R02 Flashcards
Cash? (5)
- Interest
- No capital growth
- Easy access
- Greater security
- Low return
Cash
Investment risks? (5)
- Default risk - credit worthiness of firm and compensation it has
- Inflation
- Interest rate - especially when variable
- Currency - if invested in other currency
- Re-investment - if original high interest but end of fixed period interest rate may have decreased
Cash
FSCS compensation limit?
£85,000 per person per institution - parent company only
Cash
Types of accounts? (4)
- Current
- Instant access
- Notice (30 - 120 days) - penalty for early access. Often interest paid penalty
- Term Deposit (1 - 5 years) - fixed interest rate during term
Cash
Structured Deposits (SD)?
How do they differ to Structured Products (SP)?
SD: Pay interest based on performance of index
SP: Fixed term greater of original investment / % change index
SD: Capital Protection provided by deposit taking firm
SP: Capital Protection provided by third party
National Savings and Investments (NS&I)
Which products have tax free returns? (4) (P.I.C.K)
- Premium Bonds
- ISAs
- Fixed and IndexLinked Savings Certificates
- Children’s Bonds
National Savings and Investments (NS&I)
Which products are paid gross but are taxable? (4) (G.I.I.D)
- Guaranteed Growth/ Income Bonds
- Income Bonds
- Investment Account
- Direct Saver
Money Market Instruments? (3)
- Treasury Bills - minimum £300,000
- Certificates of deposit
- Commercial Bills - short term loans to Government / bank for lower interest rates
Money Market Instruments
Treasury Bills
How does it work? (4)
- Issued by Debt Mananagement Office
- Weekly auctions
- Bought at lower face value and sold at above face value - no interest rate but provides growth
- Risk Free, short term (maximum 6 months)
Money Market Instruments
Treasury Bills
Access for private investors?
Can invest in?
Collective investment vehicles - offers diversification i.e. lower default risk
Short term Money Markets fund
WAM = lower 60 days life = lower 120 days
Standard Money markets fund, weighted average maturity = 6 months life = 12 months
Money Market Instruments
Certificates of Deposit (CD)
How do they work? (4)
- Issued by banks
- Fixed term and fixed return - usually relate to LIBOR
- Returns higher than Treasury Bills as no guarantees
- Can’t withdraw early but can sell on stock market
Money Market Instruments
Commercial Bills
How does it work?
- Issued by companies
- 30 - 90 day loans
- Bought lower than face value, sold higher than face value
- Returns greater than Tresury Bills & Certifictes of Deposit as higher risk
- Are tradeable as proof of ownership can be sold on stock market
ISAs
Max age for JISA?
If 17?
- Below 18
- If 17 - can have adult ISA, only hold cash and JISA, can hold other asset classes
ISAs
5% rule?
If investment likely return + 95% of investor’s money in a 5 year period from initial investment date - can be included in Cash ISA
ISAs
Flexible ISA rules?
If take money out you can add that money back in in the same tax year, without it impacting your allowance
Indirect Investments
Examples of income? (4)
- Pension Income
- Distribution from FI Collectives
- Distribution from EQ Collectives
- Investment Bonds
Tax Wrappers
3 Stages?
- How initial investment treated
- How funds are taxed within wrapper
- How proceeds are taxed on investor
ISAs
How are proceeds taxed on the investor?
Interest and dividends are paid gross, no capital gains tax
Child Trust Funds (CTFs)
Desrcibe? (4)
- Available 2002 - 2011
- Government contribution £250 initially - increased to £500
- Savings/ Shares / Stakeholder options
- Additionally investments permitted of £4,668
JISA
Describe? (2)
If 17?
- Eligible if born after January 2011
- Max per year £9,000
At 17, can get £20,000 plus £9,000
Children’s savings
£100 rule?
Interest earned from the total amount gifted is less than £100 a year, it will be treated as the child’s
If it is greater it will be treated as the parents for income tax purposes
JISAs and CTFs are exempt
Fixed Interest Securities
What are they?
Way of institutions funding longer term requirements
Fixed Interest Securities
Investors entitled to?
Interest payments and return of capital at end of term = PAR value
Fixed Interest Securities
Know as?
Terms?
Tradeable?
Negotiable fixed interest, long-term debt instruments
2 - 30 years
Can sell to third party
Fixed Interest Securities
What is their nominal value?
How are they taxed?
£100
Income tax, no capital gains tax unless sold on stock market
Fixed Interest Securities
Must show? (3)
- Issuer’s name
- Coupon - amount of interest you receive
- Maturity date
Fixed Interest securities
Price quoted on FT?
Seller receives and buyer receives?
Mid/ clean price - price paid if no adjustments are made for interest due
Seller gets lower mid price and buyer receives lower mid price
Fixed Interest Securities
When does interest accrue and when is it paid?
This creates what problem?
Accrued daily and paid half yearly
when buying and selling who gets the interest - agreement needs to be made
Government Bonds
Also know as?
Are they risk free?
Gilts - Government Invested Long Term Security
No but low risk
Government Bonds (Gilts)
Classification?
