Quantitative Methods Flashcards

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1
Q

Describe a nonparametric test and when its use may be appropriate.

A

Nonparametric tests either do not consider a particular population parameter or have few assumptions about the population that is sampled. They are used when there is concern about quantities other than the parameters of a distribution or when the assumptions of parametric tests can’t be supported. Also when the data are not suitable for parametric tests.

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2
Q

Describe a Parametric test.

A

Parametric tests rely on assumptions regarding the distribution of the population and are specific to population parameters.

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3
Q

Identify the appropriate test statistic and interpret the results for a hypothesis test concerning the equality of the variances of two normally distributed populations based on two independent random samples.

A

The F-Test is calculated = (Variance of the sample of n observations drawn from population 1)/(variance of the sample of n2 observations drawn from population 2.

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4
Q

Identify the appropriate test statistic and interpret the results for a hypothesis test concerning the variance of a normally distributed population.

A

The chi squared test (X^2). The chi-square distribution is asymmetrical and approaches the normal distribution as the degrees of freedom increase. The chi-square values correspond to the probabilities in the right-tail of the distribution (all positive).

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5
Q

Identify the appropriate test statistic and interpret the results for a hypothesis test concerning the mean difference of two normally distributed populations.

A

T-statistics are involved and depend on the degrees of freedom. Note that when the samples are independent, you can use the difference in means test, and when they are dependent, the statistic is the average difference in (paired) observations divided by the standard error of the differences between observations.

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6
Q

Identify the appropriate test statistic and interpret the results for a hypothesis test concerning the equality of the population means of two at least approximately normally distributed populations, based on independent random samples with 1) equal or 2) unequal assumed variances.

A

The t-test is appropriate for both, though calculated differently. The variance of the pooled sample is used in the numerator when the sample variances are assumed to be equal. The sample variance for both populations are used when the population variance are unknown and assumed to be unequal. Interpreted as whether or not the sample means are very close together or not.

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7
Q

What are the 3 commonly used critical Z-values?

A

90% Confidence Interval = 1.65S 95% Confidence Interval = 1.96S 99% Confidence Interval = 2.58S

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8
Q

When is the Z-test appropriate?

A

It is appropriate when the population is normally distributed with a known population variance.

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9
Q

When is the t-test appropriate?

A

T-test is appropriate when the population variance is not known and either 1) the sample size is large (n>30) or 2) the sample size is small (n<30), but the distribution of the population is normal or approximately normal.

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10
Q

Chebyshev’s Inequality

A

1 - (1/k^2) K = number of std deviations This equation gives you the approximate percent of observations within a given number of standard deviations from the mean.

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11
Q

Calculate the odds of an event occurring.

A

P / (1 - P) P = the probability of an event occurring.

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12
Q

Explain and interpret the p-value as it relates to hypothesis testing.

A

It is the probability of obtaining a test statistic that would lead to a rejection of the null hypothesis, assuming the null hypothesis is true. It is the smallest level of significance for which the null hypothesis can be rejected.

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13
Q

Distinguish between a statistical result and an economically meaningful result.

A

There are factors outside of a statistical model that may make a statistically good strategy an economically unsound strategy. Some of these factors may include: - Transaction costs - Taxes - Closing out of short positions earlier than expected.

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14
Q

Explain the relation between confidence intervals and hypothesis testing.

A

Confidence Interval = [Sample Statistic - (Critical Value)(Std Error)] < Population Parameter < [Sample Statistic + (Critical Value)(Std Error)] - The Critical Value. i.e. a 95% confidence interval uses a critical value associated with a given distribution at the 5% level of significance, similar to a hypothesis test @ 5% level of significance.

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15
Q

Explain the power of a test.

A
  • The probability of correctly rejecting the null when it is false. Calculated: 1 - P(Type 2 Error) - Used to determine which test statistic to use when multiple are available.
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16
Q

Explain a decision rule.

A

The specific and quantitative distribution of the test statistic used to either support or reject the null hypothesis. Made up of: - one OR two tailed test - significance level required - distribution of the test statistic - critical value for the test statistic “if the test statistic is (greater/less than) the value X, reject the null.”

17
Q

Explain a significance level.

A

The probability of making a type 1 error. Designated by the greek letter Alpha.

18
Q

Explain Type 1 and Type 2 Errors.

A

Type 1 Error - the rejection of the null hypothesis when it is actually true. Type 2 Error - the failure to reject the null hypothesis when it is actually false.

19
Q

Explain a test statistic.

A

Test statistic - the difference between the sample statistic and the hypothesized value scaled by the standard error of the sample statistic. Test Statistic = (Sample Statistic - Hypothesized Value)/(Standard Error f the Sample Statistic)

20
Q

Explain the components of the nominal risk free rate.

A

Nominal Risk Free Rate = real risk free rate + inflation premium (expected inflation rate)

21
Q

Calculate and interpret the effective annual rate, given the stated annual interest rate and frequency of compounding.

A

EAR = (1 + (stated annual rate)/(M))^M M = number of compounding periods in a year.

22
Q

Calculate the FV of a single cash flow.

A

FV = PV(1+I/Y)^N

23
Q

Interpret NPV.

A

NPV is the PV of the cash flows less the initial (time = 0) outlay.

24
Q

Interpret IRR.

A

The rate of return that equates the PV of an investment’s expected benefits (inflows) with the PV of its costs (outflows).

25
Q

Define the NPV decision rule.

A
  • Accept projects with a positive NPV. - Reject projects with a negative NPV. - When two projects are mutually exclusive (only one can be accepted), the project with the higher positive NPV should be accepted.
26
Q

Define the IRR decision rule.

A
  • Accept projects with an IRR that is greater than the firm’s required rate of return. - Reject projects with an IRR that is less than the firm’s required rate of return.
27
Q

Contrast the NPV and IRR decision rules.

A

Always select the project with the highest NPV when the NPV + IRR decision rules give conflicting decisions.

28
Q

Calculate and interpret a holding period return (total return).

A

HPR = (ending value + cash flow received) / beginning value. the percentage change in the value of an investment over the period it is held.

29
Q

Sharpe Ratio

A

Portfolio specific return per unit of risk. (Mean portfolio return - risk free rate) / (std dev of portfolio) Where higher is better.

30
Q

Excess Kurtosis

A
31
Q

Coefficient of Variation

A
  • How much risk per unit of return.

= (Std Deviation of Returns) / (Mean Annual Return)

Where lower is better.

32
Q

Sample Skewness

A
33
Q

Semideviation

A

The std dev of all observations below the mean.

sqrt(semivariance)

34
Q

Semivariance

A

The average squared deviation below the mean.

35
Q

Portfolio Variance

A