R02 Flashcards
Define the 4 stages of the business cycle
Expansion/ recovery: GDP is increasing
Boom: economy is growing at its fastest
Contraction: GDP has fallen from previous quarter
Recession: 2 consecutive quarters of declining GDP
If the economy is in recession what impact will this have on Public Sector Net Cash Requirement (PSNCR)?
If the economy is in recession, tax revenue will be weak due to unemployment and the PSNCR will grow.
What is an example of government spending that is capital expenditure?
Building new schools, railway lines, bridges, airports etc.
Any spending on physical assets
By what 2 means does monetary policy attempt to stabilise the economy?
By controlling interest rates and the money supply
What is the government’s inflation target?
2%
Outline the 2 quoted measures of money supply in the UK
M0 (narrow money): refers to physical money and the bank’s operational deposits within the BoE. Growth in M0 signals strong consumer spending
M4 (broad money): refers to physical money but also includes bank accounts of UK residents. Growth in M4 signals increased demand for loans
What is the difference between disinflation and deflation?
Disinflation is a slowing in the rate of inflation, prices are still rising
Deflation is when the inflation rate is negative, and prices decline
What does the Real Exchange Rate (RER) measure?
It measures the price of domestically produced goods, relative to the price of foreign goods.
It is a good indicator of international competitiveness
When a country has a strong currency, what happens to the cost of importing and exporting goods?
Cost of importing goods reduces, but also means exports are more expensive which can weaken a countries competitive position
What is the balance of payments?
The record of a county’s transactions with the rest of the world measured in terms of payments and receipts
Receipts represent sterling flowing into the country and payments represent sterling flowing out of the country
What is included in the balance of payments current account?
HINT: 4 things
Trade in good (visible trade)
Trade in services (invisible trade)
Investment income
Transfer payments
What are the implications of an ageing population?
Causes an increase in the demand for services and a decrease in the money spent on manufactured goods
Working households increase their savings to fund a longer retirement
Name 4 risks associated with cash investments?
Default - Institution collapses but consider FSCS
Inflation - Value of cash deposits eroded by inflation
Currency - Value fluctuates with exchange rates
Interest Rate/ Reinvestment - Fixed or variable
What is the Personal Savings Allowance (PSA)?
This allows an individual to earn a certain amount of interest from their savings tax free. It varies depending on your income tax band as follows:
Basic rate taxpayer - £1,000
Higher rate taxpayer - £500
Additional rate taxpayer - £0
Outline the key features of a restricted access account
Usually offer higher rates than instant access accounts
Higher risk due to money being tied in for a set period
Notice Accounts: require 30/60/90 days notice in order to make a withdrawal without penalty
Term Deposit Account: Usually 1-5 years with a fixed rate of interest with no access prior to maturity
What are the taxable NS&I products?
Guaranteed Income Bond
Guaranteed Growth Bond
Income Bond
Investment Account
Direct Saver Account
How can individuals purchase NS&I products?
They can be bought online, by phone or post directly from National Investments.
What are money market investments?
Wholesale markets where banks, building societies and governments lend and borrow money from each other. They are considered short-term (less than 1 year) debt instruments that are traded in high volumes and provide low risk.
What are the 3 money market instruments and who issues them?
Treasury Bills - Debt Management Office (DMO)
Commercial Bills - Companies
Certificate of Deposits - Banks
How do the 3 money market instruments pay returns?
Treasury Bills
No interest payments but issued at a discount to their maturity value
Commercial Bills
No interest payments but issued at a discount to their maturity value
Certificate of Deposit
The deposit carries a fixed rate and term
What is the purpose of a money market fund?
Minimum investments in money market instruments are high which makes it difficult for an individual to gain access to the market. However, a fund is a collective investment vehicle that pools together investors’ funds to invest in the money market.
What are the 2 classifications of money market funds with respect to time?
Standard Fund – 6 to 12 months
Short-term Fund – 2 to 4 months
Who can issue fixed interest securities and what is their purpose?
Issued by governments in the form of gilts, and companies in the form of corporate bonds.
A means of raising money in order to finance their long-term borrowing requirements.
What are the characteristics of fixed interest securities?
Pay a fixed rate of interest, known as the coupon. This is set at issue and is a percentage interest on the nominal value.
A fixed redemption value, known as the par/nominal value.
A fixed redemption date, known as the maturity date. This is set at issue.
What 3 things must a bond title include?
The issuer, the coupon and the maturity date.
e.g., Amazon 3.5% 29/05/2025
What is the difference between secured and unsecured bonds?
