Quantifying risk Flashcards

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1
Q

What calculate to Quantify risk case control

A

Odds ratio

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2
Q

What calculate to quantify risk of cohort study

A

Relative risk

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3
Q

Odds ratio

A

Vertical: OR= ad/bc

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4
Q

Relative risk

A

Horizontal: RR= a/(a+b)/ c/(c+d)
Or
Incidence of exposed/ incidence of unexposed

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5
Q

Attributable risk

A

AR= Exposed risk - unexposed risk

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6
Q

If prevalence is low, then …

A

OR = RR

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7
Q

Absolute risk reduction

A

Difference in risk with intervention compared to control

ARR= Cumulative incidence placebo - cumulative incidence treatment

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8
Q

Numbers needed to treat

A

1/ ARR

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9
Q

Numbers needed to harm

A

1/AR

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10
Q

Cohort study

A

Start with exposure look for diff outcome

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11
Q

Case control study

A

Start with outcome and look at diff exposure

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12
Q

Case control bias

A

Recall bias

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13
Q

Cross sectional study

A

Assess exposures and outcome same time

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14
Q

Cross sectional study measures

A

Disease prevalence
Show risk factor association with disease
Does NOT establish causality

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15
Q

Phase 1

A

Is safe?

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16
Q

Phase 2

A

Does it work?

Treatment efficacy, optimal dosing, and adverse effects

17
Q

Phase 3

A

Is it good or better?

Compare treatment to current standard of care

18
Q

Phase 4

A

Detect rare or long term adverse effects

19
Q

Sensitivity

A

TP/(TP+FN) or 1-false negative rate
SN-N-OUT= When Negative rule OUT disease
True positive rate
Probability when test positive, disease is present

20
Q

When use high sensitivity test and what mean?

A

Screening disease with low prevalence, high sensitivity indicate low false negative rate

21
Q

Specificity

A

TN/ (TN+FP) or 1-false positive rate
SP-P-IN = when Positive rule IN disease
True negative rate
Probability when test negative , disease is absent

22
Q

When use high specificity test and what highly specific test mean?

A

Confirmation after positive screening test

Highly specific indicate low false positive rate

23
Q

If increase sensitivity, then what happen to negative predictive value

A

Increase

24
Q

Decrease specificity does what to positive predictive value?

A

Decrease

25
Q

Raising cutoff point does what?

A

Increase specificity and PPV

Decrease sensitivity and NPV

26
Q

Decreasing cutoff point does what?

A

Increase sensitivity and NPV

Decrease specificity and PPV

27
Q

Incidence rate eqn

A

new cases/ # ppl at risk

28
Q

Prevalence eqn

A

existing cases/ total # ppl in pop

29
Q

Precision

A

consistency and reproducibility (reliability)

30
Q

Increased precision does what?

A

Decrease st dev

Increase statistical power

31
Q

Random error does what?

A

Decrease precision

32
Q

Accuracy

A

Validity of measure

33
Q

Systematic error does what?

A

Decrease accuracy