Classified by term until redemption
Shorts = < 5 years
Medium = 5 - 15 years
Longs = > 15 years
Government Bonds (Gilts)
Index Linked bond?
Coupon normally?
Issued before Sep-05?
After Sep-05?
Know as?
Interest payment and redemption price adjusted with RPI
Coupon normally lower
Before Sep-05: RPI from 8 months prior ro coupon date
After Sep-05: RPI from 3 months
Indexation lay
Repo Market
Aim?
Improve liquidity of gilt market - traders can use gilts as securities for transactions
Used by the Bank of England to influence interest rates
Repo Market
What is it?
Sale and Repurchase Agreement Market
Repo Market
Buy back period?
Usually 2 weeks but range from overnight to several months
Repo Market
Strips Market?
Referred to as?
Separate Trading of Registered Interest and Principal Securities
Separates Gilts into interest (coupon) and redemption payments.
E.G. 20 strips of coupon 1/2 yearly for 10 year gilt - 1 strip for redemption payment
Zero coupon instruments - pay no regular interest
Bonds
Sensitive to? (2)
Sensitivity determines how an investment changes with fluctuations in outside factors
Bonds - changes in interest rates and inflation
Bond sensitivity
Duration?
A bond’s duration reflects changes in the bond’s price for each 1% fluctuation of the interest rate. For example, a bond with a duration of 4 means the bond price decreases/increases 4% for every 1% increase/decrease in interest rate. A bond with a long maturity and low coupon has a longer duration and therefore is more sensitive to rate fluctuations
Bond sensitivity
The lower the coupon?
Longer its period to redemption?
The higher the volatility:
- as a higher coupon leads to a higher return in short run
- as bond holder receives a return sooner
Convertible Bonds
What are they?
Unsecured loan stock - can convert bond into ordinary shares
Convertible Bonds
Characteristics - explain?
- Coupon
- Conversion Rights
- CGT
- Coupon - Interest paid in usual way but lower coupon
- Conversion rights vary - either time period for conversion / specific date
- CGT - not exempt
Convertible Bonds
If conversion date expires?
Fluctuates in value?
Turns into conventional bond
Normally with issuers share price i.e. higher share price - higher bond price
FRN
What does it stand for?
Definition?
Floating Rate Notes
Securities issued by companies where interest rate linked to a money market rate e.g. LIBOR
FRN
Coupon paid?
1/2 yearly / quarterly
FRN
Price?
Normally close to nominal value
Change in interest rate - security itself will change
But likely to alter with change in credit worthiness of company
PSB
What does it stand for and is it?
Perpetual Subordinated Bond
A PIBS but issued by Bank not a Building Society
PIBS
What is it?
Permanent Interest Bearing Share - high yielding Fixed Interest issued by Building Societies
PIBS
Qualities? (4)
- Fixed rate of interest
- Building Society do not have to redeem them
- Interest is taxable, paid gross, twice yearly
- Free of CGT
Stock dividend
What is it?
Company offers shareholders the choice of receiving new shares instead of a cash dividend
Interest yield
What is it?
What is it also know as?
Looks at income
Income yield, running yield, flat yield
Interest yield
Calculation?
Annual coupon /clean price x 100
Gross Redemption Yield
What is it?
Measure of the rate of return offered by an investment up until the date it matures i.e. overall return
Gross Redemption Yield
Equation?
Interest yield + Gain or loss to maturity divided by number of years to maturity / clean price x 100
Gross Redemption Yield
Doesn’t take into account?
Individual’s tax position - most investors target bonds for income rather than overall return
To calculate overall return - tax, need to calculate net redemption yield
Cum dividend
What is it?
If owned for less than the whole period?
Full 6 months interest received
If sold purchaser must compensate buyer for interest occured but not received
Ex-dividend
What is it?
If purchased after that?
Interest payments usually made 7 working days before payment date
Price for buyer lower than this
Dirty price
What is it?
Clean price +/- interest adjustment
Bond prices
Adjusted for? (7)
- Income need/want
- Credit rating of issuers
- Future interest rates trends
- Changes to inflation
- Government finances conduct
- International and soci-political tensions
- Attraction of other assets
Bonds
Risks? (5)
Bonds
Yield curves - explain? (3)
- Normal - greater return in exchange for greater risk as greater exposure to risk
- Flat - stable economy
- Inversion - Expectation of increasing interest rates followed by falling interest rates
Corporate Bonds
Riskier?
Bid/ Offer spread?
Yields?
Riskier than gilts as greater chance of default, more volatile
Bid Offer spread is greater
Yields are higher than gilts
Corporate Bonds
Can be either………..or………………?
Explain?
Secured - charge is taken over firm’s assets and in the event of default assets used to pay loan
Unsecured - rank alongside normal creditors, higher yield
Corporate Bonds
Charge?
2 types?
Established by trust deed
Secured by fixed (secured to fixed asset of company, therefore sale of asset is restricted) or floating charge (general charge over companies assets)
Equities
For companies to issue shares to publish? (2)
- Must be listed on stock exchange
- 25% minimum for sale
Equities
Why list on AIM? (2)
Regulated by?
