Risk, Causation, etc. Flashcards
What is absoltue risk reduction? (ARR)
The DIFFERENCE in risk between patients who have undergone therapy and those who have not; is (a/a+b)-(c/c+d)
What is relative risk reduction? (RRR)
The estimate of % of baseline risk that is removed as a result of therapy. Is calculated ARR/R unexposed
What is the number needed to treat? (NNT)
Number needed to treat to prevent an event. It can be positive or negative. Is calculated as 1/ARR.
What is baseline risk?
The risk of an adverse effect among the placebo/control group.
What is the odds ratio? (OR)
Occurrence of event/event not occurring; it is the odds of exposure in cases/odds of exposure in control. (a/c / b/d)
What is a confound?
A third variable that distorts the observed RR/OR/HR between exposure and outcome. It over/underestimates the association and can change direction of effect. It must be related to both the exposure and the outcome.
What is effect modification?
A third variable that modifies the magnitude of an effect of association by varying it in different LEVELS of a third variable. It should be described and reported.
How is confounding assessed?
Calculate crude OR/RR, Recalculate adjusted OR/RR (this controls effects of a confounder), and compare the two to see if different by 20%.
When do researchers attempt to control confounding?
During a design study and during data analysis.
What does randomization do?
Randomizes data so that an equal number of subjects and confounders are in each group.
What does restriction do?
Only allows participation of particular subjects.
What does matching do?
Study subjects are selected in match-pairs related to the confounding variable in order to distribute confounds.
What is bias?
A systematic (non-random error) in study design leading to erroneous results. It distorts the relationship between exposure and outcome.
What are the two main types of bias?
information/observation/measurement and selection.
What are the types of selection bias?
healthy worker bias, self selection/participant bias, control selection bias.
Is bias more likely to account for weak or strong associations?
Weak
What are the measurement biases?
recall/reporting bias, hawthorne effect, contamination bias, compliance/adherence, lost to follow-up bias, interviewer (proficiency) bias, diagnosis/surveillance (expectations) bias
What is a measurement (information/observation) bias?
A bias related to any aspect of collecting/measuring information; creates a difference between the two groups.
What is recall/reporting bias?
Differential level of accuracy/detail in reports; e.g. those with symptoms may have a better memory of the event.