Risk and Return Flashcards
What is the concept of investment?
Investment is the process of allocating resources, such as money, time, or effort, with the expectation of generating income or appreciation in value over time. It involves the commitment of capital with the goal of achieving future returns or benefits. Investments can take various forms, including financial instruments (stocks, bonds, mutual funds), real estate, entrepreneurial ventures, or personal development (education, skills acquisition).
Define return in financial management.
In financial management, return refers to the gain or loss incurred on an investment over a specific period of time. It represents the difference between the initial investment amount and the final value of the investment after accounting for any income generated, such as dividends or interest, and any appreciation or depreciation in the asset’s value.
What are the two forms of return associated with buying stocks or bonds?
The two forms of return associated with buying stocks or bonds are:
- Capital Appreciation (Capital Gain/Loss): This refers to the increase or decrease in the market value of the investment asset. For stocks, it is the difference between the selling price and the purchase price. For bonds, it is the difference between the selling price and the face value or par value.
- Income Return: This refers to the income generated by the investment asset during the holding period. For stocks, it is in the form of dividends paid by the company. For bonds, it is in the form of periodic interest payments made by the issuer.
How are dollar returns calculated?
Dollar returns are calculated by subtracting the initial investment amount from the final value of the investment, including any income received during the holding period. The formula for calculating dollar returns is:
Dollar Return = Final Value of Investment + Income Received - Initial Investment Amount
How are percentage returns calculated?
Percentage returns are calculated by dividing the dollar return by the initial investment amount and expressing it as a percentage. The formula for calculating percentage returns is:
Percentage Return = (Dollar Return / Initial Investment Amount) × 100%
lain the process of measuring return on investment.
ExpThe process of measuring return on investment (ROI) involves the following steps:
- Determine the initial investment amount: This is the cost of acquiring the asset or launching the project.
- Calculate the gains or benefits: These can include income generated (e.g., dividends, interest), cost savings, or the final value of the asset upon sale or disposal.
- Subtract the initial investment amount from the gains or benefits to find the dollar return.
- Divide the dollar return by the initial investment amount and multiply by 100 to express the return as a percentage.
The formula for calculating ROI is:
ROI = (Gains or Benefits - Initial Investment Amount) / Initial Investment Amount × 100%
Calculate the dollar and percentage return on an investment that costs $1,000 and is sold after 1 year for $1,100.
Given:
Initial Investment Amount = $1,000
Final Value of Investment = $1,100
Holding Period = 1 year
Dollar Return = Final Value of Investment - Initial Investment Amount
= $1,100 - $1,000
= $100
Percentage Return = (Dollar Return / Initial Investment Amount) × 100%
= ($100 / $1,000) × 100%
= 10%
Therefore, the dollar return on the investment is $100, and the percentage return is 10%.
Calculate the return on an investment that involves buying 100 shares at $25, receiving $20 in dividends, and selling the stock for $30.
Given:
Number of Shares = 100
Purchase Price per Share = $25
Dividends Received = $20
Selling Price per Share = $30
Initial Investment Amount = Number of Shares × Purchase Price per Share
= 100 × $25
= $2,500
Final Value of Investment = Number of Shares × Selling Price per Share
= 100 × $30
= $3,000
Dollar Return = Final Value of Investment + Dividends Received - Initial Investment Amount
= $3,000 + $20 - $2,500
= $520
Percentage Return = (Dollar Return / Initial Investment Amount) × 100%
= ($520 / $2,500) × 100%
= 20.8%
Therefore, the dollar return on the investment is $520, and the percentage return is 20.8%.
Calculate the total shareholder return for an investment with an initial share price of $4.80, a dividend of $0.20, and a final share price of $5.10.
Initial Share Price = $4.80
Dividend = $0.20
Final Share Price = $5.10
Capital Appreciation = Final Share Price - Initial Share Price
= $5.10 - $4.80
= $0.30
Total Shareholder Return = (Capital Appreciation + Dividend) / Initial Share Price × 100%
= ($0.30 + $0.20) / $4.80 × 100%
= 10.42%
Therefore, the total shareholder return for this investment is 10.42%.
Calculate the total shareholder return for an investment with an initial share price of $6.50, a dividend of $0.50, and a final share price of $6.40.