- Main market listing is expensive
- Many rules
UK Listing Authority (UKLA)
Ordinary Shares
What are they? (3)
- Confer an ownership stake in a company
- Represent the risk capital, are the last to be paid out in the event of liquidation
- Holders have a right to share in the profits of the company (through dividend payments), a right to attend and vote at company meetings
Ordinary Shares
Why keep profits back?
Profit held back to increase the value of the company therefore increase value of shares - capital growth for investors
Ordinary shares
Other types? (2)
Non-voting ordinary shares
Deferred ordinary shares - don’t receive a dividend until pre-determined level reached/ specific period
Preference shares
Characteristics? (3)
Fixed annual dividend - every 6 months and only paid if profit made
Typically no voting rights unless company falls behind on dividend payments
Paid before dividends to other stakeholders
Preference shares
Risks? (8)
- Equity capital risk
- Market risk
- Share dividend volatility
- Liquidity
- Currency
- Counterparty risk
- Regulatory
- Fund managers and insurance companies
Preference shares
Types? (5)
Explain
- Cumulative - any missed dividend made up in future years
- Non-cumulative - any missed dividend doesn’t need to be made up
- Participating - fixed rate dividend paid and participate in ordinary share dividend as well
- Redeemable - temporary source of finance, dividends paid until company repurchases shares
Stamp duty
When is stamp duty payable and at what rate?
Payable when paper transaction of shares
0.5% of value of share (rounded up to nearest £5)
Stamp duty
Who pays it?
The purchaser
Stamp duty
What is it not paid on? (5)
- AIM
- UK domicilied ETFs
- If < £1,000
- Gilts/ corporate bonds
- OEICS/ unit trusts
Stamp duty
What is stamp duty reserve tax paid on?
How is it rounded off?
Who pays it?
Paid on paperless transactions of shares on CREST
Rounded to the nearest penny
Paid by the stockbroker on behalf of the purchaser
Stamp duty
For CGT?
Stamp duty and stamp duty reserve tax can be deducted
Stamp duty
PTM levy is payable on? (3)
- Listed shares
- Investment trusts
- REITS
Factors affecting share prices? (7)
- Economic
- Polictical
- Investor sentiment
- Profit expectations
- Dividend expectations
- Takeover activity
- Quality and track record of management
Private equity
What is it?
Typically refers to provision of? (2)
Acquiring shares/ stake in a company not traded on stock exchange
- Venture capital
- Management buy-outs/ buy-ins
Private equity
Private equity firms looks to make capital gain by? (4)
- Selling shares back to management
- Selling shares to another investor
- Trade sale - company-company
- Floated on stock exchange
Private equity
Can invest in private equity through? (3)
- Funds - typically hold shares for 3-7 years, aim to return original investors money and any additional returns. Have the potential for high returns but high risk
- Listed private equity companies - invest directly into unlisted companies. Invest in funds that invest in unlisted companies
- EIS, SEIS & VCTs
Equity Investment Ratios
Earnings per share (EPS)
Formula?
Profit after tax LESS preference dividends
DIVIDED BY
Number of ordinary shares in issue
Earnings per share (EPS)
Characteristics (4)
- Shows trend in company’s profitability
- Widely used in company performance analysis - usually only compare companies rather than sectors
- All companies list EPS
- Result shows amount per share in pence that the company has earned during the year
Dividend yield
Formula?
Net dividend per share
DIVIDED BY
Current share price
MULTIPLE BY 100
Dividend yield
Characteristics? (3)
Shows true value of share’s dividend
Same as interest yield on bonds
Not necessarily a reliable indicator as dividend and share price fluctuate
Dividend cover
Formula for total basis?
Earnings per share
DIVIDED BY
Dividend per share
Dividend cover
Formula for individual basis?
Profit attributed to ordinary shares
DIVIDED BY
Dividend paid to ordinary shareholders
Dividend cover
What does the formula show?
The higher the figure shows?
How many times the dividend could be paid out of available current earnings
If figure is really high this shows profits being maintained rather than shared
Dividend cover
Uncovered dividends?
If company draws on reserves to pay dividend
Price Earnings Ratio (P/E)
Formula?
Current share price
DIVIDED BY
Earnings per share
Price Earnings Ratio
If the formula produces a high figure what does this mean?
What can it be used for?
Better as more shares in demand
A comparison between companies in same sector
Net Asset Value (NAV)
Formula?
Total capital employed
LESS
Claims + loans + preference shares
Net Asset Value (NAV)
Measures?
Amount available to shareholders if the company were to close down, sell all its assets and distribute balance. Value of tangible assets attributable to ordinary shares
Net Asset Value (NAV)
Useful for?
Takeover bid and liquidation - compare bid price to NAV
Investment ratios
What are their limitations? (3)
- Differing accounting policies can be used to calculate profits so difficult to compare
- Management can change accounting period
- Ratios use historical data therefore no guide to future performance
Property
Demand is driven by?
Changing economic circumstances and desire to move
Residential property investment
What is it?
