RD2 Flashcards
According to Dahl (1998), for a polyarchy to exist the following five criteria must all be present: effective participation, voting equality, enlightened understanding, control of agenda, inclusion of adults. This concept structure resembles, what Goertz (2020) calls the Logical OR.
False
Please select whether the following research question is indicative of
A) a covariational, B) a causal process tracing, or C) a congruence analysis type of case study.
- Which configurations of causal conditions led to social revolutions (Skocpol 1979)?
Causal Process Tracing
Please select whether the following research question is indicative of
A) a covariational, B) a causal process tracing, or C) a congruence analysis type of case study.
Does “high reliability organization theory“ or „normal accident theory“ provide a better framework for understanding and explaining risk management in complex organizations (Sagan 1993)?
Congruence Analysis
Please select whether the following research question is indicative of
A) a covariational, B) a causal process tracing, or C) a congruence analysis type of case study.
Does a country‘s political opportunity structure affect the strategy and the impact of anti-nuclear movements (Kitschelt 1986)?
Covariational
According to Lijphart there are three fundamental strategies of research/methods (the experimental, statistical & comparative method)
How does each method resolve the problem of control?
- Experimental method
variance through comparison with control groups
establishes control through well-considered randomisation of treatment
According to Lijphart there are three fundamental strategies of research/methods (the experimental, statistical & comparative method)
How does each method resolve the problem of control?
- Statistical method
observing correlations
control through statistical manipulation
According to Lijphart there are three fundamental strategies of research/methods (the experimental, statistical & comparative method)
How does each method resolve the problem of control?
- Comparative method
observing covariation in limited set of cases
control through careful case selection
“The comparative method resembles the statistical method in all respects except
one. The crucial difference is that the number of cases it deals with is too small to permit systematic control by means of partial correlations“ (ibid., 684).
Experimental method
Experimental Method “in its simplest form, uses two equivalent groups, one of which (the experimental group) is exposed to a stimulus while the other (the control group) is not. […] Equivalence – that is, the condition that the cetera are indeed paria – can be achieved by a process of deliberate randomization” (Lijphart, 1971, p. 683) variance through comparison with control groups; establishes control through well-considered randomisation of treatment
Comparative method
Comparative Method as the “method of testing hypothesized empirical relationships among variables on the basis of the same logic that guides the statistical method, but in which the cases are selected in such a way as to maximize the variance of the independent variables and to minimize the variance of the control variables.“(Lijphart, 1975, p. 684)
observing covariation in limited set of cases; control through careful case selection
Formulate a set of questions that should be asked before or when engaging in In groups of four, formulate a set of questions case selection!
Statistical method
Statistical Method “ entails the conceptual (mathematical) manipulation of empirically observed data – which cannot be manipulated situationally as in experimental design – in order to discover controlled relationships among variables. It handles the problem of control by means of partial correlations.” (Lijphart, 1971, p. 684)observing correlations; control through statistical manipulation
What is the main difference between the two sentences:
a, Social revolution is possible only if the state is
in crisis.
b, State crisis leads to social revolution.
a) State crisis = necessary condition
b) State crisis = sufficient condition
According to Eckstein, a case study is N=1.
True
Dual choice question: Transitivity means that ‘when x causes y, y does
not cause x’
False
Regularity Theories of Causation.
The core idea of regularity theories of causation is that causes are regularly followed by their effects. A genuine cause and its effect stand in a pattern of invariable succession: whenever the cause occurs, so does its effect.
Probability theory
some event is more probable than another without specifying. the exact numerical probabilities of the events in question.
The probability of political sophistication given compulsory voting is higher than the probability of political sophistication without compulsory voting. It’s more likely to achieve political sophistication with compulsory voting.
X causes Y if and only if the conditional probability of Y given X is higher than the conditional probability of Y when X is not given ( p(Y|X) > p(Y|not-X) ). The type-level claim that “granting territorial autonomy causes secessionism” can then be true even if there are some minorities who received autonomy and did not increase their secessionism as long as the conditional probability of secessionism given autonomy is higher than the probability of secessionism without territorial autonomy.
Bayesian probability
is an interpretation of the concept of probability, in which, instead of frequency or propensity of some phenomenon, probability is interpreted as reasonable expectation[1] representing a state of knowledge[2] or as quantification of a personal belief
- Focus is on the conditional likelihood of making an observation, given that
different theories were true - How likely would I make this observation if my hypothesis were true?