Given:
Initial Share Price = $6.50
Dividend = $0.50
Final Share Price = $6.40
Capital Appreciation = Final Share Price - Initial Share Price
= $6.40 - $6.50
= -$0.10 (Capital Loss)
Total Shareholder Return = (Capital Appreciation + Dividend) / Initial Share Price × 100%
= (-$0.10 + $0.50) / $6.50 × 100%
= 6.15%
What is the formula for calculating holding-period return (Rh)?
The formula for calculating holding-period return (Rh) is:
Rh = (End of Period Value - Beginning of Period Value) / Beginning of Period Value
Define actual return (ex-post) and expected return (ex-ante).
. Actual return (ex-post) is the realized return on an investment over a specific period, calculated based on the actual cash flows and prices observed. Expected return (ex-ante) is the anticipated or forecasted return on an investment, based on estimates or assumptions about future cash flows and prices.
Explain the approaches used to calculate the average return based on past data.
There are three main approaches used to calculate the average return based on past data:
a. Arithmetic Mean: The simple average of a set of numbers, calculated by summing up all the values and dividing by the total number of values.
What is the arithmetic mean, and how is it calculated?
The arithmetic mean is the simple average of a set of numbers, calculated by summing up all the values and dividing by the total number of values. The formula for the arithmetic mean is:
Arithmetic Mean = (Sum of Values) / (Number of Values)
How is the harmonic mean used to calculate the average return?
The harmonic mean is not commonly used for calculating average returns in financial applications. It is used to calculate the average return when dealing with relative changes or ratios. It is calculated as the reciprocal of the arithmetic mean of the reciprocals of the values.
When is the geometric mean used, and how is it calculated?
The geometric mean is used to calculate the average return when dealing with compounding returns over multiple periods. It is the nth root of the product of n numbers. The formula for the geometric mean is:
Geometric Mean = (Value 1 × Value 2 × … × Value n)^(1/n)
Define average return and how it is calculated.
Average return is a measure of the central tendency of returns over a given period. It is calculated by taking the arithmetic mean, geometric mean, or harmonic mean of the individual returns, depending on the context and assumptions.
Explain the concept of expected rate of return (ex-ante) and how it is computed.
The expected rate of return (ex-ante) is the anticipated or forecasted return on an investment, based on estimates or assumptions about future cash flows and prices. It is computed by assigning probabilities to potential future outcomes and calculating the weighted average of the possible returns, using the following formula:
Expected Return = (Probability 1 × Return 1) + (Probability 2 × Return 2) + … + (Probability n × Return n)
Calculate the holding-period return for an investment with returns of 10%, -5%, 20%, and 15% over a four-year period.
To calculate the holding-period return for an investment with returns of 10%, -5%, 20%, and 15% over a four-year period, we can use the geometric mean:
Holding-Period Return = [(1 + 0.10) × (1 - 0.05) × (1 + 0.20) × (1 + 0.15)]^(1/4) - 1
= (1.3876)^(1/4) - 1
= 0.0949 or 9.49%
Calculate the expected return for Stock B given the probability distribution and returns provided.
Suppose Stock B has the following probability distribution and returns:
Probability Return
0.2 -10%
0.5 20%
0.3 30%
The expected return for Stock B can be calculated as:
Expected Return = (0.2 × -0.10) + (0.5 × 0.20) + (0.3 × 0.30)
= (-0.02) + (0.10) + (0.09)
= 0.17 or 17%
Compare the expected returns of Stock A and Stock B and determine which one offers a higher expected return.
Suppose Stock A has an expected return of 15%.
Stock A’s expected return: 15%
Stock B’s expected return: 17%
Since Stock B has a higher expected return (17%) compared to Stock A (15%), Stock B offers a higher expected return.
What are the limitations of using past data to calculate expected returns?
The limitations of using past data to calculate expected returns include:
a. Past performance may not be indicative of future results.
b. Market conditions and risk factors can change over time.
c. The time period used for the calculation can influence the results.
d. It assumes that past patterns will continue in the future.
How does the holding period affect the calculation of returns?
The holding period affects the calculation of returns because returns can compound over multiple periods. Longer holding periods may result in higher or lower returns due to compounding effects. The calculation method (arithmetic mean or geometric mean) also depends on the holding period.
What other factors should be considered besides expected return when making investment decisions?