Buying a property with the express priority of letting it out for income or selling it at a profit
Residential property investment
Risks? (3)
- Liquidity risk - initial cost
- Management risks - need to run property, agency fees
- Void risk - if property is vacant and no rent
Residential property investment
Choosing a property? (4)
- Location
- Tenants
- Age and condition of property
- Diversification - buying more property
Rental yields
What is the headline gross rental yield formula?
What should price include?
Yearly rental income
DIVIDED BY
Purchase price of home
MULTIPLIED
100
Price should include any expenses of purchase
Rental yields
What is the net rental yield formula?
What is the difference between the two yields?
Yearly rental income LESS letting expenses
DIVIDED BY
Original purchase price PLUS charges
MULTIPLIED
100
Net yeild is after any letting expenses
Stamp Duty Land Tax
Due on?
Must be paid within?
Individuals who purchase land
Due within 14 days of effective date of transaction i.e. completion date/ date of payment
SDLT
Non-residential rates?
Paid via?
£0 - £150,000 = 0%
£150,000 - £250,000 = 2%
> £250,000 = 5%
Paid via self assessment
SDLT
Is it charged on leasehold property?
Is it charged on additional properties?
Charged at 1% on present value of rent over lease term if value > £125,000 for residential or > £150,000 for non-residential
If you’re buying a second home, you’ll still pay Stamp Duty on a property costing more than £40,000 at the normal rates – plus surcharge of 3%
Net Present Value (NPV)
Formula for calcuating SDLT on leasehold property?
Annual rent
MULTIPLED BY
Lease term
Property income allowance
What is it?
If rental income is lower than £1,000 don’t need to be declared to HMRC
If rental icome is greater than £1,000 can deduct allowance from gross rent rather than deducting expenses
Non-residential
What type of property is classed as non-residential? (5)
- Commercial property
- Agricultural land
- Forests
- Any other land or property not used as residence
- 6 or more residential properties bought in a single transaction
Rent a room relief
What is it?
CGT payable?
Income from renting a furnished room in your main residence up to £7,500 tax free or £3,750 per person if joint
If yearly rental is greater than £7,500 can either be taxed on excess over £7,500 but no expenses or normal basis income less expenses
No CGT payable as main residence
Rent a room relief
If rental received exceeds linit of £7,500?
If yearly rental is greater than £7,500 can either be taxed on excess over £7,500 but no expenses or normal basis income less expenses
Rent a room relief
Conditions? (3)
- Must be in UK
- Doesn’t apply to self contained unit or unfurnished
- Must not be used as a residence i.e. an office
REITS
What are they?
Closed ended companies listed on stock exchange
Real Estate Investment Trust (REITS)
Conditions? (5)
- 75% of assets and gross profits must be in investment property
- Income must cover gearing by 125%
- 90% of rental profits must be paid as dividends within 12 months of end of accounting period
- Listed on recognised stock exchange
- At least 3 properties and held for 3 years
REITS
How are they taxed?
- ring-fenced (RF)?
- non ring-fenced (NRF)?
Ring Fenced:
Within Fund: Exempt from corporation tax
Income: Property income paid net of 20%, can reclaim if non tax-payer
CGT: Fully liable
Non-Ring Fenced
Within Fund: Subject to corporation tax
Income: Dividend income, usual dividend rules
CGT: Fully liable
PAIF
What is it?
Property authorised investment fund, is an OEIC
Commercial property
Types? (3)
- Retail - lowest yield
- Office building - most competition in terms of supply
- Industrial property - higher yields
Commercial property
Characteristics? (5)
- Move in different ways to equities - good for diversification as often invest in all 3 types
- More secure income as longer leases - residential 6-12 months; commercial 10 years
- Valuation - multiple of rent
- Values cyclical - rent paid every 3-5 years
- Usually pass insurance and maintenance costs to tenant
Commerial property
Drawbacks? (5)
Alternative investments
Examples?
Art, commodities, collectables
Alternative investments
Drawbacks? (6)
- Don’t produce income
- Heavily reliant on investor sentiment - need to be an expert
- Often cost money to upkeep - e.g. repair, insurance premiums
- Limited supply and fluctuating demand
- Price between buying and selling can be higher
- Authenticity important
Commodities
Hard and soft?
Hard: typically mined e.g. oil, gold, precious stones
Soft: typically grown e.g. coffee
Commodities
Why do they make a good investment?
Low correlation with other assets
Commodities
Invest in commodities through? (3)
- Companies that produce commodities
- Funds thta invest in commodities
- Exchange Traded Commodities (ETCs)
Cryptocurrencies
What is blockchain and mining?
Digital ledger processing transactions using encryption technology
Computer accounting solving math problems
Confirms transaction is legit
Creates new digital currencies - pays miners with % of transaction fee charged to user
Blockchain and mining
Other details? (3)
- Transactions annoymous
- Not regulated by FCA
- Not backed by government or central banks
Indices
What are they?
Shows the way markets have moved over time
Indices
Are used to what? (2)
- Compare a share with performance of sector or market
- Compare performance of fund manager with market
Indices
Performance of portfolios can be measured against? (3)
- An index reflecting whole market
- Largest companies/ smaller companies
- Particular sectors
Indices
What are they weighted on?