(= the degree of certainty) - How likely would I make this observation if the rival hypothesis were
true? (= the degree of uniqueness) - Different pieces of evidence can have different inferential value
- Even single pieces of evidence can be the basis for inference, if they
discriminate well between competing explanations
Frequentist probability
is a type of statistical inference based in frequentist probability, which treats “probability” in equivalent terms to “frequency” and draws conclusions from sample-data by means of emphasizing the frequency or proportion of findings in the data
- Focus is on the frequency of observations – the more, the higher our
confidence when rejecting or confirming a hypotheses - Can be challenging in small-N research
The Bayesian logic can be applied without reference to the Frequentist logic.
False
Is the following situation an example of an interstitial contact (Mosley 2013): You approach people randomly on the train station to interview them.
No
According to Mosley, an interstitial contact requires an interviewee to select the researcher not the other way around.
When I go to an archive I collect data. I don’t generate it.
True
Sampling units:
“units that are distinguished for selective inclusion in an analysis”
Recording units:
“units that are distinguished for separate description, transcription, recording, or coding”
Context units:
“units of textual matter that set limits on the information to be considered in the description of recording units”
“I have analysed a certain number of newspapers.” According to Krippendorf, what is this person talking about?
Sampling units
According do Krippendorf, recording units can exceed sampling units.
False
p.104:”recording units are typically contained in sampling units, at most coinciding with them, but never exceeding them.”
Large-N strenghts
- Assess how often social/political phenomena occur on average
- Assess external validity of theoretical arguments (if cross-nationally comparative)
- Estimate existence and size of ‘causal effects’ of individual variables
- Estimate uncertainties
- Can serve as basis for selecting case
Small-N Strengths:
- Serves to reconstruct causal mechanisms
- Enhance internal validity (meaning of concepts and theories in context)
- Identify possible causes/variables that should be taken up by large-N research / can help detect omitted variables
- Understand how actors make sense of their environment, and how and why they take decisions
Guidelines by Goertz
- Explicitly analyze the negative pole.
- Theorize the underlying continuum between the negative and positive poles.
- Theorize the gray zone; then determine whether or not the concept should be considered continuous or dichotomous.
- Do not let the empirical distribution of cases influence decisions. Usually, the empirical distribution of cases should be explained, not presumed in the concepts.
- Do not just list dimensions of the concept.
- Be explicit about the necessary conditions, if any.
- Give sufficiency criteria (holds for N & S conditions and FR).
- Do not force the reader to guess at structure from discussion of examples or the mathematics of a quantitative measure. 31
- Explicitly ask the weighting question.
- Justify the weighting scheme used.
- Be explicit about the formal relationships between secondary or indicator-level dimensions. The three canonical possibilities are 1) minimum/AND, 2) mean, and 3) maximum/OR.
- What is the theoretical relationship that links the indicator/data level to the secondary level? (e.g. causal relationship as in disease-symptom; direction?)
- What is the theoretical relationship that links the secondary level to the basic level?
Logical OR (Goertz)
could include both things, but doesn’t have to. “A chair can have 1 OR 4 legs”
Logical AND (Goertz)
(necessary and jointly sufficient): has to include both things to be true. “Humans need oxygen AND water to survive”
Marks Rules
- The smaller the volume of information for any set of cases, the greater the benefit of increasing it (square-root law).
- The more imprecise an observation, the greater the benefit of an additional observation, even if it is no less imprecise.
- The more biased a dataset, the greater the benefit of an additional dataset having a different bias, even if the additional dataset is no less inaccurate.
- The greater the diversity of systematic error among datasets, the greater the benefits of triangulation.
How to conduct Lijpharts methods on: Effect of income a person’s on education.
Expermental
Draw random sample from the population, split sample into treatment and control group * Treatment=financial support measure whether this impacts education
How to conduct Lijpharts methods on: Effect of income a person’s on education.
Statistical
Collect data for a sample on income and education
How to conduct Lijpharts methods on: Effect of income a person’s on education.
