receipt at spot = 2,960,000/1.12 = £2,642,857.14 (net £2,592,202.860
Scenario 2:
Spot on expiry = Euro1.20/£ - Exercise price = 1.18 - intrinsic value = 0.02 per £ - exercise? Yes
Gain on option of €50,000 (0.02 x 10,000 x 250)
Sell €3,010,000/1.20 = £2,508,333.22 (net £2,457,679.05)
One of Fratton’s customers is suggesting the use of Bitcoin to make a payment in two months’ time and has proposed a payment of 50 Bitcoins on 31st March 20X1
The directors are worried about the volatility of the Bitcoin price and are considering using a forward contract to hedge the risk
The following rates are relevant:
Spot rate: 1 Bitcoin = £7,500 - £7,600
Forward rate: 1 Bitcoin = £7,550 - £7,650
A) Calculate the sterling receipt that Fratton can expect in two months’ time if it hedges its Bitcoin exposure using the forward market
50 Bitcoins x £7,550 = £377,500
The spot rate is irrelevant if a forward hedge is used
£7,550 is the correct forward rate to use for selling Bitcoin in three months’ time
Discuss the key problems associated with using cryptocurrencies to settle international transactions
Two key problems:
- Exchangeability: Cryptocurrency exchanges are only likely to exchange Bitcoins for a narrow range of major currencies eg., sterling, US dollars, and euros. This appears to be less of a problem for Fratton given that it is a UK company and will be receiving sterling
- Price volatility: Cryptocurrency exchange rates are extremely volatile, with prices moving significantly each day.
However, Fratton can choose to hedge this risk using OTC agreements such as forward contracts (if these are available) and also using derivative agreements such as futures. In both cases there is the possibility that the rate quoted by the markets is unattractive.
In addition, in three months’ time Fratton will be drawing down a three-month £2.5 million loan facility which is granted each year by its bank to see the firm through its peak borrowing period. The following info is available:
1) The quotation for a ‘3-6’ forward rate agreement is currently 2.60 - 1.35
2) The spot rate of interest today is 2.40% pa and the relevant three-month sterling interest rate futures contract (standard contract size £500,000) is currently trading at 97.20
a) Explain how Fratton could use a forward rate agreement to resolve the uncertainty surrounding its future borrowing costs and show the effect if, in three months’ time, the spot rate of interest is 3% pa.
As a borrower Fratton should BUY a 3-6 FRA and can thereby fix a borrowing rate of 2.60%
At 3.00% rates have risen, so the bank will pay Fratton £2,500 (2.5m x (3%-2.6%) x 3/12). Payment on the underlying loan will be 3% x 2,500,000 x 3/12 = £18,750
Net payment on the loan: £16,250 (18,750 - 2,500) - an effective rate of 2.60%
In addition, in three months’ time Fratton will be drawing down a three-month £2.5 million loan facility which is granted each year by its bank to see the firm through its peak borrowing period. The following info is available:
1) The quotation for a ‘3-6’ forward rate agreement is currently 2.60 - 1.35
2) The spot rate of interest today is 2.40% pa and the relevant three-month sterling interest rate futures contract (standard contract size £500,000) is currently trading at 97.20
b) Explain how Fratton could use sterling interest rate futures to hedge its exposure to interest rate risk and show the effect if, in three months’ time, the spot rate of interest is 3% pa and the price of the interest rate futures contract has fallen to 97
Fratton will need to sell three-month £ interest rate futures contracts
Fratton will need to sell five contracts (2,500,000/500,000 x 3/3)
Sell at 97.20 and buy at 97.00 for a gain of 0.20%
Futures outcome: 0.20% x 500,000 x 3/12 x 5 = £1,250
Payment in the spot market: 2,500,000 x 3% x 3/12 = £18,750 - £1,250 = £17,500 (=2.80%)
The finance director of Sunwin Plc is a trustee of the firm’s employee pension fund.
The vast majority of the fund’s assets are currently invested in a portfolio of FTSE 100 shares.
It is 1 December 20X2 and the trustees are concerned that FTSE 100 share prices will fall over the next month and they wish to hedge against this possibility by using FTSE index options.
The current market value of the pension fund’s portfolio of shares is £5.6 million.
The FTSE 100 index stands at 5,000 on 1 December 20X2 and the directors wish to protect the current value of the portfolio.
