QTA 5 - SAMPLE MOMENTS Flashcards
What is the formula for estimating the mean?
πΜ = (1/n) β Xπ for i=1 to n
The mean estimator is based on independent and identically distributed random variables
What is the difference between an estimator and an estimate?
An estimator is a function that calculates an estimate based on data, while an estimate is the value produced by applying the estimator to data
What does the bias of an estimator measure?
The bias measures the difference between the expected value of the estimator and the true population value
What does it mean that the mean estimator is BLUE?
BLUE stands for Best Linear Unbiased Estimator, indicating it has the lowest variance among linear unbiased estimators
Define consistency of an estimator.
An estimator is consistent if it converges in probability to the true value as the sample size increases
How do the Law of Large Numbers (LLN) and Central Limit Theorem (CLT) apply to the sample mean?
LLN states that the sample mean converges to the population mean as sample size increases, while CLT states that the distribution of the sample mean approaches a normal distribution as sample size increases
What are skewness and kurtosis used to estimate?
Skewness measures the asymmetry of a distribution, while kurtosis measures the tail heaviness of the distribution
What is the formula for estimating the variance?
π^2 = (1/n) β (Xπ - πΜ)Β² for i=1 to n
The sample variance is a biased estimator
What is the bias of the sample variance?
The bias is E[π^2] - πΒ² = -πΒ²/n
The sample variance tends to underestimate the population variance
What is the relationship between standard deviation and standard error?
Standard deviation measures uncertainty in a data set, while standard error measures uncertainty of an estimator and decreases with increasing sample size
How are annualized means and standard deviations calculated?
Annualized mean = monthly mean Γ 12, weekly mean Γ 52, daily mean Γ number of trading days per year
Standard deviations are scaled using the square root of the same factors
What is the significance of log returns in finance?
Log returns allow for the summation of consecutive returns and are convenient for analysis
What is the impact of sampling frequency on skewness?
Skewness does not follow a simple scaling law across sampling frequencies and may change direction at different frequencies
What defines excess kurtosis in financial data?
Excess kurtosis indicates that the data has heavier tails than a normal distribution, typically seen in financial returns
What are histograms used for?
Histograms represent the frequency distribution of a data series by dividing the data range into bins and counting occurrences
How does a kernel density plot differ from a histogram?
A kernel density plot uses a weighted count of observations to provide a smooth estimate of the distribution, unlike the discrete bins of a histogram
What is a linear estimator of the mean expressed as?
πΜ = β π€πXπ for i=1 to n, where π€π are weights that do not depend on Xπ
What does BLUE stand for in statistical estimation?
Best Linear Unbiased Estimator
What property does a BLUE mean estimator have?
It has the lowest variance among all linear unbiased estimators.
In the sample mean estimator, what are the weights (π€π)?
π€π = 1/n
What does the Law of Large Numbers (LLN) establish?
It establishes the large sample behavior of the mean estimator.
What is the Kolmogorov Strong Law of Large Numbers?
It states that the average of πππ random variables converges almost surely to the expected value.
What is the significance of consistency in estimators?
An estimator is consistent if its finite sample bias diminishes as sample size increases.
What happens to the variance of a consistent estimator as sample size increases?
The variance converges to zero.