Quick Points (Macro) Flashcards
Fiscal Policy (Expansionary) - 4
- Boost growth
- Reduce unemployment
- increase demand-pull inflation
- Redistributes income
Fiscal Policy (Contractionary) - 4
- Reduce inflation
- Reduce budget deficit
- Reduce CA deficit
- Redistribute income
Policies to reduce demand-pull inflation - 2
1. Contractionary Monetary Policy:
- Via increase in interest rates
- More suited as the transmission mechanism helps reduce inflation
2. Contractionary Fiscal Policy
- Via cutting gov spending or increasing taxation
- unlikely to be used since it is the central banks job to target inflation
Evaluation of reducing demand-pull inflation - 4
- Conflict of macro objects (trade-offs (costs, economic growth falls, unemployment rises))
- Impact on investment (interest rates rise, investment falls, cost of borrowing increases)
- Impact on indebted (households & businesses in debt due to rise in interest rates)
- Stronger exchange rates (widens CA deficit, hot money inflows)
Policies to reduce cost-push inflation - 3
- Implement/reduce inflation target (fall in wages in economy, limits wage inflation)
- Reduce VAT/Subsidies to a firm (significant cost to gov & decreases gov finances unlikely)
- Intervene in FOREX mkt to strengthen exchange rate (stronger exchange rate = cheaper imports = lower costs of production unlikely)
What would you use expansionary monetary policy for? - 3
- increase inflation (central bank mandate if inflation is lower than target)
- increase growth (from increase in AD)
- reduce unemployment (from increase in AD)
What would you use contractionary monetary policy for? - 4
- reduce inflation (central bank mandate if inflation is higher than target)
- prevent asset/credit bubbles
- reduce excess debt & promote savings (balance economic growth)
- reduce CA deficit
Pros of contractionary monetary policy (via a rise in interest rates) - 6
- fall in inflation (demand-pull)
- discourages household/corporate debt
- more sustainable borrowing/lending
- encourage savings
- rise in affordable housing
- reduces CA deficit
cons of contractionary monetary policy (via a rise in interest rates) - 5
- lower growth
- increased unemployment
- impact on the indebted
- fall in investment
- worsening CA deficit via exchange rate strengthening
Cons of expansionary monetary policy (via a fall in interest rates) - 5
- demand-pull inflation
- widens CA deficit
- liquidity trap
- negative impact on savers
- time lags
Summary of QE
Central bank creates money to buy bonds from financial institutions which reduces interest rates leading to businesses & people borrowing more so they spend more and create jobs to boost the economy
Complete QE Process - 7
- Central bank creates money electronically
- That money is used to buy financial assets (gov bonds) from financial institutions (banks, building societies, hedge funds etc) which disincentivises people to buy gov bonds
- Prices rise for gov bonds & yield (interest rates) fall [interest rates on bonds represents return for investore but cost of borrowing for issuer (lowers incentive to hold gov bonds)]
- Financial institutions either loan money out (good - intention of QE) or invest in riskier corporate bonds/shares (more likely - corporate firms are more likely to default = riskier)
- Price rises for gov bonds & yield (interest rates) fall (demand for bonds increase) [for banks issuing corporate bonds, if yield is low, accessing finance is cheaper = rise in finance @ lower cost]
- Access to credit improves, general interest rates fall (cheaper to raise finance), willingness to lend (individuals & firms) increases at a lower interest rate = market rate falls to match base rates
- stimulates borrowing, spending & investment = rise in AD & growth, fall in unemployment, recovery
Disequilibrium Unemployment - 2
-
Cyclical (demand-deficient)
- unemployment that occurs in a recession (lack of AD in economy) -
Real Wage Unemployment (classical)
- wages are forced above equilibrium in a labour market (excess supply of labour)
Equilbrium Unemployment (NRU) - 3
-
Structural
- Immobility of labour due to long term changes in structure of an economy
- Occuapational & Geographical -
Frictional
- Workers are inbetween jobs, looking for a new/better job -
Seasonal
- Temporary fall in demand for workers (due to seasonal change)
Causes of growth (actual) SR - 5
A rise in AD - using spare capacity to increase real GDP
1. fall in interest rates (C,I, X-M)
2. fall in income/corporation tax (C,I)
3. rise in business/consumer confidence (C,I)
4. rise in gov spending (G)
5. weaker exchange rate (X-M)