The trustees have obtained the following information as at 1 December 20X2:
FTSE 100 INDEX OPTIONS: £10 per full index point (points per contract)
4,900:
Call
- Dec: 139, - Jan: 214, - Feb: 275
Put
- Dec: 34, - Jan: 94, - Feb: 135
4,950
Call
- Dec: 104, - Jan: 184, - Feb: 245
Put
- Dec: 48, - Jan: 114, - Feb: 155
5,000
Call
- Dec: 74, - Jan: 154, - Feb: 220
Put
- Dec: 70, - Jan: 134, - Feb: 180
5,050
Call
- Dec: 49, - Jan: 124, - Feb: 190
Put
- Dec: 99, - Jan: 159, - Feb: 200
5,100
Call
- Dec: 34, - Jan: 104, - Feb: 165
Put
- Dec: 134, - Jan: 189, - Feb: 225
Demonstrate how FTSE 100 index options can be used by the trustees to hedge the pension fund’s exposure to falling share prices and show the outcome if, on 31 December 20X2, the portfolio’s value:
a) rises to £6.608 million and the FTSE index rises to 5,900
Sunwin requires an option to sell - a December put option with an exercise price of 5,000
Portfolio value = £5.6m
Exercise price = 5,000
Value of one contract = 5,000 x £10 = £50,000
Number of contracts required = £5.6m/50,000 = 112 contracts
Premium: 70 points x £10 per point x 112 contracts = £78,400
a) If the index rises to 5,900, the put option gives Sunwin the right to sell @ 5,000, so the option would be abandoned (with zero value)
Overall position:
Value of portfolio = £6,608,000
Gain on option = 0
Less premium = (78,400)
—
6,529,600
The finance director of Sunwin Plc is a trustee of the firm’s employee pension fund.
The vast majority of the fund’s assets are currently invested in a portfolio of FTSE 100 shares.
It is 1 December 20X2 and the trustees are concerned that FTSE 100 share prices will fall over the next month and they wish to hedge against this possibility by using FTSE index options.
The current market value of the pension fund’s portfolio of shares is £5.6 million.
The FTSE 100 index stands at 5,000 on 1 December 20X2 and the directors wish to protect the current value of the portfolio.
The trustees have obtained the following information as at 1 December 20X2:
FTSE 100 INDEX OPTIONS: £10 per full index point (points per contract)
4,900:
Call
- Dec: 139, - Jan: 214, - Feb: 275
Put
- Dec: 34, - Jan: 94, - Feb: 135
4,950
Call
- Dec: 104, - Jan: 184, - Feb: 245
Put
- Dec: 48, - Jan: 114, - Feb: 155
5,000
Call
- Dec: 74, - Jan: 154, - Feb: 220
Put
- Dec: 70, - Jan: 134, - Feb: 180
5,050
Call
- Dec: 49, - Jan: 124, - Feb: 190
Put
- Dec: 99, - Jan: 159, - Feb: 200
5,100
Call
- Dec: 34, - Jan: 104, - Feb: 165
Put
- Dec: 134, - Jan: 189, - Feb: 225
Demonstrate how FTSE 100 index options can be used by the trustees to hedge the pension fund’s exposure to falling share prices and show the outcome if, on 31 December 20X2, the portfolio’s value:
b) Falls to £4.592 million and the FTSE index falls to 4,100
Sunwin requires an option to sell - a December put option with an exercise price of 5,000
Portfolio value = £5.6m
Exercise price = 5,000
Value of one contract = 5,000 x £10 = £50,000
Number of contracts required = £5.6m/50,000 = 112 contracts
Premium: 70 points x £10 per point x 112 contracts = £78,400
b) If the index falls to 4,100, the put option gives Sunwin the right to sell @ 5,000, so the option would be exercised.
(value = £9,000 (900 x £10) x 112 contracts = £1,008,000) - 900 is the difference between 5,000 and 4,100
Overall position:
Value of portfolio = 4,592,000
Gain on option = 1,008,000
Less premium = (78,400)
—-
5,521,600
It is 1 December 20X2 and Sunwin’s board of directors has recently agreed to purchase machinery from a UK supplier on 28 February 20X3.
The firm’s cash flows reveal that the firm will need to borrow £4 million on 28 February 20X3 for a period of nine months.
The directors are considering the use of either sterling short-term interest rate futures or traded interest rate options on futures to hedge against the firm’s exposure to interest rate rises.
