Reading 7: Discounted Cash Flow Applications Flashcards
NPV (Definition)
(1) The PV of cash inflows associated with the project; less
(2) PV of expected cash outflows,
(3) discounted at the appropriate cost of capital
NPV (Procedure)
(1) Identify all costs (outflows) and benefits (inflows) associated with the investment
(2) Determine an appropriate discount rate (opportunity cost)
(3) Calculate the PV of each of the cash flows. NB: inflows are positive and will increase NPV and outflows are negative and will decrease NPV
(4) Sum the DCFs
IRR (Definition)
The rate of return that equates the PV of an investment project’s benefits (cash inflows) with the PV of its costs (cash outflows) i.e. the discount rate for which the NPV is zero
TM Comment: Break even point
IRR (Methodology)
Calculating the IRR requires that we only identify the relevant cash flows to the investment opportunity being evaluated. Market determined discount rates or external (market-data) is not necessary with the IRR procedure
IRR (Relationship to NPV and Discount Rate)
In Capital Budgeting, the initial cash flow (CF0) relates to the initial cost of the investment, so will be a negative number.
As such, any discount rate less than the IRR will result in a positive NPV and a discount rate higher than the IRR will result in a negative NPV.
Therefore, when Discount Rate = IRR, NPV = 0.
NPV Decision Rule
- Accept projects with positive NPV. They will increase shareholder wealth
- Reject projects with negative NPV. They will decrease shareholder wealth
- Where projects are mutually exclusive (i.e. only one can be chosen), choose the project with the highest positive NPV
IRR Decision Rule
Provides the analyst with a result in terms of rate of return. Summarized as:
- Accept projects with an IRR greater than the firm/investor’s required rate of return
- Reject projects with an IRR less than the firm/investor’s required rate of return
NPV/IRR Conflicts
- Mutually Exclusive Projects
- Reinvestment Rate (NPV = market-based opp cost of capital, IRR = IRR)
- Goal = maximization of shareholder wealth so when they conflict choose the project with the greatest NPV
Holding Period
Can be any period of time
Holding Period Return (Definition)
Percentage change in the value of an investment over the period it is held
Total Return
Holding Period Return + Value of Interim Cash Flows during the Holding Period (dividends/interest payments)
Holding Period Return (Formula)
HPR = Ending Value / Beginning Value - 1
Total Return (Formula)
TR = (Ending Value + Cash Flow Received) / Beginning Value - 1
Money Weighted Return of a Portfolio
The internal rate of return of a portfolio taking into account all cash inflows and outflows.
Rate where inflows = outflows
Note that the beginning value and all inflows are treated as inflows whereas all outflows and the ending value are treated as outflows
Time Weighted Rate of Return (Definition)
- Measures Compound Growth
- Rate at which $1 compounds over a specified performance horizon
- Process of averaging a set of values over time
Preferred method of performance measurement (in investment management), because it is not affected by the timing of cash inflows and outflows