Reading 48 - Mortgage-Backed Sector of the Bond Market Flashcards
What are the 4 important features of fixed rate, level payment, fully amortized mortgage loans?
- The amount of the principal payment increases as time passes
- The amount of interest decreases as time passes
- The servicing fee also declines as time passes
- The ability of the borrower to prepay results in prepayment risk
What is scheduled amortization?
the incremental reduction of outstanding principal.
***Think an amortization schedule
What is servicing fee?
The collection of payments and all of the other administrative activities associated with mortgage loans
*** are usually built into the mortgage rate**
What are prepayments?
Payments in excess of the required monthly payment.
What are curtailments?
Prepayments for less than the outstanding principal balance.
What is prepayment risk?
The fact that prepayments of curtailments will reduce the amount of interest the lender receives over the life of the loan.
What is a mortgage passthrough security?
represents a claim against a pool of mortgages.
What is securitization?
since passthrough securities may be traded in the secondary markets, they effectively convert illiquid mortgages into liquid securities… **This is securitization***
What is the most important characteristic of passthrough securities?
Prepayment risk
What are the two industry conventions that have been adopted as benchmarks for prepayment rates?
- Conditional prepayment risk (CPR)
- Public Securities Association (PSA)
What is the CPR?
Conditional Prepayment Risk
The annual rate at which a mortgage pool is expected to be prepaid.
We can convert the CPR Into a monthly prepayment rate called the single monthly mortality rate.
How do you calculate the SMM and what does an SMM imply?
An SMM of 10% implies that 10% of a pool’s beginning of month outstanding balance, less scheduled payments, will be prepaid during the month
Define the PSA prepayment benchmark…
it assumes that the monthly prepayment rate for a mortgage pool increases as it ages, or becomes seasoned.
The PSA assumes a 0.2% annual rate and increases by 0.2% each month for the first 30 months. .. After 30 months it is capped at 6%.
Compute the CPR and SMM for the 5th month, assuming 100 PSA and 150 PSA…
Assuming 100 PSA:
CPR(month 5) = 5 * 0.2% = 1%
100 PSA = 1 * 0.01 = 0.01
SMM = 1-(1-0.01)1/12
Assuming 150 PSA:
CPR(month 5) = 5 *0.2 = 1%
150 PSA = 1.5 *0.01 = 0.015
SMM = 1-(1-0.015)1/12
=0.006476
How can we estimate the prepayment amount for any month m?
= SMMm*(mortgage balance at beginning of month m - scheduled principal payment for month m)
What are the 3 main factors that have been shown to affect prepayments?
- Prevailing mortgage rates
- Housing turnover
- Characteristics of the underlying mortgages
What are the two characteristics that affect the level of prepayments?
- Seasoning (ie age of loan)
- Property Location
What are the two types of prepayment risks?
- Contraction risk
- Extension risk