The spot rate of interest on 1 December is 3% pa. and March three-month sterling interest rate futures with a contract size of £500,000 are trading at 96. Information regarding traded interest options on futures on 1 December 20X2 is as follows:
Strike price: 96.25
Calls: March = 0.20, June = 0.23, Sept = 0.25
Puts: March = 0.18, June = 0.96, Sept = 1.66
Strike price: 96.50
Calls: March = 0.09, June = 0.10, Sept = 0.11
Puts: March = 0.32, June = 1.19, Sept = 1.89
Strike price: 96.75
Calls: March = 0.05, June = 0.06, Sept = 0.07
Puts: March = 0.53, June = 1.43, Sept = 2.14
Demonstrate how sterling short-term interest rate futures can be used by Sunwin to hedge against interest rate rises, and show the effective loan rate achieved and the hedge efficiency if, on 28 February 20X3, the spot rate of interest is 4.5% pa and the March interest rate futures price has fallen to 95
Sunwin needs to sell a three-month contract
Number of contracts = 4m/0.5 x 9/3 = 24 contracts
Futures outcome:
Selling at the opening rate of 96 and buying at the closing rate of 95 yields a gain of 1%
Therefore 1% x 0.5m x 3/12 x 24 = £30,000
Net outcome:
Spot market £4m x 4.5% x 9/12 = (£135,000) plus the futures receipt of £30,000 = (£105,000)
Effective interest rate 105,000/4,000,000 x 12/9 = 3.5%
Hedge efficiency:
Increase in spot rate = 1.5% so increase in interest = £60,000 (1.5% x 4m) x 9/12 = £45,000
So the hedge efficiency = 30,000/45,000 x 100 = 66.7%
It is 1 December 20X2 and Sunwin’s board of directors has recently agreed to purchase machinery from a UK supplier on 28 February 20X3.
The firm’s cash flows reveal that the firm will need to borrow £4 million on 28 February 20X3 for a period of nine months.
The directors are considering the use of either sterling short-term interest rate futures or traded interest rate options on futures to hedge against the firm’s exposure to interest rate rises.
The spot rate of interest on 1 December is 3% pa. and March three-month sterling interest rate futures with a contract size of £500,000 are trading at 96. Information regarding traded interest options on futures on 1 December 20X2 is as follows:
Strike price: 96.25
Calls: March = 0.20, June = 0.23, Sept = 0.25
Puts: March = 0.18, June = 0.96, Sept = 1.66
Strike price: 96.50
Calls: March = 0.09, June = 0.10, Sept = 0.11
Puts: March = 0.32, June = 1.19, Sept = 1.89
Strike price: 96.75
Calls: March = 0.05, June = 0.06, Sept = 0.07
Puts: March = 0.53, June = 1.43, Sept = 2.14
Demonstrate how traded interest rate options on futures can be used by Sunwin to hedge against the interest rate rising above 3.75% pa and show the effective loan rate achieved if, on 28 February 20X3:
1) The spot price is 4.4% pa and the futures price is 95.31
Traded interest options on futures:
Sunwin requires a March put option with a strike price of 96.25 (100 - 3.75)
The number of contracts required = 4m/0.5m x 9/3 = 24 contracts @0.18% (Put)
So the premium = 24 x 0.18% x 0.5m x 3/12 = £5,400
Spot price = 4.4%
Futures price = 95.31
Strike price = 96.25
Exercise? Yes
Gain on future = 0.94% therefore 0.94% x 0.5m x 3/12 x 24 = £28,200
Borrowing cost at spot: £132,000 (4m x (4.4% x 9/12))
Option (28,200)
Premium 5,400
Effective interest rate £109,200/4m x 12/9 = 3.64%
It is 1 December 20X2 and Sunwin’s board of directors has recently agreed to purchase machinery from a UK supplier on 28 February 20X3.
The firm’s cash flows reveal that the firm will need to borrow £4 million on 28 February 20X3 for a period of nine months.
The directors are considering the use of either sterling short-term interest rate futures or traded interest rate options on futures to hedge against the firm’s exposure to interest rate rises.
