Psych Stats Quiz #3 4/17/23 Flashcards

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1
Q

probability

A

statistical inference asserts probability that a particular assertation is true
always state conclusions in terms of probability not proof

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2
Q

probability vs relative frequency

A

future vs past tense
relative frequency is used to express probability

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3
Q

probability ex

A

cards - the probability of picking a red card from a deck of randomly shuffled cards = 1/2 or 50%
a spade = 1/4 or 25%

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4
Q

random sampling with replacement

A

after picking an observation you put it back into the pool because if you don’t then the scores are considered independent
Ex. if cards are not replaced the probability changes on subsequent samples

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5
Q

distribution of sample means

A

establish a set of rules that allows us to make inferences from a sample about the population
- this distribution is the answer to why we can generalize about population based on samples

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6
Q

sampling distribution

A

a distribution of statistics obtained by selecting all samples of a specific size from the population (usually mean)

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7
Q

mean sampling distribution

A

a collection of sample means for all possible random samples of a particular size that can be obtained from a particular population

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8
Q

sample mean characteristics

A

cluster around the population mean
distribution is normal (central limit theorem)
can use distribution to answer probability questions

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9
Q

the expected value of M

A

the mean of the distribution of sample means which is equal to the population

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10
Q

standard error of sample means

A

the standard deviation of the distribution of sample means
standard deviation/square root of sample size
σ/√n

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11
Q

standard error characteristics

A

standard or typical distance from the mean
specifies precisely how well a sample mean estimates the population

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12
Q

hypothesis testing - z test steps

A

1) state hypothesis about an unknown population mean
2) set criteria for decision between hypotheses
3) collect sample data
4) evaluate null hypothesis

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13
Q

criterion - alpha level

A

called the level of significance
probability value that is used to define “very unlikely”
p < 0.05

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14
Q

single sample z test: directional

A

directional - upper and lower 2 1/2 % of normal distribution = -1.96 and 1.96

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15
Q

single sample z test: one-tailed test

A

1.64, 0.05 = rejection region

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16
Q

reject the null

A

when same data is substantially different from what the null predicts

17
Q

fail to reject the null

A

no evidence was found that the null is wrong, but can never be 100%

18
Q

type 1 error

A

null reject when treatment really does not have an effect
false positive

19
Q

type 2 error

A

null not reject when treatment does really have an effect
false negative

20
Q

infant affection holding example

A

μ = 26 pounds, n = 16, σ = 4
H₀: μinfants held = 26 pounds
H₁ = μinfants held≠ 26 pounds

standard error of mean (σm) = σ/√n = 4/√16 = 1

critical region test:
X = μH₀ (+/-)Z (σm)
X = 26 + 1.96(1) = 27.96
X = 26 - 1.96(1) = 24.04
24.04 ≥ X ≥ 27.96

fail to reject the null because 26 falls in the critical region, meaning that there is no effect on holding infants and their weight

21
Q

critical region test

A

X = μH₀ (+/-)Z (σm)

22
Q

z score

A

Z(i) = (X - μ)/σ(m)

23
Q

statistically significant

A

the null hypothesis was rejected

24
Q

p-value

A

the smallest critical region that would allow rejection of the null hypothesis - 0.05

25
Q

making 0.05 smaller

A

the rejection region moves out farther

25
Q

making 0.05 smaller

A

the rejection region moves out farther