quiz 3 lecture vocab Flashcards
Pop Growth: Implications
- inc. demand for: food, water, energy, other nat res.
- host country demog changes:
- migrants are younger & childless or w/ young children
- voluntary migs are better educated, motivated than non immigrants
- uneven distribution of impacts; cocentrated in urban areas
Pop Growth debate: neo-malthusians
- Neo-malthusians:
- pop growth causes misery / env. degredation
- limited carrying capacity
Pop growth debate: economists
- pop growth is source of progress
- stimulates:
- inc. efficiency
- resource substitution
- conservation
- innovation
- ppl live longer and better now than when pop was smaller
- policies & markets are the problem, not pop growth
Pop growth debate: Inequality Argument
- pop growth, env. deg, misery all caused by unequal social structural arrangements
- LDC econ stagnation caused by:
- poverty, inequitable trade policies, ongoing dependencies / neo-colonialism
- large multinational corps are destroying env, not indigenous pop
- hunger caused by poverty & high food prices, not overpop
- 22 most food-def African nations could meet needs w/ just 11% of surplus held by neighbors
- Thailand: rice prod increased 30%, exports increased 9x faster -> per capita rice has dropped
- China has 1/2 India’s cropland per person, but India has more widespread/severe malnutrition
there’s enough food for 2800/cal/day/person, but…
- 30 million americans malnourished
- 1/3rd world grain fed to animals
- smaller % of world is hungry, but that’s of a much larger number, so more actual people are hungry
Benefits of biotechnology
- early maturing crops
- more efficient users of solar energy for prim. prod.
- more resistant to: droughts, pests, salinity, etc
Sustainable Agriculture examples
- Agro-ecology / low-input farming
- more labor-intensive traditional practicies
- use ecological principles of diversity, interdependence, & synergy to improve productivity
- multiple cropping, rotation, inter-cropping, mixed farming (plants + animals)
Population is Stabilizing (rate of growth falling) due to…
- socio-economic development -> falling birth rates
- family planning programs
- global diffusion of feminism & women’s rights
- increasing death rates due to misery, malnutrition, HIV/AIDS, other diseases, disasters, etc
Energy Dependence
- energy mediates human-environment interactions & sustainability
- we are always producing and consuming energy
- inc. living standards = inc. consumption
OPEC
- Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries
- created in 1960 at Baghdad Conference
- Iraq, Iran, Kuwait, S. Arabia, Venezuela
- 70s: took control of oil production: 63% of global supplies
- 73: Arab-Israeli war -> Oil Embargo
- World economic decline / human misery
- triggered MDC changes:
- IEA
- conservation / efficiency / energy alts
- such that Iran War (79) did not have same impact
IEA
- International Energy Agency, Paris-based, autonomous, intergovernmental org.
- created in 1974 in response to 1973 oil crisis
When energy prices spike (cyclical), political reaction will be to… (4)
- boost production (Bush Sr & Jr), opposed by env’s
- change behavior w/ BTU tax (Clinton), opposed by consumers
- increase efficiency (Clinton, Obama)
- fund alternatives (Obama)
… depending on their political stance
2 reasons US has military bases in foreign countries…
- protect economic interests
- protect geopolitical interests
Predicament
Chronic problem leading to a crisis, if left unattended
inter-crisis predicaments:
- gas hogs still predominant
- cheap gas
- efficiency, conservation, & alternative efforts are less predom.
Crisis
rapidly deteriorating situation leading to disaster, if left unattended
- ‘73, ‘79, mid 90s, 2000s, recently
energy problems: source
- source probs: oil supplies will run out… how soon depends on efficiency, conservation, alts; finding new sources; world economic growth
- supply-side policies: subsidies, cheap gas
- externalized cost / lack of demand-side policy
- gas hogs still ~50% sales
- ~30bill/yr military protection
- env./social costs of energy prod/consumption
energy problems: pop growth, econ dev., distribution probs
- MDCs are 20% of global pop, use 75% world energy
- 1 US = 3 in Japan = 6 in Mexico = 531 ethiopeans
energy problems: policy & geopolitical
- supply-side policies: subsidies, cheap gas
- externalized cost / lack of demand-side policy
- gas hogs still ~50% sales
- ~30bill/yr military protection
- env/social costs of energy prod/consumption
energy problems: sink
- might be more pressing than source probs
- greenhouse gas emissions
- oil spills, other pollutants
- Coal Production:
- 80% of NOx & SO2 gases
- forest damage from acid rain
- 65,000-200,000 die/yr
- mercury, a carcinogen
- more radioactive particles per unit energy than nuclear
- If costs could be internalized it’d drive efficiency, conservation, alternatives
present system: oil
- relatively cheap
- easy to transport
- high yield of net useful energy
- multiple uses / versatile
- greenhouse & other gas emissions
present system: coal
- very abundant
- high yield of net useful energy
