Psych Stats Quiz #3 4/17/23 Flashcards
probability
statistical inference asserts probability that a particular assertation is true
always state conclusions in terms of probability not proof
probability vs relative frequency
future vs past tense
relative frequency is used to express probability
probability ex
cards - the probability of picking a red card from a deck of randomly shuffled cards = 1/2 or 50%
a spade = 1/4 or 25%
random sampling with replacement
after picking an observation you put it back into the pool because if you don’t then the scores are considered independent
Ex. if cards are not replaced the probability changes on subsequent samples
distribution of sample means
establish a set of rules that allows us to make inferences from a sample about the population
- this distribution is the answer to why we can generalize about population based on samples
sampling distribution
a distribution of statistics obtained by selecting all samples of a specific size from the population (usually mean)
mean sampling distribution
a collection of sample means for all possible random samples of a particular size that can be obtained from a particular population
sample mean characteristics
cluster around the population mean
distribution is normal (central limit theorem)
can use distribution to answer probability questions
the expected value of M
the mean of the distribution of sample means which is equal to the population
standard error of sample means
the standard deviation of the distribution of sample means
standard deviation/square root of sample size
σ/√n
standard error characteristics
standard or typical distance from the mean
specifies precisely how well a sample mean estimates the population
hypothesis testing - z test steps
1) state hypothesis about an unknown population mean
2) set criteria for decision between hypotheses
3) collect sample data
4) evaluate null hypothesis
criterion - alpha level
called the level of significance
probability value that is used to define “very unlikely”
p < 0.05
single sample z test: directional
directional - upper and lower 2 1/2 % of normal distribution = -1.96 and 1.96
single sample z test: one-tailed test
1.64, 0.05 = rejection region