Qs Flashcards
How can we calculate Cost of Equity WITHOUT using CAPM?
There is an alternate formula:
• Cost of Equity = (Dividends per Share / Share Price) + Growth Rate of Dividends
• This is less common than the “standard” formula but sometimes you use it when the company is guaranteed to issue Dividends (e.g. Utilities companies) and/or information on Beta is unreliable.
Why are Capitalized Financing Fees an Asset?
There are a couple ways to think about this:
• It’s just like Prepaid Expenses items on the Assets side: paid for in cash up-front and then recognized as an expense over many years. Since the company has already paid for it in cash‚ its not going to cost them anything more in future periods.
• An Asset represents potential future income or potential future savings; Capitalized Financing Fees have already been paid in cash‚ so when the expense is recognized on the Income Statement over several years it reduces the company’s taxes (similar to Prepaid Expenses).
Can Beta ever be negative? What would that mean?
- Theoretically, yes, Beta could be negative for certain assets. If Beta is -1, for example, that would mean that the asset moves in the opposite direction from the market as a whole. If the market goes up by 10%, this asset would go down by 10%.
- In practice, you rarely, if ever, see negative Betas with real companies. Even something labeled as “counter-cyclical” still follows the market as a whole; a “counter-cyclical” company might have a Beta of 0.5 or 0.7, but not -1.
Let’s say a company has 100 shares outstanding‚ at a share price of $10 each. It also has 10 options outstanding at an exercise price of $15 each - what is its Diluted Equity Value?
$1000. In this case‚ the options’ exercise price is above the current share price (options are not in-the-money)‚ so they have no dilutive effect.
What about a buyout of a company where you only acquire a 30% stake?
- This scenario is not a true LBO b/c a PE firm cannot “make” a company take on Debt unless it actually controls the company.
- So in this case‚ you would model it as a simple equity investment for 30% of the company‚ assume that the company operates for several years‚ and then assume that the PE firm sells its 30% stake at the end of that period.
- You would base the company’s “ending” value on an EBITDA (or other) multiple‚ and usually you assume that it’s less than or equal to the initial multiple in the beginning to be conservative.
Are revenue or expense synergies more important?
- Revenue synergies are rarely taken seriously b/c they’re so hard to predict.
- Expense synergies are taken a bit more seriously b/c it’s more straightforward to see how buildings and locations might be consolidated and how many redundant employees might be eliminated.
How can you tell whether or not a Goodwill Impairment will be tax-deductible?
- There’s no way to know for sure unless the company states it‚ but generally Impairment on Goodwill from acquisitions is NOT deductible for tax purposes.
- If it were‚ companies would have a massive incentive to start writing down the values of their acquisitions and saving on taxes from non-cash charges‚ which the government wouldn’t like too much.
- Goodwill arising from other sources may be tax-deductible‚ but it’s rare to see significant Impairment charges unless they’re from acquisitions.
What are the 3 main criteria to pick comparable public companies?
- Geography
- Industry
- Financial (Revenue or EBITDA above‚ below‚ or between certain numbers)
Let’s walk through a real-life example of debt modeling now. Let’s say that we have $100M of debt w/ 5% cash interest‚ 5% PIK interest and amortization of 10% per year. How do you reflect this on the financial statements?
To simplify this scenario‚ we’ll assume that interest is based on the beg. debt balance rather than the average balance over the course of the year.
• Income Statement: There’s $5M of cash interest and $5M of PIK interest‚ for a total of $10M in interest expense‚ which reduces Pre-Tax Income by $10M and Net Income by $6M assuming a 40% tax rate.
• Cash Flow Statement: Net Income is $6M lower‚ but you add back the $5M in PIK interest b/c it was a non-cash charge. CFO is down by $1M‚ Since there’s 10% amortization per year‚ you repay $10M of debt each year (and presumably the entire remaining amount at the end of the period) in the CFF section - so cash at the bottom is down by $11M.