- cheapest source of inustrial heating/electricity
- highly polluting
present system: natural gas
- more efficient than coal
- versatile: industry / transportation / power
- fewer pollutant than any other fossil fuel
- highly concentrated in just a few areas
- methane emission leakage & incomplete combustion has warming effect 25x > CO2
present system: nuclear
- zero CO2 or other greenhouse gasses
- highly controversial: long-lived low-level radiation & storage concerns
- risks of: exposure, meltdown, accidents,
- Three Mile Island, PA (TMI)
- radioactive gas escaped, lawsuits cost 2x cost of plant
- chernobyl meltdown: more radiation than Hiroshima/Nagasaki combined -> fallout in much of Europe, some Alaska
- Three Mile Island, PA (TMI)
- planning, construction, regulation is unfavorable
- slow growth… likely a failing techno-option
controversy is…
a good thing, as it forces action, conversation, etc
present system: renewables
- really the oldest “tech”
- could provide 50% of orld energy needs in next 50 yrs, or less than 50 yrs if we increase efficiency
- science/principles well established, but large scale commercial availability is “impractical & unaffordable”
- which is a CULTURAL argument not based in reality
present system: biomass
- traditional fuels: wood, charcoal, dung, plant residue
- low net yield, dirty -> black carbon, CO2, CO
- major cause of deforestation, erosion, desertification, degredation, biodiversity loss in LDCs
- used to produce biofuels
- biogas anaerobic digesters make methane from biomass
- 6million in China, 750k in India
- residue -> fertilizer
- seasonal variability
- ethanol from corn and others
- biogas anaerobic digesters make methane from biomass
present system: hydropower
- salmon / dam / climate change dilemma
- 0 emissions, long lifespan
- can be useful for irrigation
- highly dependent on topography / seasonal hydrological variability
- displaces ppl/wildlife, destroys habitat, descreases siltation
- just 13% of world potential used, but most of the remainder in China, India, S. America
present system: wind
- N. Dakota is “saudi arabia of wind”, more power potential than local demand, 90% of US wind potential
- “wind parks” on 10% of earth’s land could produce 2x projected 2020 demand
- req’s no water for cooling, produce no CO2 or other air pollution
- kills birds, but more die in alternative venues
- land can be re-used for grazing, crops
- 3x cheaper than nuclear
- cheapest if subsidized at same rate as coal, oil, gas
- UK, Denmark, Netherlands, Spain, produce 2x US amount
present system: solar
- could supply world needs fro Equatorial regions
- variably available, needs storage / backup
- US: active/passive solar investments lower than 70s
- Jordan, Israel, Australia, new housing in Arizona/Florida: domestic hot water from solar
- scale: portable up to megawatt plants
- production/infrastructure is costly
- land can’t be used for anything else
- Growing rapidly because
- cheapest way to supply 2 billion villages in LDCs
- generator price keeps dropping
- Fukushima -> domestic/industrial PVE subsidies
- EU nations switching FF subsidies to wind/PVE
- corporations: PR
passive solar heating
captures sunlight directly via structures, stores & releases as low temp heat
active solar heating
specially designed collectors, usually on roofs, concentrate solar energy, heating a medium, which is then distributed elsewhere (shower, floorboards, etc)
PVE
- photovoltaic energy
- no pollution, no moving parts, no water
- made of silicon, 2nd most abundant mineral
present system: hydrogen fuel
- energy from H2 gas via electrolysis
- abundant, but takes more energy to make than you get out of it
- 2.5x more energy by weight than gasoline
- no greenhouse gasses, just water
- stored in tanks, or safely as hydrides; transported by pipeline
- versatile: industry / transportation / heating
present system: efficiency
- cheapest, easiest, fastest way to solve current energy predicament
- ‘75-2000, US economy grew by 50% but energy intensity dropped by 40% via improved tech, policies, marketing
- BUT: success bred complacency
- oil prices fell, consumers saw less need for eff.
- Reagan taunted it as 70s relic, froze CAFE standards
- GM said could hit 33mpg by 85… rolled back to 26
- Bush Jr. said “you don’t need to conserve; we’ll go get the oil for you”
- energy plan of 2001 put off raising CAFE
- McCain/Kerry amendment for 36mg did not pass
- 2004 fleet avg was lowest since 1980
CAFE
corporate average fuel economy
efficiency 2
- power sector could cut rates by 40% & CO2 emissions by 50% w/ upgrades
- 2.7mpg gain would displace Persian Gulf imports
- companies that pursued efficiency make more money
- things to do:
- efficient lighting: save 120 power plants
- efficient electric motors: 150 power plants
- eliminate waste (lighting empty places)
- better architecture -> passive solar
- efficient appliances
barriers to energy efficiency
- renewables get lower tax breaks / subsidies
- issue-attention cycle
- fragmented energy policies, split by fuel type; net effects: supply-side policies, less favor for alts
- need for global articulation of energy policies