Comparative
Intentionally pick a few individuals from the population (with different incomes) See whether they have different levels of education
variance of the control variables.“ (Lijphart 1975: 164)
* “The comparative method should be resorted to when the number of
order to establish credible controls is not feasable. There is, consequently,
no clear dividing line between the statistical and comparative methods; the difference depends entirely on the number of cases.“ (Lijphart 1971:
684)
* “[…] if at all possible one should generally use the statistical (or perhaps
even the experimental) method instead of the weaker comparative
method.“ (Lijphart 1971: 685)
* Comparative method as the “method of testing hypothesized empirical to maximize the variance of the independent variables and to minimize the relationships among variables on the basis of the same logic that guides the statistical method, but in which the cases are selected in such a way as
cases available for analysis is so small that cross‐tabulating them further in
How to generate external validity
- Craft arguments with general variables or mechanisms / eliminate (reduce) proper
names (cf. Przeworski & Teune 1970) - Capture representative variation (e.g. base case
selection on typologie; cf. Collier, LaPorte & Seawright 2012) - Select cases that maximize control over
existing rival hypotheses (cf. Slater & Ziblatt 2013: 1313)
Configurative-ideographic study
aim to describe a case very well, but not to contribute to a theory.
- Individualzing, interpretative (≠ nomothetic)
- Logic of understanding (verstehen ‐> W.
35 - Drawback: „do not easily add up“ (S. Verba)
- Uniqueness of case
Dilthey)
Disciplined Configurative study
aim to use established theories to explain a specific case
- Applications of general laws or statements of
probability to particular cases - Linking comparatively tested theory and case
- Feedback on theory interpretation
- ≈ congruence analysis
Hypothesis-generating (or heuristic) case studies
studies aim to inductively identify new variables, hypotheses, causal mechanisms, and causal paths.
- Potentially generalizable relations deliberately
- Serving to find out
sought out (cf. also grounded theory as a method of * Can be used in building block technique ‘discovery of theory from data’) - Track record of case studies as stimulants of theoretical imagination (intensive analysis)
- But: which case should one choose?
Theory testing case studies
aim to assess the validity and scope conditions of existing theories
Plausibility probes,
aim to assess the plausibility of new hypotheses and theories.
lower costs than rigorous
* Pilot studies (e.g. in combination with game
* Probing plausibility of candidate theories testing
Building block studies of types or subtypes
aim to identify common patterns across cases.
Why talk to people rather than just sitting at your desk?
Desk = you have your own thoughts on what fits your “concept” or the kind of person you want to interview. You have notions of what data to use. You believe you can get all the info you need from afar.
Talking to people at the spot = Realize that the concepts and data you thought were relevant were based on your knowledge and your environment, which doesn’t necessarily mean that it is the same for the people you’re researching.
You get more in-depth (and accurate) information when you do your research in the place you’re researching.
What is qualitative research?
Numbers (quan.) vs. words (qual.) (Charles Ragin)
Predetermined variables and their relations (quan.) vs. relations
between categories that are themselves subject to change in the
research process (qual.) (Aspers & Corte 2019)
About interpretation, “Verstehen“ and actors‘ meaning
Iterative processes and improved novel understandings (Aspers &
Corte 2019)
Ontology
Knowledge of how the world works
Methodology
How to put “world” knowledge into practice.
Concept
Main building blocks of theories
If I have a theory I need to disaggregate it to its parts, aka concepts
When we use a concept we have a general idea of what that is. Example: a shirt.
An abstraction (of the concept) helps us sort things.
Concepts are a universe of possibilities. Example: there are many different shirts.
Concepts are hypothetical, the concept when thinking of it is not real, but there is a real version of it.
(Most) concepts are learned (and created), we learn them as we go, they’re not “natural”.
Concepts are socially shared. Concepts are shared via interaction with other people, you learn concepts and tech concepts as you go. Concepts can be contested, your concept of something doesn’t have to be another person.
Concepts are reality oriented, concepts relate to the real world.
Concepts are selective constructions, the same thing can be conceptualized differently depending on the purpose.
Intension
connotation
the intension of a word is the collection of properties which determine the things to which the word applies
extension
denotation
the extension of a word is the class of things to which the word applies
CRITERIA FOR GOOD MEASUREMENT
Objectivity
Reliability (Precision)
Validity
Objectivity
Are measurements independent of the researcher?
Reliability (Precision)