Besides expected return, other factors that should be considered when making investment decisions include:
a. Risk (volatility, downside potential)
b. Diversification
c. Investment horizon
d. Investment objectives
e. Liquidity
f. Tax implications
g. Transaction costs
Explain the difference between arithmetic mean and geometric mean when calculating average returns.
The difference between the arithmetic mean and the geometric mean when calculating average returns lies in how they treat compounding effects.
a. The arithmetic mean is a simple average and does not account for compounding.
b. The geometric mean accounts for the compounding effect of returns over multiple periods.
For a series of positive returns, the geometric mean will be lower than the arithmetic mean. For a series of negative returns, the geometric mean will be higher than the arithmetic mean. The geometric mean is considered a more accurate measure of average returns when dealing with compounding over multiple periods.
What is the expected rate of return?
The expected rate of return, also known as the expected return or ex-ante return, is the anticipated or forecasted return on an investment, based on estimates or assumptions about future cash flows and prices.
How is the expected rate of return different from the actual return?
The expected rate of return (ex-ante) is a forward-looking estimate or projection of the potential return on an investment, while the actual return (ex-post) is the realized return on an investment over a specific period, calculated based on the actual cash flows and prices observed.
Explain the concept of probability distribution in the context of expected returns.
In the context of expected returns, a probability distribution is a statistical representation of the possible outcomes or returns that an investment can generate, along with their associated probabilities of occurrence. It assigns a probability value to each potential outcome, indicating the likelihood of that outcome occurring.
How do you calculate the expected return for an investment?
The expected return for an investment is calculated by multiplying each potential outcome or return by its associated probability of occurrence, and then summing up the products. The formula for calculating the expected return is:
Expected Return = (Probability 1 × Return 1) + (Probability 2 × Return 2) + … + (Probability n × Return n)
What role do probabilities play in determining the expected return?
Probabilities play a crucial role in determining the expected return. They represent the likelihood or chance of each potential outcome occurring. The expected return is calculated as a weighted average of the potential returns, where the weights are the probabilities assigned to each outcome.
Define the formula for calculating the expected return.
. The formula for calculating the expected return is:
Expected Return = (Probability 1 × Return 1) + (Probability 2 × Return 2) + … + (Probability n × Return n)
In the given example, calculate the expected return for Stock A.
The question does not provide the probability distribution and returns for Stock A. However, it mentions that Stock A has an expected return of 15%.
Calculate the expected return for Stock B in the provided example.
In the given example, Stock B has the following probability distribution and returns:
Probability Return
0.2 -10%
0.5 20%
0.3 30%
The expected return for Stock B can be calculated as:
Expected Return = (0.2 × -0.10) + (0.5 × 0.20) + (0.3 × 0.30)
= (-0.02) + (0.10) + (0.09)
= 0.17 or 17
Define risk in the context of financial management.
In the context of financial management, risk refers to the potential for deviation from expected outcomes or returns. It is the possibility of adverse events or losses occurring, which can impact the value or performance of an investment or financial decision.
How is risk related to the variability of outcomes?
Risk is directly related to the variability of outcomes. The greater the variability or dispersion of potential outcomes, the higher the risk associated with an investment or financial decision. Conversely, if the outcomes are concentrated around the expected value, the risk is lower.
Explain the three attitudes towards risk: risk-indifferent, risk-averse, and risk-seeking.
The three attitudes towards risk are:
a. Risk-indifferent: Individuals or investors who are risk-indifferent are neutral towards risk and focus solely on expected returns when making investment decisions.
b. Risk-averse: Risk-averse individuals or investors prefer lower risk and are willing to accept a lower expected return in exchange for reduced risk or uncertainty.
c. Risk-seeking: Risk-seeking individuals or investors are willing to take on higher levels of risk in pursuit of potentially higher returns.
What is the difference between risk-averse and risk-seeking investors?
Risk-averse investors prioritize minimizing risk and are willing to accept lower expected returns in exchange for lower levels of risk or uncertainty. On the other hand, risk-seeking investors are more aggressive and willing to take on higher levels of risk in pursuit of potentially higher returns.
How do risk-averse investors rank risky investments?
Risk-averse investors rank risky investments based on their level of risk. They prefer investments with lower levels of risk and are more likely to choose investments with lower variability or dispersion of potential outcomes.
What criteria do risk-averse investors use when two investments have the same expected return?
When two investments have the same expected return, risk-averse investors will choose the investment with the lower level of risk or variability in potential outcomes.