Quantitative Sales Forecasting Flashcards
Define Sales Forecasting
Sales forecasting is the basis formed for most other parts of business planning.
Define Extrapolation
Extrapolation is the use of historical trends in order to predict future values.
Benefits of Extrapolation
1) Simple method
2) Not much data required
3) Quick and Cheap
Drawbacks of Extrapolation
1) Assumes past trends continue
2) Unreliable- fluctuations may occur
3) Ignores qualitative factors
Define Moving Average
A moving average takes the data series in order to smooth out fluctuations of data to show an average.
What factors do you have to take into consideration when drawing a moving average?
1) Product Life Cycle
2) Pace of technological innovation
3) Growth of the global economy
4) Rise of middle classes in emerging economies.
Define Correlation
Correlation looks at the strength of a relationship between two values.
Define Independent Variable
Independent variable is the factor that causes the dependent variable to change.
Define Dependent Variable
Dependent variable is the variable that is influenced by the independent variable.
What 3 factors affect sales forecast?
1) consumer trends
2) economic variables
3) competition action