- impact of larger companies?
Market capitalisation
Larger companies impact the index more
Free float adjustment
What is it?
Free float of stock equals the portion of shares available for trading therefore weighting of company with lower than 75% shares available are adjusted for free float
Indices
Limitations? (3)
- Can be heavily impacted by larger companies
- Not as good as fundamentally weighted index - weighted on revenue, earnings, employees and dividends
- Ignores dividends, costs of buying and selling, CGT and management expenses
The macro economic environment
Greater Good theory?
Therefore overestimate and underestimate leads to?
Buying assets as expect prices to continue to rise - bubbles
Overestimate expected returns and underestimate competitive pressures leads to excess liquidity in markets
The macro economic environment
Why can the government no longer use interest rates effectively?
Government must use what instead?
Interest rates are so low
Government use fiscal policy instead
The macro economic environment
What does government policy affect? (5)
- Interest rates and currencies
- Business and competition
- Economic cycles and inflation
- International relations - greater inportnace due to globalisation
- Elections - ease policy to increase votes
Socio-economic challenge
What is it? (3)
- People are living longer - more people at retirement, strain on, services investment markets and state pension
- Birth rates are declining
- Ageing population and workforce - increased strain on financial services and healthcare
Socio-economic challenge
Technology
What has this meant? (4)
Fast growing industries
- Mobile communications
- Mew generation of digital metrics
- Increased globalisation - lead to investment in foreign markets and low skilled workers competing with developed countries
6 stages of economic cycle?
What are they?
How does it affect demand, inflation, interst rates, unemployment in each case?
- Boom
- Slow down - falling demand, increase interest rates and inflation and increase in unemployment
- Recession - falling demand, profits and output, lower interest rates, inflation and increase in unemployment
- Bust
- Recovery - Increased demand, lower inflation and interest rates, equity growth increases as interest rates low
- Acceleration - increase demand, inflation and interest rates
GDP
What is it and when is it measured?
What does a change in GDP help to show?
Total value of goods and services produced each year measured quarterly
Show where company is on business cycle
PSNCR
What does it stand for?
Public Sector Net Cash Repayment
PSNCR
What is it?
What does it indicate - how is this impacted by a boom or recession?
Difference between government spending and revenue
Indicates how much the government need to borrow - higher in recession and lower in a boom
Bank of England
What does it set?
Base rate - rate C
Bank of England
When do changing interest rates have the largest impact?
18 months - 2 years after change therefore Bank of England targets future rather than present inflation
Interest rates
If interest rates are low what impact does this have on fixed interest and property?
Increases asset prices for fixed interest and property
Balance of payment
What is it and how is it measured?
(BOP) is an accounting of a country’s international transactions for a particular time period. Any transaction that causes money to flow into a country is a credit to its BOP account, and any transaction that causes money to flow out is a debit
Balance of payments
UK has a what?
Trade Gap M > X
Balance of payments
Made up of? (2)
- Current account
- deals with X, M, interest, dividends & rent
- Visible trade (goods) and invisible trade (tourism)
- divided into trade in goods and services, investment income and transfer payments
- Capital account
- foreign investments and loans in UK and abroad
- If overdrawn Bank of England reserves used to finance it
Money Supply
Made up of? (4)
Includes?
- Narrow Money - M0 = level of notes and coins in circulation + banks operational balances at the Bank of England
- Broad money - M4 = money supply is defined as a measure of notes and coins in circulation (M0) + bank accounts (deposits created by banks and BS through lending activities and savings deposits
Money suppply
What does it indicate?
Economic situation and changes in economic cycle
E.G. Rising interest rates indicates lower demand for money
E.G. Rising M4 indicates higher demand for loans, rapid increase may indicate rising inflation
Money supply
How can the Bank of England influence money supply?
How does this work?
Selling/ purchasing treasury bills/ gilts
E.G. to lower money supply sell securities at attractive rates - money being removed from circulation
Inflation
4 types?
- RPI
- CPI
- CPIH - CPI and includes owner occupiers housing costs
- RPIY - RPI, excludes mortgage interest payments
Inflation
What is disinflation?
What is deflation?
Disinflation - reduction in rate of inflation
Deflation - when inflation turns negative
Inflation
Expectation of increased inflation leads to? (2)
- Reduction in price of future interest
- Reduction in value of equities
Interest rates
Rising interest rates leads to? (4)
- Higher return on cash based deposits
- Reduction in price of fixed interest, higher yield for new bonds which leads to increase value of £
- Reduced equities as increase in cost of borrowing
- Increase foreign investors due to increased value of £
Modern Portfolio Theory
What is it? (3)
What is the best portfolio to provide high returns with least amount of volatility?
- Maximise returns and minimise risk
- Investors are risk averse
- Diversified portfolio of imperfectly correlated asset classes can reduce risk through lower volatility
Imperfectly correlated asset classes
Standard deviation
What does it measure?
How far from the average expected return an investment performs
Standard deviation
For investors what does standard deviation mean?
How widely the actual return on an investment varies around its average/ mean return
Standard deviation
What is the normal distribution of data?