• Balance Sheet: Cash is down by $11M on the Assets side‚ so that entire side is down by $11M. On the other side‚ Debt is up by $5M due to the PIK interest but down by $10M due to the principal repayment‚ for a net reduction of $5M. Shareholders’ Equity is down by $6M due to the reduced Net Income‚ so both sides are down by $11M and balance.
• Each year after this‚ you base the cash and PIK interest on the new debt principal number and adjust the rest of the numbers accordingly.
Do you think a DCF would work well for an oil & gas company?
If it’s an Exploration & Production (E&P)-focused company, generally a DCF will not work well b/c:
1. CapEx needs are enormous and will push FCF down to very low levels.
2. Commodity prices are cyclical and both revenue and FCF are difficult to project.
• For other types of energy companies - services-based or downstream companies that just refine and market oil and gas - a DCF might be more appropriate.
• For more on this topic and the alternative to a DCF that you use for oil & gas companies (called a Net Asset Value, NAV, analysis) see the industry-specific guides.
Can you describe a few of the additional items that might be a part of Enterprise Value‚ beyond Cash‚ Debt‚ Preferred Stock‚ and Noncontrolling Interests‚ and explain whether you add or subtract each one?
Items that may be counted as Cash-Like items and subtracted:
• Net Operating Losses (NOLs): b/c you can use these to reduce future taxes; may or may not be true depending on company and deal
• Short-Term and Long-Term Investments: b/c theoretically you can sell these off and get extra cash. May not be true if they’re illiquid.
• Equity Investments: Any investments in other companies where you own between 20-50%; this one is also partially for comparability purposes since revenue and profit from these investments show up in the company’s Net Income‚ but not in EBIT‚ EBITDA‚ and Revenue
Items that may be counted as Debt-Like items and added:
• Capital Leases: Like Debt‚ these have interest payments and may need to be repaid.
• (Some) Operating Leases: sometimes you need to convert Operating Leases to Capital Leases and add them as well‚ if they meet criteria for qualifying as Capital Leases
• Unfunded Pension Obligations: These are usually paid w/ something other than the company’s normal cash flows‚ and they may be extremely large.
• Restructuring/Environmental Liabilities: similar logic to unfunded pension obligations
“Short-Term Investments” is a Current Asset - should you count it in Working Capital?
- No. If you wanted to be technical‚ you could say that it should be included in “Working Capital‚” as define‚ but left out of “Operating Working Capital.”
- But the truth is that no one lists Short-Term Investments in this section b/c Purchases and Sales of Investments are considered investing activities‚ NOT operational activities.
- “Working Capital” is an imprecise idea and we prefer to say “Operating Assets and Liabilities” b/c that’s a more accurate way to describe the concept of operationally-related B/S items - which may sometimes be Long-Term Assets or Long-Term Liabilities (e.g. Deferred Revenue).
A company has recorded $100 in income tax expense on its Income Statement. All $100 of it is paid‚ in cash‚ in the current period. Now we change it and only $90 of it is paid in cash‚ with $10 being deferred to future periods. How do the statements change?
- I/S: Nothing changes. Both Current and Deferred Taxes are recorded simply as “Taxes” and NI remains the same. NI changes only if the total amount of taxes changes.
- SCF: NI remains the same but we add back the $10 worth of Deferred Taxes in CFO - no other changes‚ so cash at the bottom is up by $10.
- B/S: Cash is up by $10 and so the entire Assets side is up by $10. On the other side‚ the DTL is up by $10 and so both sides balance.
- Intuition: Deferred Taxes saves us cash in the current period‚ at the expense of additional cash taxes in the future.
How do you calculated diluted shares and Diluted Equity Value?
- You take the basic share count and add in the dilutive effect of stock options and any other dilutive securities‚ such as warrants‚ convertible debt‚ and convertible preferred stock.
- To calculate the dilutive effect of options and warrants‚ you use the Treasury Stock Method.
How do you factor in Convertible Preferred Stock in the Enterprise Value calculation?
