Risk Assessment and Communication Flashcards
1
Q
genetic liability
A
risk of a disease based on genetic factors
2
Q
Errors in risk estimation
A
conservatism
base rate neglect
inverse fallacy
3
Q
conservatism
A
focus on prior risk only
4
Q
base rate neglet
A
only focus on new evidence
5
Q
inverse fallacy
A
hit rate=posterior probability
6
Q
Bayes Steps
A
- Prior
- Conditional
- Joint
- Posterior
7
Q
Joint probability
A
prior * conditional
8
Q
Posterior probability
A
JP/ (sum of all JPs)
9
Q
gambler’s fallacy
A
if something happens more frequently in one time period, it will happen less frequently in another time period
10
Q
Hawthorne effect
A
alteration to behavior due to the knowledge of being watched