The return expected to fall within one standard deviation of the average return 68% of the time and within two standard deviations 95% of the time
Diversification
What is it?
Holding a range of imperfectly correlated asets in a portfolio to smooth out fluctuations caused by economic and financial events
Reduction of risk
Can reduce the risk on portfolios by? (2)
Diversification
Hedging - taking a position where if one asset value falls another one increases
Diversification
How does it impact systemic and systemic risk?
Lowers systemic risk but not systemic risk
Diversification
Is achieved by? (3)
- Holding different asset classes
- Companies in different sectors
- Overseas companies
Correlation
3 types?
- Positive correlation - profits and share values move in same direction
- Negative correlation - profits move in appropriate direction to values
- No correlation - profits and shares have no relationship
Efficient frontier
To plot efficient frontier need to know? (3)
- Return of each investment
- Standard deviation of each assets return
- Correlation between assets return
Efficient frontier
What are the limitations?
- Assumes investment returns follow normal distribution pattern
- Standard deviation correct level of risk?
- Doesn’t factor in e.g. ethical preferences
- Works on historial data
- Doesn’t take into account charges - transaction costs
- Assumes underlying funds are index funds
Non-systemic risk
What is it and what is it independent of?
Investment specific risk - risk that affects a particular company
Independent of economic, social and policitical factors e.g. new competitor
Non-systemic risk
How many securities needed to eliminate most of non-systemic risk?
Need 15-20 randomly selected securities - however the rate of risk diminshes the more securities are added
CAPM
What does it stand for?
Capital Asset Pricing Model
CAPM
Definition?
To consider a riskier asset an investor would want a return that is equal to the risk-free return plus a risk premium for taking on the additional risk of that asset
CAPM
What is normal risk-free return?
Usual return you would get in cash / 91 day treasury bills
CAPM
Measures?
Expressed?
The riskiness of a security by comparing it to the market
Expressed in terms of its beta ß
Beta ß
Definition?
The market has a beta of one, and the beta of an individual security reflects the extent to which the security’s return moves up or down with the market
Beta ß
If security has ß of 1?
Has matched market historically - if market moves by 10%, the security’s price will be expected to also move by 10%
Beta ß
A security with ß more than one?
Exaggerates market movement and is more volatile than the market - by how much depends on the ß - aggressive securities
Beta ß
Security with ß less than one and more than zero?
Usually more stable than the market, move less than the market but in the same direction - defensive securities
CAPM Equation
Equation?
E(Ri) = Rf + ßi (Rm – Rf)
E(Ri) is the expected return on the risky investment;
Rf is the rate of return on a risk-free asset;
Rm is the expected return of the market portfolio;
ßi is the measure of sensitivity of the investment to movements in the overall market;
(Rm – Rf) is the market risk premium, the excess return of the market over the risk-free rate; and ßi (Rm – Rf) is the risk premium of the risky investment
CAPM
Assumptions? (6)
- All investors have an identical holding period
- Many buyers and sellers
- No taxes / short selling restrictions
- All info available
- Liquidity ignored - quantity of risky securities fixed in market
- Investors can borrow at risk free rates and make decisions based on risks and return alone
CAPM
Limitations? (3)
- Finding risk free rate difficult
- Choosing market portfolio can be difficult as ß varies - typically uses FTSE 100
- ß assured to be stable and calculated on historical data
Multi factor models
A further limitation of CAPM?
Only concerned with security’s sensitivity to market therefore single factor model
Multi factor models
What are they?
Attempts to describe security returns as a function of a limited number of factors - adds to risk premium for each sector
E(Ri) = Rf + ßGDP (risk premium GDP) + ßIR (risk premium IR) = minimum return + risk premium
Multi factor models
What is Fama and French model?
Findings? (2)
Add factors for company size and value
- Small cap stocks tend to outperform large cap stocks
- Value stocks tend to outperform growth stocks
Arbitrage pricing theory (APT)
What is it?
A security’s return can be predicted using the relationship between the security and a number of common risk factors - sensitivity to changes in factor is represented by a factor - specific ß
Arbitrage pricing theory
If price diverges?
Abritrage activities should bring it back in line so not possible for a security to yeidl better returns than indicated by its sensitivity to the various factors
Arbitrage pricing theory
What is arbitrage?
Practice of taking advantage of security mis-pricing to make a risk-free profit
Arbitrage pricing theory
How does it differ to CAPM? (2)
- Belief that asset prices determined by more than one type of market risk
- Each investor holds a unique portfolio rather than identical portfolios
Arbitrage pricing theory
Limitations? (3)
- APT is general - doesn’t tell us which factors are relevant
- Number and nature of factors likely to change over time and between economies
- Also need to calculate multiple betas
Multi-factor models
Characteristics of all? (2)
- Investors require extra return for taking risk
- Pre-dominantly concerned with risk that can’t be eliminated by diversification i.e. systemic risk
Arbitrage pricing theory
Factors that influence security returns? (4)
- Unanticipated inflation
- Change in expected level of industrial production
- Change in default risk premium on bonds
- Unanticipated change in return of long term government bonds over treasury bills (shifts in yield curve)
EMH
What is it? (3)
Efficient market hypothesis
- Share prices move based on info such as profits
- Share price you see equals fairest price
- Not possible to outperform market by choosing undervalued shares because market reacts before investors
EMH
Buying and selling shares is more about….?