Secured – A charge is placed on certain assets of the issuing company. If bond defaults, the assets can be seized.
Unsecured – Only reimbursed once all secured bonds are settled, along with other creditors.
Bonds can be secured by a fixed charge or a floating charge. What is the difference?
Fixed charge – Bond secured against a specified asset(s) that can be readily identified.
Floating charge – Bonds secured against any assets of the company that are not already secured for other lenders. They are a lower priority for payment than fixed charge bonds.
What are the 2 types of Government issued gilts and their key features?
Conventional Gilts
Issued by DMO
Trade at a discount to par instead of offering an interest payment (zero coupon)
Classified according to their time to redemption
Shorts: 7 years, Mediums: 7-15 years, Longs: 15+ years
Index Linked Gilts
Coupon and capital payment adjusted in line with inflation
Measured by changes in RPI
What is a Floating Rate Note?
A type of bond often issued by banks, that pays a coupon biannually or quarterly linked to a money market rate such as LIBOR.
N.B. Cash products linked to LIBOR will end by Q3 2020 and the transition from LIBOR to SONIA will be completed by the end of 2021.
What is the difference between ‘clean’ and ‘dirty’ prices?
The difference between these prices is the inclusion of accrued interest
Prices quoted in the FT are ‘clean’ prices. This price does not include the value of accrued interest
Interest is accrued daily, so gets added to the price from the last interest payment date to the selling date, known as ‘dirty’ price
Bonds can be bought cum dividend or ex-divined, what is the difference?
Cum dividend: This is where the buyer receives the full 6 months’ interest – even though they didn’t own the stock for the whole period
Ex dividend: This is where the full 6 months’ interest is paid to the seller
The total amount paid by the buyer is called the ‘dirty price’, which is the clean price +/- any adjustments for interest payments
What is the difference between non-systematic risk and systematic risk?
Non-systematic risk is a specific risk that occurs as a result of the issuer, it can be eliminated by diversification
Systematic risk is a market risk (interest and inflation rates) that is unavoidable, it cannot be eliminated by diversification
What are the 2 main credit rating agencies and what is the minimum classification for an investment grade bond?
Standard & Poor’s: BBB-
Moody’s: Baa3
Name 5 factors that can affect bond prices
Interest rates
Inflation rates
Credit worthiness of issuer
Time to redemption
The coupon
How does a change in interest rates affect bond prices?
If interest rates increase, investors will demand a higher yield from their bonds. As bond coupons are fixed the prices of bonds must fall so that the yield increases.
What does the Bank of England use the repo market for?
To influence interest rates.
If an investor holds a 15-year gilt, how many individual securities can this be stripped into?
It can be stripped into 31 securities (30 based on the biannual interest payment and a final redemption payment).
How do you calculate the interest yield?
𝑐𝑜𝑢𝑝𝑜𝑛 𝑜𝑟 𝑛𝑜𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑙 𝑦𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑑
𝑐𝑙𝑒𝑎𝑛 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑋 100
What is the interest yield also known as?
Running Yield, Flat Yield or Income Yield.
What does the redemption yield consider that the interest yield does not?
Like the interest yield, it considers the income of the bond; however, it also factors in any capital gain/loss.
How do you calculate the redemption yield?
𝐼𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑡 𝑦𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑑+/−(𝑔𝑎𝑖𝑛 𝑜𝑟 𝑙𝑜𝑠𝑠 𝑎𝑡 𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑦 ÷𝑦𝑒𝑎𝑟𝑠 𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑙 𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑦
𝐶𝑙𝑒𝑎𝑛 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 ) 𝑥100
What are the risks of holding fixed interest investments?
Inflation - Erodes the purchasing power of interest
Interest rates - Generally bond prices move in the opposite direction
Credit risk - Issuer may not be able to pay interest or capital at maturity
Currency - Movements in exchange rates affect the value of holding
Liquidity - May be difficult to sell at an acceptable price
Under what circumstances would you expect to see an inverted yield curve?
This happens when the yield on longer term bonds is less than shorter term bonds. This occurs when investors expect that the interest will rise in the short-term but fall in the long-term.
How can investors expect to receive income from equities?
Investors expect to receive income in the form of dividends and also hope to achieve capital growth on disposal.
What are the transaction costs involved in purchasing shares?
Stamp Duty Reserve Tax (SDRT) is charged on electronic transactions at 0.5%, rounded to the nearest 1p
Stamp Duty is charged if a stock transfer form is used and the value is over £1,000. Also charged at 0.5% but is rounded to the nearest £5
Panel on Takeovers and Mergers Levy is charged on trades over £10,000 at a rate of £1
No rules governing stockbroker commission
What shares are exempt from SDRT?
