Return Concepts Flashcards
EX ANTE ALPHA
Expected (ex ante) alpha = Expected return – Required return
EX POST ALPHA
Realized (ex post) alpha = Actual holding-period return –
Contemporaneous required return
Investor’s expected return has 2 components :
- Required return
- Return from the convergence of price to estimated intrinsic value
ERP (GGM estimate)
GGM equity risk premium = market dividend yield
+ long-term market earnings growth
– long-term bond yield
ERP (macroeconomic estimate)
Equity risk premium = [(1 + expected inflation) x (1 + expected growth in real EPS) x (1 + expected growth in P/E ratio) x (1 + expected income component)] – Expected risk free return
Adjusted BETA
Adjusted beta = (2/3) (Unadjusted beta) + (1/3) (1.0)
Unlevered BETA
Beta (bench) * 1 / ( 1 + D/E)
Lever back BETA
Beta U * (1 + D’/E’)
FAMA FRENCH MODEL
i = RF + βi mkt RMRF + βi size SMB + βi value HML
Pastor-Stambaugh Model (PSM)
i = RF + βi mkt RMRF + βi size SMB + βi value HML + βi
liq LLQ