Psychology Flashcards

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1
Q

Overconfidence

A

leads people to overestimate their knowledge, underestimate risks and exaggerate their ability to control events and predict outcomes.

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2
Q

Illusion of control

A

common in day trading, sports betting

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3
Q

Persuasion Bias

A

susceptibility to making decisions based on social influence and the repetition of information

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4
Q

Recency Bais/Effect

A

Recency bias can make investors focus more on the most current events, leading to faulty predictions that this is always how it will always be.

tendency to best remember the information that was presented last

last item
closing argument

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5
Q

Regret Aversion

A

Crippling effect that comes form fearing a negative outcome

regret-averse people avoid making a decision altogather

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6
Q

Representatives Heuristic

A

Labeling something because of it’s connection to a larger group with similar characteristics

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7
Q

Salience Bias

A

Tendency to focus on highly emotional events/information and be impacted by it

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8
Q

Status Quo Bias

A

Seek-out the path of least resistance; primitive survival instinct

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9
Q

Sunk-cost Fallacy

A

Tendency to follow-through on something even though the costs outweigh the benefits

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10
Q

Loss Aversion

A

Loss hurts more than wins so we become risk-averse

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11
Q

Gambler’s Fallacy

A

We think future possibilities are affected by past events

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12
Q

Law of Small Numbers Bias

A

bias of making generalization form a small sample size

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13
Q

Familiarity Bias

A

Familiarity leads to home bias and single stock concentration.

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14
Q

Endowment Effect

A

a cognitive bias that describes the tendency of people to value items they own more than similar items they do not own.

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15
Q

Mental Accounting

A

can lead to naïve diversification (i.e., the assumption that simply investing in enough unrelated assets will reduce risk sufficiently to make a profit).

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16
Q

Disposition Effect

A

People seek pride and avoid regret

Sell winners too quickly (confirms correct choice)

Hold losers too long (avoids confirming incorrect choice)

17
Q

Bandwagon Effect

A

Ideas, fads, and beliefs grow as more people adopt them

18
Q

Availability Bias

A

We rely on immediate examples that come to mind while making judgements

19
Q

Affinity Bias

A

tendency to favor people who share similar interests, backgrounds and experiences with us

20
Q

Factors leading to overconfidence:

A

Choice
Task familiarity
Information (confirmation bias)
Active involvement
Past success

21
Q

Heuristic

A

any approach to problem-solving that employs a more practical method that is not guaranteed to be optimal or rational, but is sufficient for reaching a short-term goal or approximation.

Examples: Rules of thumb, educated guesses, and trial & error.

Heuristics reduce the cognitive load of decision making.

This ease allows biases to cloud objectivity.

22
Q

Anchoring

A

is where an investor sets a value at the initial point of information (typically their buy price).

23
Q

Prospect theory

A

People suffer more greatly from losses than they benefit from gains.

24
Q

When investors consider the past, they tend to suffer from

A

House money effect (take more risk)
Snakebite effect (take less risk)
Break-evenitis (take more risk)

25
Q

herd mentality

A

Leaning towards what everyone else is doing

We find comfort in groups/numbers.