Alternative Investment Market (AIM) shares.
How can an individual investor gain access to private equity?
Investments can be made through private equity funds, listed by private equity companies. Other methods of investment include: Enterprise Investment Schemes (EIS), Seed Enterprise Investment Schemes (SEIS) and Venture Capital Trusts (VCTs).
What is the primary and secondary market?
The primary market offers new securities on an exchange, once the initial sale is completed further trading is carried out on the secondary market.
When shares are first issued in the primary market, what must they be admitted to?
Official List, Main Market or Alternative Investment Market (AIM).
What are the benefits of being listed on AIM?
Less formalities
Lower cost
Can be described as ‘quoted’ but not listed
How much is the dividend allowance and what is the subsequent tax treatment?
Investors can earn up to £2,000 of dividend income tax free. After this, the rate paid will depend on the investors income band:
Basic rate taxpayer: 7.5%
Higher rate taxpayer: 32.5%
Additional rate taxpayer: 38.1%
What is a participating preference share?
A share that receives a fixed income as well as a proportion of the ordinary dividend declared.
What are the 4 types of ordinary shares?
Ordinary shares
Non-voting ordinary Shares (A)
Deferred Shares
Redeemable ordinary Shares (B)
Why might stock market indices be of use?
They bring together movements of individual share prices and shows the overall direction of the market.
Can be used to compare the performance of an individual share with its sector or full market.
How do you calculate market capitalisation?
𝑁𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝑖𝑠𝑠𝑢𝑒×𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒
What is included in the FTSE All-Share index?
It brings together the FTSE100, FTSE250 and FTSE Small-Cap
FTSE All-Share currently accounts for 98% market capitalisation
What are the main indices used in America?
Dow Jones Industrial Average
Standard and Poor’s Composite
NASDAQ
How do you calculate earnings per share (EPS)?
𝑃𝑟𝑜𝑓𝑖𝑡 𝑎𝑡𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑏𝑢𝑡𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑡𝑜 𝑜𝑟𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑟𝑦 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒ℎ𝑜𝑙𝑑𝑒𝑟𝑠
𝑁𝑜.𝑜𝑓 𝑜𝑟𝑑𝑖𝑛𝑎𝑟𝑦 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑖𝑠𝑠𝑢𝑒
What does the dividend yield measure and what is the calculation?
Measures the dividend paid as a percentage return on the current share price:
𝐷𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑑𝑒𝑛𝑑 𝑝𝑒𝑟 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒
𝐶𝑢𝑟𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒 𝑋 100
If a company has a dividend cover of less than 1, what does this mean?
The dividend in ‘uncovered’
A company does not have the required profits for dividend payments, but they can draw this from reserves.
When must Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) be paid on a property?
HMRC must receive the tax within 14 days
For first time buyers, how is SDLT calculated?
They do not have to pay SDLT on the first £300,000
£300,000 to £500,000 is charged at 5% and anything over is normal SDLT rates
What considerations should an investor make when choosing a buy-to-let property?
Location
Tenants
Investigate local market
Age and condition of property
Diversification
If a company or collective investment scheme purchases a residential property what is the SDLT treatment?
Over £500,000 SDLT is charged at 15% on whole purchase price
What are the SDLT rates on commercial property?
Up to £150,000 - Zero
The next £100,000 (the portion from £150,001 to £250,000) - 2%
The remaining amount (the portion above £250,000) - 5%
What are the conditions to qualify for rent-a-room relief?
Applies to homeowners who let furnished rooms in their only/main residence, and they must occupy the residence at the same time
It does not apply to self-contained units or unfurnished accommodation
What are the conditions to qualify for rent-a-room relief?
Applies to homeowners who let furnished rooms in their only/main residence, and they must occupy the residence at the same time
It does not apply to self-contained units or unfurnished accommodation
How do you calculate yield on a rental property?
𝑔𝑟𝑜𝑠𝑠 𝑎𝑛𝑛𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑡−𝑒𝑥𝑝𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑒𝑠
𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑡𝑦 𝑚𝑎𝑟𝑘𝑒𝑡 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒+𝑏𝑢𝑦𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑐𝑜𝑠𝑡𝑠 𝑋 100
What is an example of a hard commodity?
Oil, gold, gas
Anything that is a product of mining or another extraction process
How can an individual invest in commodities?
Direct investment is not practical but indirect investment can be achieved by investing in companies that produce commodities, funds that invest in commodities or exchange traded commodities (ETCs)
What type of correlation is needed for maximum diversification?
