Regression and bias Flashcards
Define chance? When occur?
Random error that produces different observations for replicate experiments or repeat samples
Occur before or after study
State 2 ways prevent chance?
1) Ensuring a sufficiently large sample
2) Using confidence intervals and p-values
What are confounding factors?
Factors distort results
State 3 ways to prevent confounding at design stage?
Randomisation- fairly comparable
Restriction- eliminate variation
Matching- control group matches confounders in case group
How prevent confounding at analysis stage?
Multivariable regression analysis
Stratified analysis- take weighted avg
Define regression?
statistical method that shows the relationship between two or more variables
Develop model risk prediction clinical outcome
Estimate risk future incomes
State whether individual likely experience outcome or not
Prognostic and diagnostic
Aim of regression?
Isolate single effect of single variable on clinical outcome
Explain crude/adjusted effects?
Crude- doesn’t take account confounding variable
Adjusted- account confounding variable
In simple linear regression what does y and x represent?
Explanatory variable (or the independent variable) always belongs on the x-axis
Response variable (or the dependent variable) always belongs on the y-axis
Positive negative or no
In linear regression what quantifies association?
Slope coefficient (gradient)
y=a+bc; where a = intercept, b = coefficient (slope) and x = predictor value
y=a+bc; where a = intercept, b = coefficient (slope) and x = predictor value
What does multivariable regression do?
Adjust for all variable in model
y=a+b1X1 + b2X2 + b3X
Coefficients (b1, b2, b3…) show strength of association with each X value
Define bias?
Bias is systematic error in design or conduct of a research study 🡪 result is different from the truth
State 2 ways bias can be prevented?
Ensuring an appropriate selection of participants
Ensuring data is collected and measured correctly
State 2 types bias?
Selection bias 🡪 problem with study population (selection study subject)
- factor affect recruitment or retention subjects
- e.g non response- cross sectional
differential loss- cohort study
selection cases- case control
Information bias 🡪 problem with information provided