Risk Attitudes and Perceptions Flashcards
Risk Attitude
Chosen response to uncertainty that matters
(risk), driven by perception. Risk attitudes are
personal and situational and are adopted by
individuals and groups. Risk attitudes exist on
a continuous spectrum, but common labels for
specifi c attitudes on the spectrum include
risk-averse, risk-tolerant, risk-neutral, and risk-seeking.
Risk Averse
A response to the perception of a risk that reflects discomfort with the uncertainty and a desire to avoid or reduce threats and exploit opportunities to remove uncertainty.
Risk Tolerant
A response to the perception of a risk that reflects tolerance of the uncertainty with no strong desire to respond to threats or opportunities in any way.
Risk Neutral
A response to the perception of a risk
that reflects discomfort with uncertainty
in the long term and therefore a
willingness to take whatever short-term
actions are necessary to deliver a certain
long-term outcome.
Risk Seeking
A response to the perception of a risk that reflects comfort with the uncertainty with no desire to avoid or reduce threats or to exploit opportunities to remove uncertainty.
The Triple Strand
Used to represent the triple influences on perception and risk attitude of a) rational situational factors, b) subconscious heuristics or cognitive biases, c) visceral emotions.
Situational Factors
Factors in the current environment that effect the way that individuals and groups perceive uncertainty and risk. Examples include experience, perceived manageability or proximity (closeness in time).
Availability Heuristic
A mental short-cut that gives
more significance to data that
is easily recalled, thus potentially
biasing judgement.
Representativeness Heuristic
A mental short-cut that gives
more significance to data that
matches a stereotype, thus
potentially biasing judgement.
Anchoring & Adjustment
A mental short-cut that gives too much significance to data that is suggested to us, or remembered by us. We adjust from the anchor rather than considering the situation afresh, thus potentially biasing judgement.
Confirmation Trap
A mental short-cut that gives
more significance to data that
fits a pre-formed explanation,
thus potentially biasing judgement.
Affect Heuristic
A mental short-cut that serves to seek pleasure or avoid pain. Without rational modification this can lead to irrational risk attitudes being adopted.
GroupThink
A mode of thinking that people engage in when they are deeply involved in a cohesive group, often biasing judgement as they avoid confrontation rather than ‘speaking out’.
Moses Factor
An effect where a group subconsciously follows the example of the leader and adopts their preferred risk attitude even if it contradicts with their own perspective.
Cultural Conformity
A mental short-cut that serves to speed up decision-making by adopting the prevailing cultural norms without question, thus potentially biasing judgement.