The spot rate of interest on 1 December is 3% pa. and March three-month sterling interest rate futures with a contract size of £500,000 are trading at 96. Information regarding traded interest options on futures on 1 December 20X2 is as follows:
Strike price: 96.25
Calls: March = 0.20, June = 0.23, Sept = 0.25
Puts: March = 0.18, June = 0.96, Sept = 1.66
Strike price: 96.50
Calls: March = 0.09, June = 0.10, Sept = 0.11
Puts: March = 0.32, June = 1.19, Sept = 1.89
Strike price: 96.75
Calls: March = 0.05, June = 0.06, Sept = 0.07
Puts: March = 0.53, June = 1.43, Sept = 2.14
Demonstrate how traded interest rate options on futures can be used by Sunwin to hedge against the interest rate rising above 3.75% pa and show the effective loan rate achieved if, on 28 February 20X3:
2) The spot price is 2.1% pa and the futures price is 97.75
Traded interest options on futures:
Sunwin requires a March put option with a strike price of 96.25 (100 - 3.75)
The number of contracts required = 4m/0.5m x 9/3 = 24 contracts @0.18% (Put)
So the premium = 24 x 0.18% x 0.5m x 3/12 = £5,400
Spot price = 2.1%
Futures price = 97.75
Strike price = 96.25
Exercise? No
Gain on future = 0
Borrowing cost at spot: £63,000
Option = 0
Premium 5,400
Effective interest rate £68,400/4m x 12/9 = 2.28%
Padd will send a large consignment of footwear to DS for sale in its shops across India. The price for this consignment is 200 million Indian rupees (INR), which will be payable by DS on 30 June 20X4.
You have been asked to prepare advice for the board and have obtained the following information at the close of business on 31 March 20X4:
Spot rate (INR/£) = 94.0625 - 95.4930
Sterling interest rate (lending) = 3.2% pa
Sterling interest rate (borrowing) = 4.0% pa
INR interest rate (lending) = 4.2% pa
INR interest rate (borrowing) = 4.8% pa
Three-month OTC currency call option on INR - exercise price = INR 94.7500/£
Three-month OTC currency put option on INR - exercise price = INR 95.5500/£
Three-month forward rate discount (INR/£) = 0.0195 - 0.2265
Cost of relevant OTC currency option = £8,000
Cost of forward contract = £4,500
Calculate Padd’s sterling receipt from the sale to DS if it:
a) does not hedge the receipt and the Indian rupee weakens by 1% by 30 June 20X4
Sterling receipt at spot rate = INR200,000,000/95.4930 = £2,094,394
A) INR200,000,000/(95.4930 x 1.01) = INR200,000,000/96.4479 = £2,073,658
Padd will send a large consignment of footwear to DS for sale in its shops across India. The price for this consignment is 200 million Indian rupees (INR), which will be payable by DS on 30 June 20X4.
You have been asked to prepare advice for the board and have obtained the following information at the close of business on 31 March 20X4:
Spot rate (INR/£) = 94.0625 - 95.4930
Sterling interest rate (lending) = 3.2% pa
Sterling interest rate (borrowing) = 4.0% pa
INR interest rate (lending) = 4.2% pa
INR interest rate (borrowing) = 4.8% pa
Three-month OTC currency call option on INR - exercise price = INR 94.7500/£
Three-month OTC currency put option on INR - exercise price = INR 95.5500/£
Three-month forward rate discount (INR/£) = 0.0195 - 0.2265
Cost of relevant OTC currency option = £8,000
Cost of forward contract = £4,500
Calculate Padd’s sterling receipt from the sale to DS if it:
b) Uses an OTC Currency Option
Option (@ exercise price)
INR200,000,000/95,5500 = £2,093,145
Less cost: (8,000)
—–
£2,085,145
Padd will send a large consignment of footwear to DS for sale in its shops across India. The price for this consignment is 200 million Indian rupees (INR), which will be payable by DS on 30 June 20X4.
You have been asked to prepare advice for the board and have obtained the following information at the close of business on 31 March 20X4:
Spot rate (INR/£) = 94.0625 - 95.4930
Sterling interest rate (lending) = 3.2% pa
Sterling interest rate (borrowing) = 4.0% pa
INR interest rate (lending) = 4.2% pa
INR interest rate (borrowing) = 4.8% pa
Three-month OTC currency call option on INR - exercise price = INR 94.7500/£
Three-month OTC currency put option on INR - exercise price = INR 95.5500/£
Three-month forward rate discount (INR/£) = 0.0195 - 0.2265
Cost of relevant OTC currency option = £8,000
Cost of forward contract = £4,500
Calculate Padd’s sterling receipt from the sale to DS if it:
c) Uses a forward contract
INR200,000,000/(95,4930 + 0.2265) = INR200,000,000/95.7195 = £2,089,438
Less cost: (4,500)
—-
£2,084,938