The same way you would factor in normal Convertible Bonds: if it’s in-the-money‚ you assume that new shares get created‚ and if it’s not in-the-money‚ you count it as Debt.
Walk me through how you project revenue for a company.
- The simplest way to do it is to assume a percentage growth rate - for example‚ 15% in Year 1‚ 12% in Year 2‚ 10% in Year 3‚ and so on‚ usually decreasing significantly over time. To be more precise‚ you could create a “bottoms-up build” or a “tops-down build:”
- BOTTOMS-UP: Start w/ individual products/customers‚ estimate the average sale value or customer value‚ and then the growth rate in customers/transactions and customer transaction values to tie everything together.
- TOPS-DOWN: Start w/ “big-picture” metrics like overall market size‚ and then estimate the company’s market share and how that will change in coming years and multiply to get their revenue.
- Of these two methods‚ bottoms-up is more common and is taken more seriously b/c estimating the “big-picture” numbers is almost impossible.
When would you use a Sum of the Parts Valuation?
For conglomerates that have completely unrelated divisions (e.g. GE)
• Should use different comparable sets for each division‚ value each division separately‚ and then add them back together to calculate Total Value
What is the advantage and disadvantage to using M&A Premium Analysis?
Same issues as precedent transactions
• Adv.: based on what real companies have actually paid for other companies
• Dis.: Can’t use acquisitions of private companies b/c premiums only apply to public companies w/ stock prices‚ data can be spotty‚ there may not be truly comparable transactions.
What are the 4 main criteria to pick precedent transactions?
- Geography
- Industry
- Financial (Revenue or EBITDA above‚ below‚ or between certain numbers)
- Time (“transactions since …” or “transactions between Year X and Year Y”)
What are the 3 major valuation methodologies?
- Public Company comparables (public comps) - relative valuation
- Precedent Transactions (trading comps) - relative valuation
- Discounted Cash Flow analysis - intrinsic valuation
When would a company be most likely to issue stock to acquire another company?
- The buyer’s stock is trading at an all-time high‚ or at least at a very high level‚ and it’s therefore “cheaper” to issue stock than it normally would be.
- The seller is almost as large as the buyer and it’s impossible to raise enough debt or use enough cash to acquire the seller.
What is a leveraged buyout and why does it work?
- In an LBO‚ a PE firm acquires a company using a combination of debt and equity (cash)‚ operates it for several years‚ possibly makes operational improvements‚ and then sells the company at the end of the period to realize a return on investment.
- During the period of ownership‚ the PE firm uses the company’s cash flows to pay interest expense from the debt and to pay off debt principal.
- An LBO delivers higher returns than if the PE firm used 100% cash for the following reasons:
- By using debt‚ the PE firm reduces the up-front cash payment for the company‚ which boosts returns.
- Using the company’s cash flows to repay debt principal and pay debt interest also produces a better return than keeping the cash flows.
- The PE firm sells the company in the future‚ which allows it to regain the majority of the funds spent to acquire it in the first place.
What’s the difference between cash-based and accrual accounting?
- Cash-based accounting recognizes revenue and expenses when cash is actually received or paid out; accrual accounting recognizes revenue when collection is reasonably certain (i.e. after an invoice has been sent to the customer and the customer has a track record of paying on time) and recognizes expenses when they are incurred rather than when they are paid out in cash.
- All large companies use accrual accounting b/c it more accurately reflects the timing of revenue and expenses; small businesses may use cash-based accounting to simplify their financial statements (you no longer need a Cash Flow Statement if everything is cash-based).
How are Prepaid Expenses and Accounts Payable different?
It’s similar to the difference between A/R and Deferred Revenue:
- Prepaid Expenses have already been paid out in cash‚ but haven’t yet shown up on the I/S‚ whereas A/P haven’t been paid out in cash but have shown up on the I/S.
- Prepaid Expenses are for product/services that have not yet been delivered to the company‚ whereas A/P is for products/services that have already been delivered.