(R46) Understanding Fixed-Income Risk and Return Flashcards
Three sources of return from bonds and associated risk
- Coupon payments (Credit Risk)
- Reinvestment of coupon payments (Interest Rate Risk)
- Capital Gain/Loss (Interest Rate Risk)
Capital gain vs. capital loss
Gain: bond is sold above carrying value
Loss: bond is sold below carrying value
If rates increase, what happens to the reinvestment of coupon and does it result in capital gain or loss?
Higher reinvestment of coupon but results in capital loss
If rates decrease, what happens to the reinvestment of coupon and does it result in capital gain or loss?
Lower reinvestment of coupon but results in capital gain
Carrying value =
Purchase price + amortized discount
Duration
Measures the sensitivity of the bond’s full price to changes in interest rate;
Represents approximate amount of time a bond would have to be held for the YTM to be realized
Yield Duration
The sensitivity of the bond price with respect to its own YTM (Macauley, modified, money, & price value for a basis point)
Curve Duration
The sensitivity of the bond price (or the market value of a financial asset or liability) with respect to a benchmark yield curve; used with complex bonds such as embedded options (Effective Duration)
Macauley Duration
The approximate amount of time a bond would have to be held for the market discount rate at purchase to be realized if there is a single change in interest rate. It indicates the point in time when the coupon reinvestment and price effects of a change in yield-to-maturity offset each other.
Modified Duration Formula if MacDur is known
ModDur = MacDur/ (1+r)
Modified Duration definition
Measures the percentage price change for a bond given a change in its YTM
% Change in Full Price of Bond =
-AnnModDur x change in yield; this is a linear estimate and requires a convexity adjustment
Modified Duration Formula if Macdur is unknown (Approx ModDur) =
[(PV-) - (PV+)] / (2 x change in yield x PVo)
PV- is the PV of bond with a decrease in rate
PV+ is the PV of bond with a decrease in rate
PVo is the original PV of bond
Effective Duration definition
Linear estimate of the percentage change in a bond’s price that would result from a 1% change in the benchmark yield curve. (used for complex bonds with embedded options such as callable bonds)
Effective Duration formula
[(PV-) - (PV+)] / (2 x change in curve x PVo)
PV- is the PV of bond with a decrease in rate
PV+ is the PV of bond with a decrease in rate
PVo is the original PV of bond
What happens to full price of bond when rates increase and decrease?
When rates increase, full price of bond decreases
Key Rate duration
Duration at a specific maturity on the yield curve; Key rate duration must be be used to estimate % change in portfolio value for a non-parallel shift in the yield curve; You get a different key rate duration for each maturity. The sum of all key rate durations equal the effective duration
What happens to interest rate risk when duration increases?
Interest rate risk increases
What happens to duration with changes in TTM, coupon, and YTM
If TTM increases, duration increases
If Coupon decreases, duration increases
If YTM decreases, duration increases
Calculate the duration of a portfolio
= ModDur (weight 1) + ModDur (weight 2) + ModDur (weight n)
Portfolio Duration
Percentage change in portfolio value for a 1% change in yield, only for parallel shifts of the yield curve.
Money Duration of a Bond
Measure of price change in terms of currency; Money duration is stated in currency units and is sometimes expressed per 100 of par value.
Money Duration formula
AnnModDur x PVfull
$ Change in full price of bond =
-MoneyDur x change in yield
Price Value of a basis point
The price value of a basis point is the change in the value of a bond, expressed in currency units, for a change in YTM of one basis point, or 0.01%
Price value of a basis point (PVBP) formula
[(PV-) - (PV+)] / 2
PV- is the PV of bond with a decrease in rate
PV+ is the PV of bond with a decrease in rate
Change in PV due to duration - primary effect
Change in PV due to convexity - secondary effect (only for large changes in basis points)
xxx
When is a convexity adjustment required?
For large changes in basis points
Approximate convexity Formula
[(PV-) + (PV+) - (2PVo)] / (PVo x change in yield squared)
PV- is the PV of bond with a decrease in rate
PV+ is the PV of bond with a decrease in rate
PVo is the original PV of bond
Convexity adjustment formula
1/2 (Ann. Convexity) x change in yield squared
Yield Volatility
Number of basis points change; As TTM increases, the yield volatility decreases.
Duration Gap formula
MacDur - investment horizon
How does coupon re-investment risk compare to market price risk if duration gap is less than 0 or greater than 0?
Re-investment risk dominates market price risk if less than 0; market price risk dominations re-investment risk if greater than 0.