Chance than skill
EMH
Favours what funds?
Tracker funds
EMH
3 forms?
How do they differ?
Same premise but different level of info available:
- Weak-form efficiency - curernt share price fully reflects all past price and trading info
- Semi-strong efficiency - share prices adjust to all publicly available info, done rapidly and unbiased (all past-trading info, accounts and other economic factors)
- Strong-form efficiency - share price reflects all public and private info, including insider trading
Behavioural finance
What is it?
Aims to explain market anomalies not explained by traditional finance models
Behavioural finance
They believe?
Psychological factors, behavioural biases affect investors therefore investors are irrational - as shown by bubbles and crashes
Differ from MPT and EMH that say investors are rational
Prospect theory/ loss aversion
What is it? (2)
- Investors more distressed by a loss than they are pleased by the same level of gain
- People play safe when protecting gains but often take riskier decisions aimed at loss aversion e.g. reluctance to realise a loss therefore hold onto a losing investment for too long hoping it will make a gain - avoiding feeling of regret
Overconfidence and over and underreaction
What is it? (3)
- Investors overestimate their own skills and predictions - leads to bubbles and underestimate the likelihood of bad outcomes
- More optimistic when market goes up and more pessimistic when markets go down
- Often give too much weight to recent experience which often run contrary to long-run averages
Criticisms of behavioural science
What are they? (3)
- Can’t predict the effect on the market of human behaviour
- No doubt this impacts investors but hard to/ cannot be quantified
- Only look at anomalies which will eventually be priced out of the market
The time value of money
Key concepts? (2)
- Money received now is more valuable than money received in future years
- A rate of interest received monthly is more valuable than the same rate of interest received quarterly/ annually
Time value of money
Key terms and definitions - PV?
Present value (PV) - amount of capital invested today, known as principal
Time value of money
Key terms and definitions - n?
Time period (n) - time period capital is invested - The number of time periods interest is paid denoted by n, e.g. if paid twice a year, n = 2, quarterly, n = 4
Time value of money
Key terms and definitions - r?
Interest rate (r) -quoted as a %, expressed as a decimal, r. e.g. interest rate of 7% is written r = 7 ÷ 100 = 0.07
Time value of money
Key terms and definitions - FV?
Future value (FV) - accumulated value of an amount of money invested for n time periods, at a rate of interest r
Time value of money
FV calculation?
The basic formula for calculating compound interest is:
FV = PV (1 + r)n
Time value of money
EAR formula?
Effective Annual Rate - takes into account the interest rate if compounded more than once a year
(1 + r/n) n - 1
Interest payable at more frequent intervals
Difference between EAR/ APR/ AER?
No difference in formula
EAR used for loans and deposits
APR (annual percentage rate) used for loans
AER (annual equivalent rate) used for deposits
Interest payable at more frequent intervals
What if compounded monthly rather than annually?
n increased by number of times compounded e.g. 12 for monthly in 1-year or 24 for monthly in 2-years
r is decreased by n
PV
How do you calculate - i.e. what amount has to be invested now to receive x in ..yrs?
PV = FV/ (1 + r) n
annual interest = number of times compounded in year
FV
Formula to calculate FV if regular investment?
FV = P ((1 + r)n - 1 / r)
FV
What is a discounted cash flow useful for?
Basic formula?
Calculate PV of an investment’s future cash flow to arrive at a fair value for current price
Calculating PV of FI
PV = FV/ (1 + r) n
where PV is present value of cash flow
Theoretical price of a bond
Calculate?
Annual coupon = 6.5%
PAR in 2 years = £100
IR = 5%
PV = £6.50/(1+ 0.05)1 + £106.50/ (1+ 0.05)2
PV = £6.19 + £96.60
Therefore, the theoretical present value of the bond = £102.79.
Annuity
What is it?
The sum of money needed now to make regular payments and interest over fixed term at fixed interest rate
Annuity
Formula?
A = P (1 - (1 + r) - n / r
Real Returns
Formula?
The real return is approximately the nominal return from an investment minus the inflation rate:
RREAL = RNOM – RINF
where:
RREAL is the real return;
RNOM is the nominal return;
RINF is the inflation rate.
Assessing risk
Inflation particularly bad for? (2)
- Cash deposits
- Fixed interest
Inflation risk
Causes of inflation? (11)
- expanding money supply
- bottlenecks in production cause prices to rise and imports to flood into the economy
- the government and the financial markets respond with rising interest rates
- cuts in public expenditure, as well as tax increases to dampen down demand
- the economy enters recession and prices steady, or perhaps fall, as the supply of goods and services exceeds economic demand.
- Some cycles are further exacerbated by external events such as:
- war or shortages;
- prices of imported goods rising as overseas countries experience inflation and commodity prices also increase
- currency devaluation
- high wage demands, which can be affected by trade union policies
- Investor sentiment
Interest rate risk
Mainly effects?