Negative correlation
What is a financial bubble?
Bubbles occur when investors lose sight of fundamental values (prices are inconsistent with inherent value) and they continue to buy assets expecting the price to increase
The bubble ‘bursts’ when there is a sudden drop in price
How does quantitative easing work?
Bank of England (BoE) creates new money electronically which is used to buy gilts from large financial institutions. Large purchases of gilts push down interest rates, which promotes borrowing and spending.
How can the capacity for technological change be measured in a country?
Can be measured by the proportion of national output devoted to research and development.
How are equities impacted by economic expansion and contraction?
During expansion prices strengthen.
During contraction equites generally fall as interest rates remain higher.
Why is inflation important with regard to fixed interest securities?
With rising inflation capital values of fixed interest securities tend to fall. Purchasing power of fixed interest reduces.
When inflation falls, interest yields fall, and capital values tend to rise.
Why would equities benefit from low interest rates?
Lower interest rates mean cheaper borrowing and higher profits. This generally increases dividends and strengthens share prices.
Modern Portfolio Theory states that you can achieve the best portfolio by the balance of which 2 factors?
It shows investors the best possible return they can expect from their portfolio, given the level of risk they are willing to accept. The higher the level of risk, the higher the level of returns.
What does standard deviation measure?
Measures how much the actual return on an investment varies around its average expected return. The higher this is, the greater the volatility.
What Greek letter is used to denote standard deviation?
Sigma
If the return from an investment is normally distributed, with an average return of 7% per annum and a standard deviation of 2%, what are the probabilities of:
(i) The investment achieving between 5% and 9%
(ii) The investment achieving between 3% and 11%
(i) 68%
(ii) 95%
What type of risk does diversification reduce?
It reduces non-systematic/specific risk.
If two assets have a correlation of 0, what does this mean?
There is no degree of correlation.
Name 2 asset classes that have a negative correlation
Cash and Property. If interest rates are high the returns on cash deposits become attractive, but property investors will be hit by the increased cost of borrow.
Is the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) a single-factor or multi-factor model?
As it only considers beta, it is a single-factor model.
What does it mean if a security has a beta greater than 1?
If the beta is greater than 1, the security is more volatile than the market and is referred to as an aggressive security.
How can you calculate expected return according to CAPM?
𝐸(𝑅𝑖)=𝑅𝑓+𝐵𝐼(𝑅𝑚−𝑅𝑓)
𝐸(𝑅𝑖) = the expected return on risky investment
𝑅𝑓 = The rate of return of risk-free asset
𝐵𝐼 = Beta
𝑅𝑚 = The expected return of market portfolio
What are the assumptions of CAPM?
Investors are rational and risk averse
Investors only make decisions based on risk and return
Investors all have the same holding period
No individual can affect market price
No taxes
No transaction costs
No restrictions
Information is free and available to all
All investors can borrow and lend unlimited amounts at the risk-free rate
What 2 types of stock tend to beat the market, as discovered by Fama and French?
Small cap stocks tend to outperform large cap stocks
Value stocks tend to outperform growth stock
Why does the Efficient Market Hypothesis suggest it is impossible to beat the market?
Share prices always reflect all the relevant information, they always trade at their fair value, making it impossible for investors to buy undervalued shares or sell shares for inflated prices.
What does the ‘weak form’ of the Efficient Market hypothesis state?
That current share prices fully reflect all past price and trading information and future prices cannot be predicted by technical analysis of the data.
What is the underlying assumption of prospect theory/ loss aversion?
Investors do not act rationally in respect to risk tolerance. They may be much more distressed by a prospective loss than they would be made happy by an equivalent gain.
Give 3 examples of behavioral finance?
Prospect Theory/ Loss aversion: People are more distressed by a prospective loss than their gains make them happy
Regret: Holding onto losing stocks than you should because you don’t want to sell at a loss
Overconfidence: People overestimate their own skill and underestimate bad outcomes
What is the basis of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT)?
Based on the idea that a security’s return can be predicted using the relationship between the security and the number of common risk factors. Each factor is represented by a factor specific beta.
What are 3 limitations of CAPM?
It can be hard to find a totally risk-free return
Beta must be stable for CAPM to work
Beta is calculated using historical data which is not stable over time
The calculation for compound interest is:
𝐹𝑉=𝑃𝑉(1+𝑟)𝑛
What does each component of the calculation represent?
PV – Present value: the amount of capital invested today
n – is the number of time periods that the capital is invested for
r – is the amount of interest earned for each time period
FV – Future value: is the accumulated amount of money