quiz 2 Flashcards
1st Limitation of traditional CPI
substitution effect
ppl replace more expensive items w cheaper items
- problem bcuz traditional CPI tends to assume that consumers will buy the same goods despite ↑ $
- overstate
2nd Limitation of traditional CPI
does not account for quality changes
- bad quality = ↓ demand
3rd Limitation of traditional CPI
w time, new G/S become available and consumer demand changes
Chained CPI
BLD adjusts “baskets” every month
1st problem with inflation
shoe leather costs
reference to wasted resources due to inflation
- ppl change behaviors = ↑ waste
2nd problem with inflation
menu cost
refer to various cost paid by business as they adjust to inflation
- ex: restaurant change menu price mean they have to put out costs to print new menu
3rd problem with inflation
tax distortion
inflation can force ppl to pay more tex
- more tax = ↑ tax rate
capital gain tax
“capital gain” occurs when asset is purchased at one price & sold at higher price
- gov will tax for the amount you benefit from it
ex: brought for 500
sold for 700
will be taxed for the 200
4th problem with inflation
money illusion
think they are receiving a good raise
ex: raise of 5%
inflation = 3%
real raise = 2% - not good
5th problem with inflation
price confusion
higher price in the economy scarcity, or inflation
ex: gas $ ↑
6th problem with inflation
wealth redistribution
w inflation, wealth is redistributed from lenders to borrowers
7th problem with inflation
price level uncertainty - future
make planning more difficult
unemployment rate equation
of unemployed / # of ppl in labor force
characteristics of the working age population
- 16+ yrs of age
- not institutionalized (prison, mental hospital, retirement homes, military
- broken into 2 groups
1. labor force
2. not labor force
labor force
you are in labor force if you plan to RETURN to work in the next month or actively looking for work
not/ in labor force = employed or unemployed
not in labor force
if you haven’t looked for work or expecting to return
not in labor force = not considered unemployed
how does BLS obtain data for employed,unemployed
does monthly survey to find out who is in which group
What questions are in BLS survey
- r u currently employed?
yes = in LB + employed
no = move to 2nd questions - are you expecting to return to work in the next month
yes = LB + unemployed
no = move to 3rd questions - have u looked for work in the last 4 weeks
yes = LB + unemployed
no = NOT in LB |NOT unemployed | is a discourage worker
discourage worker
someone who gave up looking for jobs
1st problem w unemployment (UE) statistic survey
land line phone
- ppl dont use land line anymore
- surveys the same land line household = Bias
2nd problem w UE statistic survey
day/time issue
- BLS does survey Mon-Fri, 8am-6pm
- ppl work around these time, so ppl who are more likely to pick up the phone would be UE ppl, ↑ UE rate
3rd problem w UE statistic survey
misunderstanding
- ppl misinterpret the questions
4th problem w UE statistic survey
language
- survey is only done in english, excludes ppl
5th problem w UE statistic survey
“discourage workers” category is too board
- qt. 3 “NO” = discourage worker
but some are retired
6th problem w UE statistic survey
slow person bias
- ppl who have more time = more likely to participate
reason why UE survey aren’t fixed
- data compatibility
- expensive
- no perfect survey
when was the last time the survey was changed?
-1992 (+30yrs)
- OLD vers. “r u currently WOKRING?”
- caused UE rate ↓ 0.3%
- NEW vers. “r u currently EMPLOYED?”
U-3 UE
U-3 report UE who are actively looking for a job
- always positive
- continuously fluctuate
- UE always ↑ during recession
- UE always ↑ immediately after recession
- avg N5%
U-6 UE
report discourage workers, underemployed unemployment, .. all ppl not working
- rate is always higher than U-3 cuz its more board
underemployed
person is working below capacity (skills) or desire (part time vs full time)
calculate U-6 UE
- start w U-3 rate
- add underemployed and marginally attach workers (not working, not looked for job in 4 wks, but have in last 12 months)
short term
< 15 weeks
long term
> 15 weeks
1st type of UE
frictional
short term UE occurs when ppl r transitioning between jobs
- most common + normal
- signal well functioning eco
2nd type of UE
structural
skills demanded by employers are different from the skills you have
- require re-training
- last longest-time (longterm)
- most serious
3rd type of UE
cyclical
occurs during downturns (recession) in the economy
1st influences on UE
status of economy
- good eco = UE ↓
- bad eco = UE ↑
2nd influences on UE
information availability
- ↑ info = ↓ UE
3rd influences on UE
government policies
- rules on hiring//firing employees
- ex: rule on discriminations
ppl avoid hiring POC or race bcuz firing might violates law –> less hiring = increase UE
4th influences on UE
labor force participation rate (LFPR)
measure % of working age
LFPR = # of ppl in LB / # working age population
high LFPR = lots of ppl trying to find job n are in LB
low LFPR = ppl giving up
5th influences on UE
trends
1. last 50 yrs, ↑ LFPR when women join workforce
2. ↓ LFPR for men, more are going to get educations
3. last 20 yrs, ↓ overall LFPR -> baby boomers retiring