Fixed interest securities - sensitive to the rises and falls in interest rates. When Interest rates fall, bond holders capital value will rise and when interest rates rise, capital value will fall, as investors can get greater returns elsewhere
Interest rate risk
How can a bond manager lower interest rate risk?
By holding shorter dated stock / cash
Interest rate risk
Factors affecting interest rate moves? (5)
- Economic cycle
- Fiscal policy - issuing gilts will push up long term yields
- Monetary policy - QE reduces short term rates
- Inflation - expectations
- Preference for liquid securities - in uncertain times prefer instant access
Credit risk
Maninly affects what?
Bonds and cash deposits
Credit risk
4 types?
- Default risk
- Downgrade risk - credit rating lowered
- Credit spread risk - gap between yields of gilts and corporate bonds get wider due to lack of confidence in corporate bonds - concern they can’t service their debt
- Counterparty risk - a counterparty will not pay what it is obliged to
Currency risk
What is it?
Investment made overseas / in a foreign company profits impacted by change in exchange rates
Liquidity risk
What is it?
Property and private equity vulnerable and may have to sell assets at a discounted price
Event risk
What is it?
E.G. Natural disasters
Political risk
What is it?
Changes in government / unrest
Operational risk
What is it?
Internal errors in company
e.g. reporting error, fraud, regulatory risk, systems failure
Bail-in risk
What is it?
Where financial assistance comes from existing capital base e.g. the institution’s shareholders, bondholders and depositors
Diversification
Advantages of diversifying a portfolio? (4)
- Reduces the risk of one investment
- Spreads the opportunity for potential return across asset classes
- Minimises risk of the overall portfolio suffering downturn
- Increases possibility of stable returns through all economic cycles
Gearing
What is it?
What does it magnify?
Borrowing money in a client’s portfolio with objective of increasing exposure to other assets
Magnifies positive and negative portfolio returns
Remember - borrowing costs
Collective Invesments
Are popuar because? (6)
- Invest small sums of money, because the investor’s cash can be ‘pooled’ into a much larger fund
- Professional fund managers make the underlying investment decisions
- Investor can achieve a balanced portfolio with spread of investments
- Offer the ability to pursue particular objectives or specialise
- Investor’s risk is reduced by the wide spread of investments in the underlying portfolio
- Lower dealing costs
Collective investment schemes
Total of everyone’s shares must equal?
Must equal NAV - Net Asset value - total value of assets held
Unit trusts and OEICs
Characteristics? (4)
- Investor participate in a large portfolio of shares
- Units or shares, each unit representing a small but equal fraction of a portfolio of perhaps 50 or 100 different shareholdings
- Assets of a unit trust are held for investors by trustees, invested by managers, whereas the assets of an OEIC are held by an independent depositary
- Initial charge, which covers setting up costs and also an annual management fee. If no initial charge, an exit charge may be applied
Unit trust and OEICs
OEIC and UT are protected by?
OEIC: independent depository therefore protected by company law and depository
UT: protected by trust deed and trustees
Both: protected by FCA and FSCS
Unit trusts and OEICs
IA categories broad sectors? (4)
- Capital protected
- Income
- Growth
- Specialist
- Targeting an outcome
Unit trusts and OEICs
To be included in IA sector must have and performance is measured by?
Must have at least 80% or more of its assets invested in the relevant sector
Income fund must achieve a yield of not less than 90% of the relevant index
Performance measurement companies such as Lipper or S&P
Unit trusts
Constituted by?
Signing a trust deed
Unit trusts
Who are trustees? (2)
- Large banks / insurers
- Must be independent of management group
Unit trusts
Trustee roles? (5)
- Must report issues if unhappy with how fund managed
- Audit fund
- Issuing info to unit holders who must be registered
- Arrange meetings of unit holders
- Distribute income
Unit trusts
Register must contain? (3)
Can it be closed?
- Name and address of unit holder
- Number of units held
- Date unit holder registered
Can be closed mo more than 30-days per year
Unit trusts
Main role of the fund manager in return for…?
To manage fund in return for AMC
Unit trusts
Manager’s duties? (5)
- Authorised person
- Adequate financial resources
- Manage assets according to regulations, the trust deed and scheme particulars
- Supply information to the trustee
- Maintain a record of units for inspection by the trustee
- Notify the trustee and/or the FCA if breach in rules
Unit trusts
How is fund taxed?
Do not pay tax on capital gains nor income or gains derived from options or futures
Corporation tax - allowable expenses
Unit trusts
Internal fund taxation - income if equity and if non equity?
- Interest and rental income are subject to corporation tax at a special rate of 20%.
- Dividends are received as franked investment income and flow through to dividend distributions payable by the unit trust with no tax liability.
- Foreign dividends may have had tax deducted at source (withholding tax), which may not be reclaimable.
- Funds that distribute interest rather than dividends can deduct the interest as an expense for corporation tax purposes to ensure there is no double taxation
OEICs
Authorised as?
To comply with regulations must be? (2)
Investment companies with variable capital (ICVCs)
Incorporated and authorised